Universidad de Chile vs Palestino Prediction

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile·Piero Maza, Chile 10/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Universidad de Chile Rest
4 days
Palestino Rest
8 days

Universidad de Chile vs Palestino: result, form and history

Universidad de Chile beat Palestino 2-1 in the Primera División on 10 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.63
X
21%3.77
2
21%5.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
42%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.80
No
47%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.92 = 2.73
Over 1.5
80%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.82
Over 3.5
34%3.10
Under 1.5
20%3.65
Under 2.5
41%1.93
Under 3.5
66%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.53
Over 9.5
48%1.90
Over 10.5
36%2.44
Under 8.5
40%2.31
Under 9.5
52%1.80
Under 10.5
64%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

18'A. ArceAssist: L. Assadi
26'Eduardo VargasAssist: C. Aranguiz
41'E. RocoFoul
53'B. Carrasco INJ. Abrigo out
53'N. Meza IND. Glaby out
53'I. A. Garguez Gomez INJ. Benitez out
66'L. Assadi INJ. Altamirano out
72'M. Eggel INR. Fernandez out
75'D. GlabyUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'N. Da Silva(Penalty)
83'C. Aranguiz INB. Tamayo out
84'S. Gallegos ING. Tapia Paez out
88'A. Arce INJ. Lucero out
88'M. G. Guerrero Pena INM. Diaz out

Lineups

Universidad de Chile
3-4-3Coach: Fernando Gago
Palestino
4-4-2Coach: Guillermo Farre
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.54
Gabriel Castellón6.325G. Castellón
Fabián Hormazábal7.217F. Hormazábal
Matías Zaldivia6.922M. Zaldivia
Nicolás Ramírez6.95N. Ramírez
Maximiliano Guerrero6.67M. Guerrero
Tobías Reinhart7.215T. Reinhart
Charles AránguizC7.620C. Aránguiz
Marcelo Morales7.214M. Morales
Agustín Arce7.628A. Arce
Eduardo Vargas7.911E. Vargas
Lucas Assadi7.210L. Assadi
Sebastián Pérez7.325S. Pérez
Ian Garguez6.029I. Garguez
Vicente Espinoza6.32V. Espinoza
Enzo Roco6.03E. Roco
Dilan Zúñiga6.928D. Zúñiga
Bryan CarrascoC6.07B. Carrasco
Sebastián Gallegos6.918S. Gallegos
Nicolás Meza6.38N. Meza
César Munder6.327C. Munder
Nelson Da Silva6.919N. Da Silva
Marcelo Eggel6.917M. Eggel

Universidad de Chile Substitutes

19Javier Altamirano66'for L. Assadi6.7
31Bianneider Tamayo6.6
21Marcelo Díaz88'for M. G. Guerrero Pena6.7
18Juan Martín Lucero88'for A. Arce6.3
1Cristopher Toselli
6Nicolás Fernández
2Franco Calderón
32Gonzalo Reyna
23Ignacio Vásquez

Palestino Substitutes

11Jonathan Benítez53'for I. A. Garguez Gomez6.9
14Joe Abrigo53'for B. Carrasco6.2
5Dylan Glaby53'for N. Meza75'6.9
9Ronnie Fernández72'for M. Eggel6.5
20Gonzalo Tapia84'for S. Gallegos6.3
12Renato Canto
16José Bizama
4Antonio Ceza
15Francisco Montes

Match Stats

Universidad de ChilePalestino
53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots8
11Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box3
10Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls14
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves9
427Total Passes368
356Passes Accurate283
83%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
PalestinoPalestino
1700Elo Rating 1569
2.87Attack 1.53
2.07Defense 1.25
58%Hit Rate 34%
17.5Shots per Game 17.2
9.1Shots on Target 4.7
6.2Corners per Game 6.5
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PalestinoPalestino
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
PalestinoPalestino4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Sudamericana05/03/2026
Universidad de ChilePalestino
12
Primera División14/02/2026
PalestinoUniversidad de Chile
00
Primera División13/10/2025
Universidad de ChilePalestino
21
Primera División27/04/2025
PalestinoUniversidad de Chile
23
Primera División15/09/2024
Universidad de ChilePalestino
10
Copa Chile10/09/2024
Universidad de ChilePalestino
01
Copa Chile05/09/2024
PalestinoUniversidad de Chile
05
Primera División21/04/2024
PalestinoUniversidad de Chile
22
Primera División23/07/2023
Universidad de ChilePalestino
01
Primera División05/02/2023
PalestinoUniversidad de Chile
20

Recent Form

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
7W2D1L
06/08/2026
Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
01
W
02/08/2026
Universidad de ChileHuachipato
20
W
26/07/2026
A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile
12
W
05/07/2026
Santiago WanderersUniversidad de Chile
23
W
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
L
28/06/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion San Felipe
20
W
25/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
33
D
21/06/2026
Universidad de ChileSantiago Wanderers
41
W
19/06/2026
Universidad de ChileO'Higgins
20
W
14/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
22
D
PalestinoPalestino
5W1D4L
01/08/2026
PalestinoCoquimbo Unido
21
W
26/07/2026
NublensePalestino
20
L
11/07/2026
PalestinoDeportes Santa Cruz
32
W
04/07/2026
MagallanesPalestino
12
W
01/07/2026
A. ItalianoPalestino
32
L
27/06/2026
Deportes Santa CruzPalestino
00
D
24/06/2026
PalestinoA. Italiano
12
L
20/06/2026
PalestinoMagallanes
41
W
13/06/2026
Everton de VinaPalestino
12
W
08/06/2026
O'HigginsPalestino
21
L

Referee Profile

Piero Maza190 matches

5.66Cards per match
5.26Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Piero Maza5.66
Other referees5.34

5.66 cards a match, 0.32 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.34).

Cards come from 167 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica24133851:36+1542LWWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2478927:32-529DWWLD
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2451:3642
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2427:3229
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Universidad de Chile vs Palestino forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Universidad de Chile and Palestino in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Universidad de Chile are 2nd and Palestino 5th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Universidad de Chile 45-20, Palestino 39-36. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.