Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction

Tartu Welco
3-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Tallinna Kalev
Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.43
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Tartu Welco Rest
5 days
Tallinna Kalev Rest
4 days

Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev: result, form and history

Tartu Welco beat Tallinna Kalev 3-2 in the Esiliiga A on 23 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Tartu Welco had won 5 of their previous five, compared with none for Tallinna Kalev.

Tallinna Kalev have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.43
X
17%4.83
2
15%4.90
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
33%2.58
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'M. Mugra
42'R. Kala
61'E. Veensalu
65'V. Mihhailov
75'M. Tomberg

Team Comparison

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev
1735Elo Rating 1479
4.03Attack 1.91
1.77Defense 0.90
100%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+257 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco1Wins · 17%
Draws117%
Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev4Wins · 66%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A05/09/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
11
Esiliiga A09/05/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
20
Esiliiga A05/03/2026
Tartu WelcoTallinna Kalev
30
Esiliiga A31/10/2021
Tartu WelcoTallinna Kalev
23
Esiliiga A12/08/2021
Tartu WelcoTallinna Kalev
01
Esiliiga A27/05/2021
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
21

Recent Form

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
7W2D1L
18/10/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme United II
43
W
15/10/2026
FC TallinnTartu Welco
07
W
09/10/2026
Tartu WelcoElva
40
W
17/09/2026
ViimsiTartu Welco
02
W
14/09/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme Kalju II
30
W
10/09/2026
FCI Levadia IITartu Welco
00
D
05/09/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
11
D
29/08/2026
Tartu WelcoViimsi
13
L
23/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IITartu Welco
24
W
20/08/2026
Tartu WelcoFCI Levadia II
42
W
Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev
2W2D6L
19/10/2026
Tallinna KalevFCI Levadia II
12
L
10/10/2026
Tallinna KalevViimsi
12
L
24/09/2026
ElvaTallinna Kalev
32
L
18/09/2026
Tallinna KalevFlora II
22
D
10/09/2026
Nõmme United IITallinna Kalev
21
L
05/09/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
11
D
29/08/2026
Flora IITallinna Kalev
50
L
24/08/2026
Tallinna KalevMaardu
13
L
20/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IITallinna Kalev
03
W
15/08/2026
Tallinna KalevElva
10
W

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco352456101:45+5677WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi351771162:35+2758LDWDW
3FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II341731469:59+1054WDWWW
4Flora IIFlora II341571278:60+1852DWDLD
5ElvaElva3514101150:51-152DDDDL
6MaarduMaardu321291147:59-1245DDDDD
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev341181559:63-441DWLLL
8Nõmme United IINõmme United II351171758:71-1340WDLLL
9FC TallinnFC Tallinn351081744:80-3638LWLLW
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II35662340:85-4524LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco35101:4577
2ViimsiViimsi3562:3558
3FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3469:5954
4Flora IIFlora II3478:6052
5ElvaElva3550:5152
6MaarduMaardu3247:5945
7Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3459:6341
8Nõmme United IINõmme United II3558:7140
9FC TallinnFC Tallinn3544:8038
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3540:8524

About the Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tartu Welco and Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A table

The table shows a wide gap: Tartu Welco are 1st in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th, 36 points behind. League goal record so far: Tartu Welco 101-45, Tallinna Kalev 59-63. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tartu Welco have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.