Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II Prediction

Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Tartu Welco Rest
2 days
Nõmme United II Rest
8 days

Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II: result, form and history

Tartu Welco beat Nõmme United II 4-3 in the Esiliiga A on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 4.7 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.36
X
16%5.10
2
14%5.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.07
X2
30%2.63
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

38'K. Laasner
46'L. Ossep
49'K. Laasner(Penalty)
58'K. LaasnerAssist: M. Zovo
72'S. Veske(Penalty missed)
78'A. Radomskiy
79'E. MalkiAssist: K. Laasner
89'A. Truuvaart

Team Comparison

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
1735Elo Rating 1480
4.03Attack 1.86
1.77Defense 0.75
100%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+255 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Nõmme United IINõmme United II1Wins · 33%
4.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A01/08/2026
Nõmme United IITartu Welco
21
Esiliiga A21/06/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme United II
52
Esiliiga A03/04/2026
Nõmme United IITartu Welco
13

Recent Form

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
7W2D1L
15/10/2026
FC TallinnTartu Welco
07
W
09/10/2026
Tartu WelcoElva
40
W
17/09/2026
ViimsiTartu Welco
02
W
14/09/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme Kalju II
30
W
10/09/2026
FCI Levadia IITartu Welco
00
D
05/09/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
11
D
29/08/2026
Tartu WelcoViimsi
13
L
23/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IITartu Welco
24
W
20/08/2026
Tartu WelcoFCI Levadia II
42
W
15/08/2026
Tartu WelcoFlora II
21
W
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
4W1D5L
09/10/2026
Nõmme United IIFCI Levadia II
01
L
21/09/2026
Nõmme Kalju IINõmme United II
23
W
13/09/2026
Nõmme United IIViimsi
10
W
10/09/2026
Nõmme United IITallinna Kalev
21
W
06/09/2026
MaarduNõmme United II
21
L
30/08/2026
Nõmme United IIElva
01
L
24/08/2026
ViimsiNõmme United II
41
L
20/08/2026
FC TallinnNõmme United II
11
D
17/08/2026
Nõmme United IINõmme Kalju II
20
W
08/08/2026
Nõmme United IIFCI Levadia II
12
L

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco352456101:45+5677WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi351771162:35+2758LDWDW
3FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II341731469:59+1054WDWWW
4Flora IIFlora II341571278:60+1852DWDLD
5ElvaElva3514101150:51-152DDDDL
6MaarduMaardu321291147:59-1245DDDDD
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev341181559:63-441DWLLL
8Nõmme United IINõmme United II351171758:71-1340WDLLL
9FC TallinnFC Tallinn351081744:80-3638LWLLW
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II35662340:85-4524LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco35101:4577
2ViimsiViimsi3562:3558
3FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3469:5954
4Flora IIFlora II3478:6052
5ElvaElva3550:5152
6MaarduMaardu3247:5945
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3459:6341
8Nõmme United IINõmme United II3558:7140
9FC TallinnFC Tallinn3544:8038
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3540:8524

About the Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tartu Welco and Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A table

The table shows a wide gap: Tartu Welco are 1st in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United II sit 8th, 37 points behind. League goal record so far: Tartu Welco 101-45, Nõmme United II 58-71. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tartu Welco have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Nõmme United II have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.