Union Magdalena vs Leones FC Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 5
Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 12/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Union Magdalena Rest
4 days
Leones FC Rest
4 days
Union Magdalena vs Leones FC: the result in context
Union Magdalena and Leones FC drew 2-2 in the Primera B on 11 Oct 2026. Union Magdalena had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Leones FC.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
168%1.36
X20%4.20
212%7.70
Double Chance
1X88%1.06
X232%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes45%2.15
No55%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.79 = 2.69
Over 1.573%1.25
Over 2.550%1.84
Over 3.529%3.09
Under 1.527%3.37
Under 2.550%1.85
Under 3.571%1.30
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
12'F. Molina
16'M. Ballesteros
57'C. Rodriguez Cespedes
58'S. Montoya INL. Pacheco out
58'J. Castano INJ. Bonilla out
58'T. Soto INR. Granados out
62'R. Rodriguez INJ. Giraldo out
62'O. Surmay INJ. Mercado out
62'J. Farias INC. Iguaran out
62'M. Ballesteros INJ. Lerma out
73'J. Martinez INT. Calle out
75'
78'J. Bonilla INJ. Echeverry out
90+3'L. Pacheco
Team Comparison
Union Magdalena
Leones FC1499Elo Rating 1297
1.17Attack 0.94
2.33Defense 1.76
50%Hit Rate 19%
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+202 Elo
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Union Magdalena- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
Leones FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Union Magdalena4Wins · 57%Draws114%
Leones FC2Wins · 29%
2Wins · 29%3.3Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7
Previous meetings
14/02/2026Leones FCUnion Magdalena13
06/10/2024Union MagdalenaLeones FC21
05/09/2024Leones FCUnion Magdalena11
02/05/2024Leones FCUnion Magdalena13
25/03/2024Union MagdalenaLeones FC23
04/09/2021Leones FCUnion Magdalena30
09/03/2021Union MagdalenaLeones FC20
Recent Form
Union Magdalena3W3D4L
08/10/2026
PopayanUnion MagdalenaUnion Magdalena
Real Cartagena
Real CundinamarcaUnion Magdalena
PopayanUnion Magdalena11
D03/10/2026
Real SantanderUnion Magdalena
30/09/2026Real SantanderUnion Magdalena13
WUnion MagdalenaReal Cartagena11
D26/09/2026Union Magdalena
Santa Fe
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe11
D19/09/2026
PatriotasUnion Magdalena
13/09/2026PatriotasUnion Magdalena12
WReal CundinamarcaUnion Magdalena21
L06/09/2026Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
Union MagdalenaBarranquilla12
L01/09/2026
EnvigadoUnion Magdalena
EnvigadoUnion Magdalena01
W29/08/2026Union Magdalena
Quindio
Union MagdalenaQuindio02
L24/08/2026
Tigres FCUnion Magdalena
Tigres FCUnion Magdalena10
LLeones FC1W4D5L
07/10/2026Leones FCBarranquilla
Internacional PalmiraLeones FCLeones FCQuindio
Leones FCBarranquilla11
D28/09/2026Internacional PalmiraLeones FC10
L19/09/2026Leones FCPopayan
Leones FCPopayan12
L12/09/2026EnvigadoLeones FC
EnvigadoLeones FC11
D04/09/2026Leones FC
Depor FC
Leones FCDepor FC03
L28/08/2026
Ind. YumboLeones FC
Ind. YumboLeones FC10
L25/08/2026Leones FCReal Cartagena
Leones FCReal Cartagena16
L21/08/2026Leones FCReal Cundinamarca
Leones FCReal Cundinamarca11
D06/08/2026
Bogota FCLeones FC
04/08/2026Bogota FCLeones FC01
WLeones FCQuindio11
DLeague Table
Primera B: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:26 | +14 | 67 | W |
| 2 | Envigado | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 51:33 | +18 | 64 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 60:43 | +17 | 61 | DWDDL |
| 4 | Union Magdalena | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 50:34 | +16 | 61 | DWWDD |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 43:33 | +10 | 61 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 35:31 | +4 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 33:23 | +10 | 47 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 44 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 41 | L |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44:48 | -4 | 40 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Patriotas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 35 | LWWLD |
| 12 | Popayan | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 34 | DWLLL |
| 13 |  Orsomarso | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:31 | -7 | 34 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Depor FC | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 24 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 37 | 40:26 | 67 |
| 2 | Envigado | 38 | 51:33 | 64 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 38 | 60:43 | 61 |
| 4 | Union Magdalena | 36 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 43:33 | 61 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 36 | 35:31 | 48 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 30 | 33:23 | 47 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 30:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 31 | 34:32 | 41 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 44:48 | 40 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 30 | 30:40 | 35 |
| 12 | Popayan | 30 | 35:40 | 34 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 30 | 24:31 | 34 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 30 | 28:44 | 27 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 26:43 | 27 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 20:46 | 24 |
Primera B: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | +12 | 32 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 31 | W |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | +10 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 26 | DWDDL |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 23 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 20 | WLWLW |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | +1 | 20 | LDDDW |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 | LLWDD |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | LWWLD |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | DWLLL |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 | L |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 9 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 9:23 | 7 |
Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 13 | DWDDL |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 9 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | WWDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 3:8 | 3 |
Primera B: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 28 | LLWDD |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 28 | L |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:9 | +7 | 24 | LDDDW |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 23 | W |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 | DWLLL |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 20 | WWWDD |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 18 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | LWWLD |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | WLWLW |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 20:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 20:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 26:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 20:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 17:20 | 20 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 11:14 | 18 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 11:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 11:17 | 16 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 12:22 | 14 |
Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WWWDD |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Popayan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWLLL |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Popayan | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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About the Union Magdalena vs Leones FC forecast
The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Union Magdalena and Leones FC in the Primera B table
The table shows a wide gap: Union Magdalena are 4th in the Primera B, while Leones FC sit 16th, 37 points behind. League goal record so far: Union Magdalena 50-34, Leones FC 20-46. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.