Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 11
Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 30/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Union Magdalena Rest
4 days
Real Cartagena Rest
7 days
Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena: the result in context
Union Magdalena and Real Cartagena drew 1-1 in the Primera B on 30 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.21
X29%3.15
229%3.05
Double Chance
1X71%1.32
X258%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.80
No51%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.91 = 2.24
Over 1.569%1.33
Over 2.544%2.03
Over 3.524%3.48
Under 1.531%3.10
Under 2.556%1.68
Under 3.576%1.22
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
10'L. Taffur
42'M. Balanta
45'J. A. Solarte EspanaOG
64'J. Rodriguez INJ. Rios out
64'L. Taffur IND. Castillo out
66'F. Montero INM. Manotas out
78'
87'
Team Comparison
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena1497Elo Rating 1477
1.14Attack 1.26
2.28Defense 2.32
42%Hit Rate 19%
Game State Tendencies
Union Magdalena- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
Real Cartagena- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Union Magdalena3Wins · 43%Draws114%
Real Cartagena3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%2.7Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7
Previous meetings
12/05/2026Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena30
09/05/2026Real CartagenaUnion Magdalena21
23/03/2026Real CartagenaUnion Magdalena21
26/08/2024Real CartagenaUnion Magdalena20
12/03/2024Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena22
31/08/2021Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena10
16/02/2021Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena21
Recent Form
Union Magdalena2W2D6L
26/09/2026Union Magdalena
Santa Fe
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe11
D19/09/2026
PatriotasUnion Magdalena
13/09/2026PatriotasUnion Magdalena12
W
Real CundinamarcaUnion Magdalena21
L06/09/2026Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
Union MagdalenaBarranquilla12
L01/09/2026
EnvigadoUnion Magdalena
EnvigadoUnion Magdalena01
W29/08/2026Union Magdalena
Quindio
Union MagdalenaQuindio02
L24/08/2026
Tigres FCUnion Magdalena
06/08/2026Tigres FCUnion Magdalena10
LSanta FeUnion Magdalena20
L01/08/2026Union Magdalena
Orsomarso00
D25/07/2026
Bogota FCUnion Magdalena10
LReal Cartagena4W3D3L
22/09/2026Real CartagenaEnvigado
Real CartagenaEnvigado00
D13/09/2026
Internacional PalmiraReal Cartagena
Internacional PalmiraReal Cartagena21
L05/09/2026OrsomarsoReal Cartagena
OrsomarsoReal Cartagena01
W30/08/2026Real CartagenaTigres FC
Real CartagenaTigres FC03
L25/08/2026
Leones FCReal Cartagena
Leones FCReal Cartagena16
W21/08/2026Real CartagenaBogota FC
Real CartagenaBogota FC20
W07/08/2026Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
02/08/2026Real CartagenaInd. Yumbo02
LReal SoachaReal Cartagena11
D30/07/2026Real Cartagena
America de Cali
26/07/2026Real CartagenaAmerica de Cali11
DReal Cartagena
Real Santander51
WLeague Table
Primera B: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 54:34 | +20 | 68 | WW |
| 2 | Quindio | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:26 | +14 | 67 | W |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 52:36 | +16 | 63 | WD |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 60:43 | +17 | 62 | W |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 43:33 | +10 | 61 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 35:31 | +4 | 50 | WD |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 35:29 | +6 | 47 | LD |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 44 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 42 | LL |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44:48 | -4 | 40 | WLWLW |
| 11 |  Popayan | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40:43 | -3 | 38 | LL |
| 12 | Patriotas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 35 | LWWLD |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:31 | -7 | 34 | DLLDW |
| 14 |  Depor FC | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 24 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 40 | 54:34 | 68 |
| 2 | Quindio | 37 | 40:26 | 67 |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 38 | 52:36 | 63 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 39 | 60:43 | 62 |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 43:33 | 61 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 38 | 35:31 | 50 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 32 | 35:29 | 47 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 30:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 32 | 34:32 | 42 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 44:48 | 40 |
| 11 | Popayan | 32 | 40:43 | 38 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 30 | 30:40 | 35 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 30 | 24:31 | 34 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 30 | 28:44 | 27 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 26:43 | 27 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 20:46 | 24 |
Primera B: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | +12 | 32 | WD |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 31 | W |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | +10 | 29 | WW |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 26 | W |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 23 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 20 | WLWLW |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | +1 | 20 | WD |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 | LD |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | LWWLD |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | LL |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 | LL |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 9 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 9:23 | 7 |
Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 13 | W |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 9 | WD |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | WWDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 3:8 | 3 |
Primera B: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 28 | LD |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 28 | LL |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:9 | +7 | 24 | WD |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 23 | W |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 21 | W |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 | LL |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 20 | WW |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 | WD |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 18 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | LWWLD |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | WLWLW |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 20:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 20:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 26:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 20:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 17:20 | 20 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 11:14 | 18 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 11:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 11:17 | 16 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 12:22 | 14 |
Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Popayan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 | LL |
| 2 | Envigado | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | WW |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | WD |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Popayan | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 2 | Envigado | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 | WD |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 4 | Real Cundinamarca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Real Cundinamarca | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
Promotion
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About the Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena forecast
The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Union Magdalena and Real Cartagena in the Primera B table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Union Magdalena are 3rd in the Primera B, 1 point ahead of Real Cartagena in 4th. League goal record so far: Union Magdalena 52-36, Real Cartagena 60-43. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.