AFC Emley vs Ilkeston Town Prediction

AFC Emley
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Ilkeston Town
11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseHighGap+10.3%
AFC Emley Rest
3 days
Ilkeston Town Rest
3 days

AFC Emley vs Ilkeston Town: the result in context

Ilkeston Town beat AFC Emley 2-1 in the Non League Premier - Northern on 11 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.31
X
27%3.02
2
30%2.82
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
57%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.72
No
56%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.94
Over 3.5
18%3.15
Under 1.5
37%3.08
Under 2.5
62%1.77
Under 3.5
82%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'A. Dwyer
42'A. Hunter
56'J. Cowgill

Team Comparison

AFC EmleyAFC Emley
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
1482Elo Rating 1418
1.46Attack 0.91
1.68Defense 0.73
50%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

AFC EmleyAFC Emley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AFC EmleyAFC Emley
4W3D3L
08/08/2026
Hyde UnitedAFC Emley
00
D
14/07/2026
AFC EmleyRotherham
11
D
16/08/2025
Longridge TownAFC Emley
51
L
31/08/2024
Morpeth TownAFC Emley
10
L
17/08/2024
TraffordAFC Emley
03
W
04/08/2024
AFC EmleySt Helens
10
W
30/09/2023
Alfreton TownAFC Emley
10
L
19/09/2023
AFC EmleyMossley
3311
W
16/09/2023
MossleyAFC Emley
11
D
05/09/2023
AFC EmleyWidnes
41
W
Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town
3W3D4L
08/08/2026
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
10
W
28/07/2026
Ilkeston TownBasford United
41
W
11/07/2026
Worksop TownIlkeston Town
31
L
30/08/2025
Ilkeston TownSpalding United
12
L
17/09/2024
Ilkeston TownHereford
01
L
14/09/2024
HerefordIlkeston Town
11
D
31/08/2024
Heanor TownIlkeston Town
01
W
02/09/2023
Mickleover SportsIlkeston Town
30
L
20/09/2022
Ilkeston TownAnstey Nomads
3333
D
17/09/2022
Anstey NomadsIlkeston Town
11
D

League Table

Non League Premier - Northern 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic16105135:15+2035DWWWL
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town15103232:9+2333WLWWD
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1492329:14+1529DWWWL
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1692532:21+1129DLWWW
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1591529:18+1128WWLLW
6AvroAvro1591537:28+928LWLLL
7WorkingtonWorkington1683528:26+227WWLLD
8RylandsRylands1582527:22+526WWLDW
9Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1672723:18+523WDDLW
10Warrington TownWarrington Town1565427:24+323LLDWD
11BuryBury1371528:16+1222LWWLW
12Lancaster CityLancaster City1763820:29-921DLLWD
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1661922:42-2019LLWWD
14QuornQuorn1546527:32-518WDDWD
15AFC EmleyAFC Emley1645717:28-1117LWWDL
16Stockton TownStockton Town1643923:28-515WLLDW
17Hyde UnitedHyde United1643915:30-1515LLDLL
18Ashton UnitedAshton United1535718:20-214LLLDD
19Leek TownLeek Town1535730:33-314LLWDD
20Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town16411111:34-2313WWLLL
21United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1526720:26-612DDWDD
22Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1525818:35-1711DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Redcar AthleticRedcar Athletic1635:1535
2Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town1532:933
3Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC1429:1429
4Gainsborough TrinityGainsborough Trinity1632:2129
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1529:1828
6AvroAvro1537:2828
7WorkingtonWorkington1628:2627
8RylandsRylands1527:2226
9Alfreton TownAlfreton Town1623:1823
10Warrington TownWarrington Town1527:2423
11BuryBury1328:1622
12Lancaster CityLancaster City1720:2921
13Whitby TownWhitby Town1622:4219
14QuornQuorn1527:3218
15AFC EmleyAFC Emley1617:2817
16Stockton TownStockton Town1623:2815
17Hyde UnitedHyde United1615:3015
18Ashton UnitedAshton United1518:2014
19Leek TownLeek Town1530:3314
20Ilkeston TownIlkeston Town1611:3413
21United of ManchesterUnited of Manchester1520:2612
22Bamber BridgeBamber Bridge1518:3511

About the AFC Emley vs Ilkeston Town forecast

The forecasts for this Non League Premier - Northern match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AFC Emley and Ilkeston Town in the Non League Premier - Northern table

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, AFC Emley are 15th and Ilkeston Town 20th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: AFC Emley 17-28, Ilkeston Town 11-34. The full standings are on the Non League Premier - Northern Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AFC Emley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. AFC Emley and Ilkeston Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.