Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Prediction

Valur Reykjavik
2-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Stjarnan
03/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-0.4%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel33%SurpriseHighGap+6.0%
Valur Reykjavik Rest
4 days
Stjarnan Rest
4 days

Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan: result, form and history

Stjarnan beat Valur Reykjavik 3-2 in the Úrvalsdeild on 3 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.25
X
28%3.85
2
31%2.62
Double Chance
1X
69%1.44
X2
59%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.25
No
56%3.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.06
Over 2.5
39%1.25
Over 3.5
20%1.67
Under 1.5
37%7.15
Under 2.5
61%3.45
Under 3.5
80%2.07
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'B. WarenAssist: E. Atlason
25'J. JonssonAssist: S. Veseli
28'S. FridjonssonFoul
33'G. Kristjansson INA. Leifsson out
36'J. GunnarssonFoul
45+3'T. ThorissonFoul
46'D. Gardarson INA. Skoglund out
57'T. Thorisson INA. Bjarnason out
57'E. Atlason INB. Hauksson out
60'S. Veseli INB. Heimisson out
69'J. Palsson INP. Pedersen out
75'J. HaukssonUnsportsmanlike conduct
77'S. Fridjonsson INH. Gunnarsson out
77'L. Heimisson INM. Veldman out
80'M. VeldmanAssist: B. Heimisson
81'B. Ingason INA. Vilhjalmsson out
81'J. Gunnarsson INA. Hauksson out
88'A. VilhjalmssonAssist: B. Waren
90'A. HaukssonFoul
90+4'O. EggertssonAssist: B. Waren

Team Comparison

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
StjarnanStjarnan
1476Elo Rating 1517
2.23Attack 2.46
0.00Defense 0.90
37%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
StjarnanStjarnan
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
StjarnanStjarnan4Wins · 40%
3.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Úrvalsdeild27/04/2026
StjarnanValur Reykjavik
24
Úrvalsdeild04/10/2025
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
32
Úrvalsdeild14/09/2025
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
12
Cup01/07/2025
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
31
Úrvalsdeild14/06/2025
StjarnanValur Reykjavik
32
Úrvalsdeild23/09/2024
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
22
Úrvalsdeild30/05/2024
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
51
Úrvalsdeild19/04/2024
StjarnanValur Reykjavik
10
Úrvalsdeild17/09/2023
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
20
Úrvalsdeild17/07/2023
StjarnanValur Reykjavik
20

Recent Form

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
2W2D6L
30/07/2026
ZrinjskiValur Reykjavik
22
D
23/07/2026
Valur ReykjavikZrinjski
10
W
18/07/2026
Valur ReykjavikFram Reykjavik
23
L
12/07/2026
FH hafnarfjordurValur Reykjavik
20
L
04/07/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarValur Reykjavik
10
L
28/06/2026
Thor AkureyriValur Reykjavik
24
W
21/06/2026
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
11
D
16/06/2026
IA AkranesValur Reykjavik
10
L
31/05/2026
Valur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
15
L
26/05/2026
KR ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
31
L
StjarnanStjarnan
3W3D4L
30/07/2026
IlvesStjarnan
5140
L
26/07/2026
IA AkranesStjarnan
51
L
23/07/2026
StjarnanIlves
10
W
19/07/2026
KR ReykjavikStjarnan
50
L
16/07/2026
Vikingur GotaStjarnan
22
D
09/07/2026
StjarnanVikingur Gota
31
W
03/07/2026
FH hafnarfjordurStjarnan
22
D
28/06/2026
StjarnanKA Akureyri
31
W
21/06/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnan
21
L
16/06/2026
StjarnanBreidablik
44
D

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik22165167:21+4653DDWWD
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik22136356:42+1445DDWWL
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik22135474:49+2544LDWDW
4BreidablikBreidablik2286843:41+230LLLDL
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2286839:41-230WDDWW
6KeflavikKeflavik22841033:38-528LLWWL
7StjarnanStjarnan22841042:50-828DWWLW
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik22831139:45-627WDLDW
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2249927:39-1221LWDLW
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri22631322:50-2821WWLLL
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri22551235:48-1320WDLDL
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar22461232:45-1318DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2267:2153
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2256:4245
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2274:4944
4BreidablikBreidablik2243:4130
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2239:4130
6KeflavikKeflavik2233:3828
7StjarnanStjarnan2242:5028
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2239:4527
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2227:3921
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2222:5021
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2235:4820
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2232:4518
Relegation

About the Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valur Reykjavik and Stjarnan in the Úrvalsdeild table

Stjarnan and Valur Reykjavik are close in the Úrvalsdeild table, 7th and 8th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Valur Reykjavik 39-45, Stjarnan 42-50. The full standings are on the Úrvalsdeild Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.