Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town Prediction

03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseHighGap-7.4%
Lancaster City Rest
3 days
Ilkeston Town Rest
3 days

Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town: result, form and history

Lancaster City beat Ilkeston Town 2-1 in the Non League Premier - Northern on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lancaster City had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Ilkeston Town.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.82
X
25%3.65
2
26%3.40
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
51%1.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'A. Dwyer
60'S. Bailey(Penalty)
80'J. Craig

Team Comparison

Lancaster CityLancaster City
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
1485Elo Rating 1418
1.18Attack 0.91
1.24Defense 0.73
19%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

Lancaster CityLancaster City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Lancaster CityLancaster City
4W2D4L
29/09/2026
Whitby TownLancaster City
12
W
26/09/2026
Cleethorpes TownLancaster City
51
L
19/09/2026
Bradford (Park Avenue)Lancaster City
10
L
12/09/2026
Lancaster CityCurzon Ashton
02
L
08/09/2026
Tadcaster AlbionLancaster City
02
W
05/09/2026
Lancaster CityTadcaster Albion
11
D
31/08/2026
Lancaster CityWorkington
03
L
28/08/2026
Guiseley AFCLancaster City
12
W
25/08/2026
BuryLancaster City
01
W
22/08/2026
Lancaster CityQuorn
22
D
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
0W1D9L
29/09/2026
Ilkeston TownRylands
01
L
26/09/2026
Ilkeston TownAnstey Nomads
13
L
12/09/2026
WorkingtonIlkeston Town
31
L
05/09/2026
LeamingtonIlkeston Town
31
L
31/08/2026
Ilkeston TownQuorn
02
L
29/08/2026
BuryIlkeston Town
70
L
25/08/2026
Ashton UnitedIlkeston Town
11
D
22/08/2026
Ilkeston TownCleethorpes Town
03
L
18/08/2026
Ilkeston TownWarrington Town
12
L
15/08/2026
Whitby TownIlkeston Town
20
L

League Table

Non League Premier - Northern 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic16105135:15+2035DWWWL
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town15103232:9+2333WLWWD
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1492329:14+1529DWWWL
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1692532:21+1129DLWWW
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1591529:18+1128WWLLW
6AvroAvro1591537:28+928LWLLL
7WorkingtonWorkington1683528:26+227WWLLD
8RylandsRylands1582527:22+526WWLDW
9Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1672723:18+523WDDLW
10Warrington TownWarrington Town1565427:24+323LLDWD
11BuryBury1371528:16+1222LWWLW
12Lancaster CityLancaster City1763820:29-921DLLWD
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1661922:42-2019LLWWD
14QuornQuorn1546527:32-518WDDWD
15AFC EmleyAFC Emley1645717:28-1117LWWDL
16Stockton TownStockton Town1643923:28-515WLLDW
17Hyde UnitedHyde United1643915:30-1515LLDLL
18Ashton UnitedAshton United1535718:20-214LLLDD
19Leek TownLeek Town1535730:33-314LLWDD
20Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town16411111:34-2313WWLLL
21United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1526720:26-612DDWDD
22Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1525818:35-1711DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic1635:1535
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town1532:933
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1429:1429
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1632:2129
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1529:1828
6AvroAvro1537:2828
7WorkingtonWorkington1628:2627
8RylandsRylands1527:2226
9Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1623:1823
10Warrington TownWarrington Town1527:2423
11BuryBury1328:1622
12Lancaster CityLancaster City1720:2921
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1622:4219
14QuornQuorn1527:3218
15AFC EmleyAFC Emley1617:2817
16Stockton TownStockton Town1623:2815
17Hyde UnitedHyde United1615:3015
18Ashton UnitedAshton United1518:2014
19Leek TownLeek Town1530:3314
20Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town1611:3413
21United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1520:2612
22Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1518:3511

About the Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lancaster City and Ilkeston Town in the Non League Premier - Northern table

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Lancaster City are 12th and Ilkeston Town 20th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Lancaster City 20-29, Ilkeston Town 11-34. The full standings are on the Non League Premier - Northern Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lancaster City and Ilkeston Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.