Stockton Town vs Bury Prediction

Stockton Town
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bury
06/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseHighGap-11.4%
Stockton Town Rest
3 days
Bury Rest
3 days

Stockton Town vs Bury: the result in context

Stockton Town beat Bury 1-0 in the Non League Premier - Northern on 6 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Bury had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Stockton Town.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.75
X
23%3.80
2
52%1.73
Double Chance
1X
48%1.94
X2
75%1.21
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

84'F. Nouble

Team Comparison

Stockton TownStockton Town
BuryBury
1465Elo Rating 1661
0.97Attack 2.82
1.29Defense 1.16
17%Hit Rate 64%
-Shots per Game 7.4
-Shots on Target 5.0
-Corners per Game 6.1
-Cards per Game 1.4

Game State Tendencies

Stockton TownStockton Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BuryBury
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Stockton TownStockton Town
2W2D6L
03/10/2026
Hyde UnitedStockton Town
21
L
26/09/2026
RylandsStockton Town
31
L
19/09/2026
Stockton TownBamber Bridge
52
W
12/09/2026
RylandsStockton Town
11
D
08/09/2026
Guiseley AFCStockton Town
21
L
05/09/2026
Stockton TownGuiseley AFC
22
D
31/08/2026
Stockton TownRedcar Athletic
02
L
29/08/2026
AvroStockton Town
53
L
25/08/2026
Guiseley AFCStockton Town
30
L
22/08/2026
Stockton TownAlfreton Town
20
W
BuryBury
7W0D3L
03/10/2026
BuryBromsgrove Sporting
21
W
26/09/2026
BuryGainsborough Trinity
4433
W
19/09/2026
BuryWorkington
51
W
12/09/2026
BuryAFC Emley
40
W
05/09/2026
BuryWythenshawe Amateurs
80
W
31/08/2026
Hyde UnitedBury
21
L
29/08/2026
BuryIlkeston Town
70
W
25/08/2026
BuryLancaster City
01
L
22/08/2026
Gainsborough TrinityBury
01
W
18/08/2026
Guiseley AFCBury
32
L

League Table

Non League Premier - Northern 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic16105135:15+2035DWWWL
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town15103232:9+2333WLWWD
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1492329:14+1529DWWWL
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1692532:21+1129DLWWW
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1591529:18+1128WWLLW
6AvroAvro1591537:28+928LWLLL
7WorkingtonWorkington1683528:26+227WWLLD
8RylandsRylands1582527:22+526WWLDW
9Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1672723:18+523WDDLW
10Warrington TownWarrington Town1565427:24+323LLDWD
11BuryBury1371528:16+1222LWWLW
12Lancaster CityLancaster City1763820:29-921DLLWD
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1661922:42-2019LLWWD
14QuornQuorn1546527:32-518WDDWD
15AFC EmleyAFC Emley1645717:28-1117LWWDL
16Stockton TownStockton Town1643923:28-515WLLDW
17Hyde UnitedHyde United1643915:30-1515LLDLL
18Ashton UnitedAshton United1535718:20-214LLLDD
19Leek TownLeek Town1535730:33-314LLWDD
20Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town16411111:34-2313WWLLL
21United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1526720:26-612DDWDD
22Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1525818:35-1711DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic1635:1535
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town1532:933
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1429:1429
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1632:2129
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1529:1828
6AvroAvro1537:2828
7WorkingtonWorkington1628:2627
8RylandsRylands1527:2226
9Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1623:1823
10Warrington TownWarrington Town1527:2423
11BuryBury1328:1622
12Lancaster CityLancaster City1720:2921
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1622:4219
14QuornQuorn1527:3218
15AFC EmleyAFC Emley1617:2817
16Stockton TownStockton Town1623:2815
17Hyde UnitedHyde United1615:3015
18Ashton UnitedAshton United1518:2014
19Leek TownLeek Town1530:3314
20Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town1611:3413
21United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1520:2612
22Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1518:3511

About the Stockton Town vs Bury forecast

The forecasts for this Non League Premier - Northern match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stockton Town and Bury in the Non League Premier - Northern table

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Bury are 11th and Stockton Town 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Stockton Town 23-28, Bury 28-16. The full standings are on the Non League Premier - Northern Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bury have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stockton Town and Bury have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.