Union La Calera vs Universidad de Chile Prediction

F. Jimenez Lazo 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.33
SignalHIGHModel32%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel31%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Union La Calera Rest
7 days
Universidad de Chile Rest
7 days

Union La Calera vs Universidad de Chile: the result in context

Union La Calera and Universidad de Chile drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 14 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Universidad de Chile have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game. Universidad de Chile tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 3.1 for Union La Calera.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.40
X
25%3.21
2
46%2.15
Double Chance
1X
54%1.65
X2
71%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.80
No
45%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.47 = 2.61
Over 1.5
78%1.33
Over 2.5
56%2.05
Over 3.5
32%3.55
Under 1.5
22%3.13
Under 2.5
44%1.73
Under 3.5
68%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.6 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.54
Over 9.5
41%1.91
Over 10.5
29%2.44
Under 8.5
48%2.28
Under 9.5
59%1.80
Under 10.5
71%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

6'N. RamirezAssist: M. Morales
16'Eduardo VargasAssist: M. G. Guerrero Pena
28'Y. W. Andia LeonUnsportsmanlike conduct
28'Eduardo VargasUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'M. CamposAssist: K. Mendez
58'S. Saez(Penalty)
59'Y. LeivaFoul
64'A. Arce INJ. Lucero out
64'Y. Leiva INC. Villanueva out
65'J. LuceroFoul
71'I. A. Vasquez Gonzalez INL. Assadi out
76'M. Campos INF. Pozzo out
77'G. CastellonDelay of game
78'N. Ramirez INB. Tamayo out
78'M. G. Guerrero Pena INJ. Altamirano out
82'C. Villanueva INB. Oyarzo Munoz out
90+9'M. MoralesFoul

Team Comparison

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
1522Elo Rating 1700
0.77Attack 2.87
2.25Defense 2.07
17%Hit Rate 58%
11.1Shots per Game 17.5
3.5Shots on Target 9.1
3.1Corners per Game 6.2
3.0Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile8Wins · 80%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División29/07/2025
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
04
Primera División24/02/2025
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
10
Primera División06/10/2024
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
10
Primera División14/05/2024
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
13
Primera División26/08/2023
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
21
Primera División03/03/2023
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
11
Primera División02/07/2022
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
21
Primera División06/02/2022
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
24
Primera División05/12/2021
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
32
Primera División22/08/2021
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
14

Recent Form

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
3W2D5L
07/06/2026
D. La SerenaUnion La Calera
02
W
30/05/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionUnion La Calera
00
D
24/05/2026
Union La CaleraPalestino
12
L
17/05/2026
HuachipatoUnion La Calera
31
L
25/04/2026
Union La CaleraCoquimbo Unido
12
L
21/04/2026
U. CatolicaUnion La Calera
12
W
14/04/2026
Union La CaleraConcepción
10
W
04/04/2026
Deportes LimacheUnion La Calera
40
L
16/03/2026
Union La CaleraO'Higgins
33
D
06/03/2026
D. La SerenaUnion La Calera
30
L
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
4W3D3L
07/06/2026
Universidad de ChileA. Italiano
22
D
30/05/2026
Universidad de ChileConcepción
21
W
17/05/2026
CobresalUniversidad de Chile
10
L
26/04/2026
Universidad de ChileU. Catolica
10
W
18/04/2026
Everton de VinaUniversidad de Chile
00
D
12/04/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Chile
10
L
06/04/2026
Universidad de ChileD. La Serena
40
W
14/03/2026
Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de Chile
01
W
10/03/2026
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Concepcion
11
D
05/03/2026
Universidad de ChilePalestino
12
L

Referee Profile

F. Jimenez Lazo87 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.63Red cards per match
19.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Jimenez Lazo5.67
Other referees5.78

5.67 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.78).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica25134852:37+1543DLWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530DDWWL
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2552:3743
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Union La Calera vs Universidad de Chile forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union La Calera and Universidad de Chile in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: Universidad de Chile are 2nd in the Primera División, while Union La Calera sit 16th, 27 points behind. League goal record so far: Union La Calera 23-42, Universidad de Chile 45-20. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.