Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo Prediction

12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Uruguay Montevideo Rest
4 days
Tacuarembo Rest
5 days

Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo: the result in context

Uruguay Montevideo and Tacuarembo drew 2-2 in the Segunda División on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.61
X
31%2.86
2
28%2.69
Double Chance
1X
72%1.40
X2
59%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.97
No
52%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.01 = 2.36
Over 1.5
67%1.44
Over 2.5
41%2.35
Over 3.5
24%4.60
Under 1.5
33%2.55
Under 2.5
59%1.50
Under 3.5
76%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'
56'
58'
76'

Team Comparison

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
TacuaremboTacuarembo
1379Elo Rating 1381
1.10Attack 0.75
1.16Defense 1.66
27%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
TacuaremboTacuarembo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
TacuaremboTacuarembo3Wins · 33%
1.7Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Segunda División07/06/2026
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
10
Segunda División26/04/2026
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
11
Segunda División25/10/2025
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
00
Segunda División03/08/2025
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
20
Segunda División26/09/2024
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
00
Segunda División11/06/2024
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
10
Segunda División07/04/2024
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
13
Segunda División29/11/2023
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
20
Segunda División22/07/2023
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
30

Recent Form

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
3W3D4L
TacuaremboTacuarembo
2W2D6L
06/09/2026
TacuaremboOriental
01
L
29/08/2026
ColónTacuarembo
10
L
23/08/2026
TacuaremboFenix
02
L
16/08/2026
RentistasTacuarembo
01
W
09/08/2026
MiramarTacuarembo
11
D
02/08/2026
TacuaremboCA River Plate
10
W
25/07/2026
TacuaremboPlaza Colonia
02
L
13/07/2026
La LuzTacuarembo
20
L
05/07/2026
TacuaremboCerrito
00
D
27/06/2026
AtenasTacuarembo
20
L

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WLWWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712WWLDW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611DWLDW
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310DLWWD
5ColónColón62318:5+39DLWWD
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19LWWDD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17LWLDL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WLDDL
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64WDWLD
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74DLLDD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas25135735:23+1244WDWLD
2RentistasRentistas25117734:27+740LWWDD
3ColónColón25116829:27+239DLWWD
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia24107730:24+637WWLDW
5PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2597937:32+534DLLDD
7OrientalOriental25810734:30+434WLWWW
8CerritoCerrito25810732:29+334DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz2597924:27-334LWLDL
10FenixFenix25710828:30-231DWLDW
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan25871025:33-831DLWWD
12MiramarMiramar2478925:30-529WLDDL
13TacuaremboTacuarembo25681119:28-926DDLLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2535:2344
2RentistasRentistas2534:2740
3ColónColón2529:2739
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2430:2437
5PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2537:3234
7OrientalOriental2534:3034
8CerritoCerrito2532:2934
9La LuzLa Luz2524:2734
10FenixFenix2528:3031
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2525:3331
12MiramarMiramar2425:3029
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2519:2826
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Uruguay Montevideo and Tacuarembo in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Uruguay Montevideo are 6th and Tacuarembo 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Uruguay Montevideo 7-5, Tacuarembo 5-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.