U. Catolica vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction

Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile·H. Jona 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel95%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
2.10
SignalNEUTRALModel90%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
U. Catolica Rest
7 days
Universidad de Concepcion Rest
7 days

U. Catolica vs Universidad de Concepcion: result, form and history

U. Catolica beat Universidad de Concepcion 5-1 in the Primera División on 14 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: U. Catolica had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Universidad de Concepcion.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.47
X
17%4.30
2
18%6.00
Double Chance
1X
82%1.10
X2
35%2.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.82 = 2.72
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.68
Over 3.5
35%2.74
Under 1.5
21%4.00
Under 2.5
43%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
59%1.47
Over 9.5
48%1.79
Over 10.5
39%2.30
Under 8.5
41%2.46
Under 9.5
52%1.93
Under 10.5
61%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 3.1 = 5.7
Over 3.5
78%-
Over 4.5
64%-
Under 3.5
22%-
Under 4.5
36%-

Match Events

24'F. ZampedriAssist: J. A. Martinez
40'F. ZampedriAssist: D. Corral
45+4'J. Fuentealba(Penalty)
46'D. Corral INC. Montes out
46'D. Sabando INA. Diaz out
54'B. AmpueroFoul
60'F. ZampedriAssist: C. Cuevas
65'D. Retamal INL. Gonzalez out
68'C. CuevasAssist: J. Giani
72'A. Urzi INA. Uribe out
73'F. Zuqui INA. Canales out
73'J. Valencia ING. Medel out
75'L. GonzalezFoul
80'J. GianiAssist: F. Zampedri
81'B. Ogaz INP. Parra out
85'J. Giani INV. Carcamo out
85'F. Zampedri INM. Gomez out
89'L. GonzalezFoul
89'L. GonzalezFoul
90+2'O. GonzalezUnsportsmanlike conduct

Match Stats

U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal7
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls7
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
7Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
1661Elo Rating 1372
1.09Attack 0.61
1.60Defense 0.35
14%Hit Rate 0%
13.9Shots per Game 14.3
4.1Shots on Target 2.9
4.7Corners per Game 5.7
3.2Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+289 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
6W1D3L
07/06/2026
U. CatolicaCobresal
51
W
31/05/2026
HuachipatoU. Catolica
03
W
29/05/2026
Boca JuniorsU. Catolica
01
W
25/05/2026
U. CatolicaColo Colo
12
L
22/05/2026
U. CatolicaBarcelona SC
20
W
17/05/2026
Deportes LimacheU. Catolica
02
W
07/05/2026
U. CatolicaCruzeiro
00
D
30/04/2026
Barcelona SCU. Catolica
12
W
26/04/2026
Universidad de ChileU. Catolica
10
L
21/04/2026
U. CatolicaUnion La Calera
12
L
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
3W3D4L
07/06/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
21
L
30/05/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionUnion La Calera
00
D
23/05/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
22
D
16/05/2026
O'HigginsUniversidad de Concepcion
01
W
26/04/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionColo Colo
12
L
18/04/2026
Deportes LimacheUniversidad de Concepcion
30
L
13/04/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionCobresal
10
W
07/04/2026
HuachipatoUniversidad de Concepcion
51
L
15/03/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionPalestino
10
W
10/03/2026
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Concepcion
11
D

Referee Profile

H. Jona133 matches

5.61Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

H. Jona5.61
Other referees5.68

5.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.68).

Cards come from 83 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo26184457:29+2858WDLDD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile26146645:21+2448LWWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica26144853:37+1646WDLWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina26117843:33+1040DLWWL
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WWDLW
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido251051038:35+335WLWLL
8NublenseNublense2698930:39-935LWLLL
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena26810839:42-334DWLLW
10HuachipatoHuachipato25961034:40-633DDWWW
11ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins26941330:39-931WDLLW
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530LDDWW
14CobresalCobresal26761338:48-1027DDDWL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion26651519:47-2823LLDLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera26561523:43-2021LWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2657:2958
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2645:2148
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2653:3746
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2643:3340
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2538:3535
8NublenseNublense2630:3935
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2639:4234
10HuachipatoHuachipato2534:4033
11ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2630:3931
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
14CobresalCobresal2638:4827
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2619:4723
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2623:4321

About the U. Catolica vs Universidad de Concepcion forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

U. Catolica and Universidad de Concepcion in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: U. Catolica are 3rd in the Primera División, while Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: U. Catolica 53-37, Universidad de Concepcion 19-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

U. Catolica and Universidad de Concepcion have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.