Veles vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction

Veles
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Spartak Kostroma
Spartakovets Stadium, Moscow·Sergey Fedotov 30/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.37
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Veles Rest
5 days
Spartak Kostroma Rest
3 days

Veles vs Spartak Kostroma: result, form and history

Veles and Spartak Kostroma drew 1-1 in the First League on 30 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Veles tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.6 for Spartak Kostroma.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.85
X
31%3.15
2
36%2.47
Double Chance
1X
63%1.48
X2
67%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.78
No
50%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.22 = 2.37
Over 1.5
69%1.34
Over 2.5
45%2.10
Over 3.5
25%3.58
Under 1.5
31%3.06
Under 2.5
55%1.75
Under 3.5
75%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Denis Zhilmostnykh
11'Nader Mohammadi
50'
54'Karim Giraev
55'Dmitriy Kuchugura INMuslim Bammatgereev out
55'Dmitriy Sadov INAleksandr Shubin out
65'Anatoliy Nemchenko INKirill Chursin out
65'Vladislav Kamilov INDavid Kirakosyan out
65'D. Gurtskaia INDavid Karaev out
71'Vladislav Galkin INIvan Nikin out
71'Kirill Skvortsov INPavel Kotov out
81'Kirill Korolkov INArtur Murza out

Lineups

Veles
Coach: A. Stukalov
Spartak Kostroma
Coach: Evgeniy Taranukhin

Veles Starting XI

90V. Galkin71'replaced by Ivan Nikin
22Y. Zavezen
76I. Kuptsov
9K. Giraev54'
5A. Koloskov
11K. Korolkov81'replaced by Artur Murza
94D. Kuchugura55'replaced by Muslim Bammatgereev
15K. Pliev
88D. Sadov55'replaced by Aleksandr Shubin
23K. Skvortsov71'replaced by Pavel Kotov
77O. Smirnov

Spartak Kostroma Starting XI

50E. Shamov
3S. Bugriev
11D. Gurtskaia65'for David Karaev
90A. Kalmykov
18V. Kamilov65'replaced by David Kirakosyan
17D. Kaptilovich
7K. Malyarov
6N. Mohammadi11'
22A. Nemchenko65'replaced by Kirill Chursin
2N. Tarasov
5D. Zhilmostnykh4'

Veles Substitutes

99N. Abdokov
10M. Bammatgereev55'for Dmitriy Kuchugura
40A. Bezchasnyuk
17P. Kotov71'for Kirill Skvortsov
6I. Melikov
7A. Murza81'for Kirill Korolkov
87I. Nikin71'for Vladislav Galkin
41S. Samok
18D. Sergeev
97A. Shubin55'for Dmitriy Sadov
70Matvey Zakharzhevskiy

Spartak Kostroma Substitutes

13I. Rubtsov
66Maksim Nikiforov
82O. Nikiforenko
96A. Mokhammad
77I. Meshcheryakov
73D. Kirakosyan65'for Vladislav Kamilov
10D. Karaev65'replaced by D. Gurtskaia
68M. Gaydash
69K. Chursin65'for Anatoliy Nemchenko
70R. Chervyakov

Match Stats

VelesSpartak Kostroma
55%Ball Possession45%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Offsides0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

VelesVeles
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
1454Elo Rating 1526
0.94Attack 1.34
1.86Defense 1.85
17%Hit Rate 36%
9.4Shots per Game 8.1
3.0Shots on Target 3.6
6.9Corners per Game 4.6
1.5Cards per Game 2.7

Game State Tendencies

VelesVeles
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

VelesVeles
3W3D4L
25/10/2026
Volga UlyanovskVeles
10
L
18/10/2026
VelesShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
10/10/2026
UralVeles
12
W
04/10/2026
VelesVolga Ulyanovsk
12
L
17/09/2026
Torpedo MoskvaVeles
11
D
14/09/2026
VelesFC Sochi
12
L
09/09/2026
MuromVeles
10
L
05/09/2026
FC UFAVeles
11
D
29/08/2026
TekstilshchikVeles
01
W
24/08/2026
VelesArsenal Tula
20
W
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
7W0D3L
26/10/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
21
L
17/10/2026
Spartak KostromaLeningradets
20
W
13/10/2026
Spartak KostromaChelyabinsk
10
W
09/10/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
32
L
26/09/2026
Spartak KostromaUral
12
L
18/09/2026
Volga UlyanovskSpartak Kostroma
01
W
14/09/2026
Spartak KostromaFK Neftekhimik
10
W
08/09/2026
RyazanSpartak Kostroma
02
W
05/09/2026
ChelyabinskSpartak Kostroma
01
W
31/08/2026
Spartak KostromaRotor Volgograd
10
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi15102326:15+1132WWWDW
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4UralUral1584325:11+1428WLLWW
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1558220:15+523WDWDL
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
9FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
13ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1543819:26-715LLWDW
14EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
15Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
16KAMAZKAMAZ1534819:27-813LWDWD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1526:1532
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4UralUral1525:1128
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1520:1523
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
9FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
13ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1519:2615
14EniseyEnisey1616:3314
15Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
16KAMAZKAMAZ1519:2713
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

About the Veles vs Spartak Kostroma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Veles and Spartak Kostroma in the First League table

In the First League table, Veles (6th) and Spartak Kostroma (5th) are level on 28 points. League goal record so far: Veles 21-20, Spartak Kostroma 22-16. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Veles and Spartak Kostroma have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.