Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod Prediction

Ural
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Nizhny Novgorod
Central Stadium(Yekaterinburg), Yekaterinburg 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Ural Rest
8 days
Nizhny Novgorod Rest
3 days

Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod: result, form and history

Nizhny Novgorod beat Ural 2-1 in the First League on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Nizhny Novgorod had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Ural.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 0.8 goals a game across 6 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.47
X
30%3.10
2
32%2.75
Double Chance
1X
68%1.40
X2
62%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.83
No
45%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.4 = 2.62
Over 1.5
69%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.13
Over 3.5
26%3.68
Under 1.5
31%2.83
Under 2.5
54%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Yuriy Koledin
8'Nikita Kakkoev
17'Martin Sekulic
24'Vyacheslav Grulev
31'Nikolay Kalinskiy
43'Evgeniy Kharin
46'Artem Sokolov
60'Ivan Bober INVladislav Sarveli out
63'Vladislav Karapuzov
68'Gleb Popolitov INTimofey Komissarov out
68'Yuriy Koledin INGleb Shilnikov out
69'Vladislav Karapuzov INNikita morozov out
69'Evgeniy Kharin INDmitriy Prishchepa out
80'Silvije Begić
82'Gleb Shilnikov
83'Léo Cordeiro INVitaliy Stezhko out
86'Vitaliy Bondarev INMaksim Kaynov out
86'Dmitriy Tikhiy INBertrand Fourrier out
87'
88'Vitaliy Stezhko
89'Artem Sokolov INMamadou Maiga out

Lineups

Ural
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Yuran
Nizhny Novgorod
4-2-3-1Coach: Vadim Garanin
A. Selikhov57A. Selikhov
V. Karapuzov17V. Karapuzov
Ítalo16Ítalo
S. Begić2S. Begić
D. Tikhiy15D. Tikhiy
F. Sungatulin6F. Sungatulin
Léo Cordeiro22L. Cordeiro
E. Kharin59E. Kharin
I. Ishkov97I. Ishkov
Vitaliy Bondarev37V. Bondarev
M. Sekulić10M. Sekulić
N. Medvedev30N. Medvedev
V. Aleksandrov2V. Aleksandrov
N. Kakkoev22N. Kakkoev
Y. Koledin3Y. Koledin
Y. Gudkov66Y. Gudkov
N. Kalinskiy78N. Kalinskiy
N. Ermakov19N. Ermakov
I. Bober7I. Bober
G. Popolitov11G. Popolitov
A. Sokolov18A. Sokolov
V. Grulev27V. Grulev

Ural Substitutes

86I. Kuznetsov
35D. Prishchepa69'for Evgeniy Kharin
43R. Shoronov
18N. Morozov69'for Vladislav Karapuzov
19K. Bayramyan
99B. Fourrier86'for Dmitriy Tikhiy
13M. Kaynov86'for Vitaliy Bondarev
5V. Stezhko83'for Léo Cordeiro88'

Nizhny Novgorod Substitutes

25S. Karič
72T. Komissarov68'for Gleb Popolitov
93S. Lapinskiy
8M. Maiga89'for Artem Sokolov
9V. Sarveli60'for Ivan Bober
17G. Shilnikov68'for Yuriy Koledin82'
94A. Timofeev
80V. Tsarukyan
15A. Ektov
91V. Ignatenko
4R. Evgenjev
98I. Imamov

Match Stats

UralNizhny Novgorod
56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal4

Team Comparison

UralUral
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
1552Elo Rating 1625
1.70Attack 3.06
1.72Defense 2.81
58%Hit Rate 100%
6.1Shots per Game 11.1
2.7Shots on Target 6.8
5.5Corners per Game 5.0
3.8Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend17% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

UralUral
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

UralUral0Wins · 0%
Draws350%
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3Wins · 50%
0.8Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
0%3+ goals0 of 6

Previous meetings

Premier League02/12/2023
Nizhny NovgorodUral
10
Premier League29/07/2023
UralNizhny Novgorod
00
Premier League07/05/2023
Nizhny NovgorodUral
00
Premier League20/08/2022
UralNizhny Novgorod
01
Premier League26/02/2022
Nizhny NovgorodUral
10
Premier League01/08/2021
UralNizhny Novgorod
11

Recent Form

UralUral
5W3D2L
10/10/2026
UralVeles
12
L
26/09/2026
Spartak KostromaUral
12
W
18/09/2026
FK NeftekhimikUral
01
W
14/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlUral
11
D
10/09/2026
Luki-EnergiyaUral
21
L
06/09/2026
UralKAMAZ
20
W
29/08/2026
Arsenal TulaUral
22
D
22/08/2026
UralTekstilshchik
20
W
14/08/2026
Rotor VolgogradUral
11
D
08/08/2026
UralFC UFA
30
W
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
8W1D1L
14/10/2026
Nizhny NovgorodShinnik Yaroslavl
40
W
10/10/2026
Nizhny NovgorodEnisey
50
W
17/09/2026
Nizhny NovgorodLeningradets
60
W
13/09/2026
Torpedo MoskvaNizhny Novgorod
12
W
09/09/2026
Dinamo StavropolNizhny Novgorod
12
W
05/09/2026
FC SochiNizhny Novgorod
01
W
30/08/2026
Nizhny NovgorodVolga Ulyanovsk
22
D
24/08/2026
Nizhny NovgorodSka-khabarovsk
42
W
19/08/2026
VelesNizhny Novgorod
32
L
15/08/2026
TekstilshchikNizhny Novgorod
13
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

About the Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ural and Nizhny Novgorod in the First League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Nizhny Novgorod are 1st in the First League, 12 points ahead of Ural in 3rd. League goal record so far: Ural 27-11, Nizhny Novgorod 48-15. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nizhny Novgorod have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.