Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 Prediction

Waalwijk
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Jong PSV U21
Mandemakers Stadion, WaalwijkĀ·R. Sturm 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Waalwijk Rest
7 days
Jong PSV U21 Rest
4 days

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21: result, form and history

Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 drew 2-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee R. Sturm averages 2.80 cards a game, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.70
X
22%4.10
2
18%4.10
Double Chance
1X
82%1.20
X2
40%2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.43
No
35%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 1.07 = 2.98
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
56%1.41
Over 3.5
35%2.04
Under 1.5
18%5.78
Under 2.5
44%2.71
Under 3.5
65%1.74
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'K. Varela
19'K. VarelaAssist: J. van de Haar
28'S. SidibeAssist: F. Kluit
46'K. Oteng-Mensah INA. Jones out
46'S. Dumbili INM. Bahaty out
46'A. JonesAssist: J. Koller
63'J. van de Haar INF. Stokkers out
63'K. Varela INA. Dkidak out
64'R. Fage INY. van der Veen out
71'M. BahatyFoul
73'J. Nap INR. van Hedel out
81'J. Koller INB. Mulders out
81'F. Kluit INJ. Beerens out
86'J. de WijsFoul
87'J. de Wijs INH. van Gemert out
89'E. Bassey INK. Penso out

Lineups

Waalwijk
4-4-2Coach: Sander Duits
Jong PSV U21
4-2-3-1Coach: Stijn Schaars
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.64
Niek Schiks7.21N. Schiks
Faissal Al Mazyani6.333F. Al Mazyani
Liam Van Gelderen6.34L. Van Gelderen
Jordy de WijsC7.230J. de Wijs
Juan Familia-Castillo6.95J. Familia-Castillo
Ryan Fage6.97R. Fage
Jochem Nap7.08J. Nap
Loek Postma6.36L. Postma
Keyan Varela8.920K. Varela
Jesse van de Haar6.59J. van de Haar
Thijs van Leeuwen7.210T. van Leeuwen
Khadim Ngom7.01K. Ngom
Essien Bassey6.32E. Bassey
Fabian MeriƩn6.23F. MeriƩn
Madi MonamayC6.34M. Monamay
Gino Verhulst6.25G. Verhulst
Souleymane Sidibe8.06S. Sidibe
Shuryjano Cornecion6.98S. Cornecion
Samuel Dumbili6.27S. Dumbili
Jim Koller6.610J. Koller
Fabio Kluit6.911F. Kluit
Keziah Oteng Mensah5.99K. Oteng Mensah

Waalwijk Substitutes

27Finn Stokkers63'for J. van de Haar6.3
24Azzedine Dkidak63'for K. Varela6.7
11Yoram van der Veen64'for R. Fage7.2
31Luuk Vogels
16Mark Spenkelink
42Bart Kemmeren
3Sven van der Plas
55Nazjir Held
25Navajo Bakboord
18Rein van Hedel73'for J. Nap6.5
19Haye Van Gemert87'for J. de Wijs

Jong PSV U21 Substitutes

19Austyn Jones46'for K. Oteng-Mensah46'7.5
17Manuel Bahaty46'for S. Dumbili71'6.3
16Stijn Kuijsten
23Eskil Moedt
15Rivas Manuhutu
22Kyano Penso89'for E. Bassey
14Brent Jonkers
21Boet Mulders81'for J. Koller
18Jairo Beerens81'for F. Kluit

Match Stats

WaalwijkJong PSV U21
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots16
9Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
458Total Passes472
372Passes Accurate378
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

WaalwijkWaalwijk
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U21
1585Elo Rating 1541
0.86Attack 2.65
1.45Defense 1.99
0%Hit Rate 50%
17.3Shots per Game 8.2
3.5Shots on Target 3.9
7.1Corners per Game 3.9
1.1Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
šŸ“‰Home Underperforming
šŸ“ŠAway Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

WaalwijkWaalwijk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U21
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

WaalwijkWaalwijk1Wins Ā· 50%
Draws00%
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211Wins Ā· 50%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie24/04/2026
WaalwijkJong PSV U21
41
Eerste Divisie01/12/2025
Jong PSV U21Waalwijk
31

Recent Form

WaalwijkWaalwijk
2W6D2L
21/08/2026
Helmond SportWaalwijk
11
D
14/08/2026
WaalwijkDordrecht
22
D
07/08/2026
VitesseWaalwijk
11
D
02/08/2026
WaalwijkKifisia
30
W
29/07/2026
WaalwijkPatro Eisden
12
L
25/07/2026
WaalwijkBochum II
02
L
11/07/2026
Kozakken BoysWaalwijk
00
D
04/07/2026
WaalwijkJong AZ
11
D
30/06/2026
WaalwijkRot-weiss Oberhausen
21
W
09/05/2026
Willem IIWaalwijk
11
D
Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U21
4W1D5L
24/08/2026
Jong PSV U21FC OSS
10
W
19/08/2026
Sunderland U21Jong PSV U21
11
D
14/08/2026
Almere City FCJong PSV U21
31
L
10/08/2026
Jong PSV U21FC Volendam
32
W
18/07/2026
Jong PSV U21KRC Genk II
24
L
24/04/2026
WaalwijkJong PSV U21
41
L
17/04/2026
Jong PSV U21Jong Ajax
01
L
13/04/2026
Jong AZJong PSV U21
02
W
06/04/2026
Jong PSV U21VVV Venlo
10
W
03/04/2026
Willem IIJong PSV U21
10
L

Referee Profile

R. Sturm73 matches

2.80Cards per match
2.73Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Sturm2.80
Other referees3.56

2.80 cards a match, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.56).

Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1381427:13+1425WLLWW
5RodaRoda1374217:12+525WWWDL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1361630:22+819LWDWL
8VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
9MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
10Jong AZJong AZ1352632:28+417LWDLW
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
12WaalwijkWaalwijk1337322:19+316LDDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap1343617:27-1015WDLWD
15FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1333723:28-512WLLLD
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1332818:28-1011LLLLD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1327:1325
5RodaRoda1317:1225
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1330:2219
8VitesseVitesse1216:1717
9MVVMVV1216:2717
10Jong AZJong AZ1332:2817
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
12WaalwijkWaalwijk1322:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap1317:2715
15FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1323:2812
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1318:2811
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522WLLWW
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWWDL
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515LWDWL
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414LDDLD
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413LWDLW
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLLD
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011WDLWD
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39WLLLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1RodaRoda33007:4+39WWWDL
2EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
3HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
4VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
5NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
6Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
7Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
8FC VolendamFC Volendam31118:5+34LWDWL
9De GraafschapDe Graafschap31114:404WDLWD
10Jong AZJong AZ311110:1004LWDLW
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
12DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
13VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC31025:6-13WLLWW
15Helmond SportHelmond Sport31027:9-23WLLLD
16WaalwijkWaalwijk30213:4-12LDDLD
17FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
18MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
19Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
20FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven30033:6-30LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1RodaRoda37:49
2EmmenEmmen24:16
3HeraclesHeracles26:24
4VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
5NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
6Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
7Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
8FC VolendamFC Volendam38:54
9De GraafschapDe Graafschap34:44
10Jong AZJong AZ310:104
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
12DordrechtDordrecht23:43
13VitesseVitesse21:23
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC35:63
15Helmond SportHelmond Sport37:93
16WaalwijkWaalwijk33:42
17FC OSSFC OSS24:51
18MVVMVV23:71
19Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80
20FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven33:60

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000WDLWD
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLLD
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000WLLLD
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000WLLWW
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000LWDWL
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000LDDLD
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWWDL
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000LWDLW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000WDLWD
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLLD
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000WLLLD
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000WLLWW
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000LWDWL
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000LDDLD
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWWDL
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000LWDLW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Waalwijk (12th) and Jong PSV U21 (11th) are level on 16 points. League goal record so far: Waalwijk 22-19, Jong PSV U21 17-19. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.