Waalwijk vs Dordrecht Prediction

Waalwijk
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Dordrecht
Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk·R. Martens 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Waalwijk Rest
7 days
Dordrecht Rest
7 days

Waalwijk vs Dordrecht: the result in context

Waalwijk and Dordrecht drew 2-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 14 Aug 2026. Dordrecht had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Waalwijk.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.83
X
18%3.75
2
14%3.85
Double Chance
1X
86%1.23
X2
32%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.57
No
49%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 0.94 = 2.71
Over 1.5
80%1.19
Over 2.5
53%1.63
Over 3.5
30%2.60
Under 1.5
20%4.33
Under 2.5
47%2.20
Under 3.5
70%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.32
Over 9.5
51%1.60
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.87
Under 9.5
49%2.22
Under 10.5
60%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
54%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
46%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

12'D. SitsAssist: A. Ouarghi
34'A. OuarghiFoul
46'A. Dkidak INR. Fage out
46'Y. M'Bemba INL. Riccio out
46'R. van Hedel INT. van Leeuwen out
50'K. VarelaAssist: J. Nap
56'B. MpanzuHandling
60'K. Varela INY. van der Veen out
60'M. VetkalFoul
61'J. de WijsFoul
65'M. Vetkal INN. Rossi out
65'A. Lechkar INJ. van Aken out
73'N. RossiAssist: A. Ouarghi
74'J. de Wijs INS. van der Plas out
81'N. Venema INN. Felicia out
82'T. van de Loo INH. van Gemert out
90+1'A. Ouarghi INR. van Asten out
90+1'H. van Gemert
90+3'D. SitsUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Waalwijk
4-4-2Coach: Sander Duits
Dordrecht
4-3-3Coach: Paul Nuijten
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.91
Niek Schiks6.91N. Schiks
Faissal Al Mazyani6.333F. Al Mazyani
Liam Van Gelderen6.74L. Van Gelderen
Jordy de WijsC6.230J. de Wijs
Juan Familia-Castillo7.05J. Familia-Castillo
Azzedine Dkidak6.724A. Dkidak
Tim van de Loo6.722T. van de Loo
Jochem Nap6.28J. Nap
Keyan Varela7.520K. Varela
Jesse van de Haar6.39J. van de Haar
Rein van Hedel6.318R. van Hedel
Calvin Raatsie8.21C. Raatsie
Adil Lechkar6.92A. Lechkar
Sem ValkC7.03S. Valk
Yannis M'Bemba6.915Y. M'Bemba
Beni Mpanzu6.55B. Mpanzu
Senne Vugts6.78S. Vugts
Jaden Pinas6.64J. Pinas
Martin Vetkal6.321M. Vetkal
Nick Venema6.67N. Venema
Dario Sits7.577D. Sits
Ayoub Ouarghi7.210A. Ouarghi

Waalwijk Substitutes

7Ryan Fage46'for A. Dkidak6.7
10Thijs van Leeuwen46'for R. van Hedel6.7
11Yorem van der Veen60'for K. Varela6.9
3Sven van der Plas74'for J. de Wijs6.6
19Haye Van Gemert82'for T. van de Loo90+1'6.3
16Mark Spenkelink
13Xander Mulder
6Loek Postma
55Nazjir Held
25Navajo Bakboord

Dordrecht Substitutes

6Lorenzo Riccio46'for Y. M'Bemba6.6
22Jurre van Aken65'for A. Lechkar6.7
11Nicolás Rossi65'for M. Vetkal73'7.6
29Siginho Gerardo6.3
18Robin van Asten90+1'for A. Ouarghi
13Dean Hogervorst
28Tim Coremans
23Lucas Woudenberg
14Seung-gyun Bae
20Lawson Sunderland
16Lucas Román
17Yunus Younous

Match Stats

WaalwijkDordrecht
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots1
12Fouls11
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
315Total Passes491
220Passes Accurate416
70%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

WaalwijkWaalwijk
DordrechtDordrecht
1585Elo Rating 1434
0.86Attack 1.33
1.45Defense 0.64
0%Hit Rate 19%
17.3Shots per Game 13.6
3.5Shots on Target 3.5
7.1Corners per Game 6.9
1.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+151 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WaalwijkWaalwijk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DordrechtDordrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

WaalwijkWaalwijk1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
DordrechtDordrecht0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie18/01/2026
WaalwijkDordrecht
11
Eerste Divisie20/10/2025
DordrechtWaalwijk
12

Recent Form

WaalwijkWaalwijk
3W4D3L
07/08/2026
VitesseWaalwijk
11
D
02/08/2026
WaalwijkKifisia
30
W
29/07/2026
WaalwijkPatro Eisden
12
L
25/07/2026
WaalwijkBochum II
02
L
11/07/2026
Kozakken BoysWaalwijk
00
D
04/07/2026
WaalwijkJong AZ
11
D
30/06/2026
WaalwijkRot-weiss Oberhausen
21
W
09/05/2026
Willem IIWaalwijk
11
D
05/05/2026
WaalwijkWillem II
01
L
01/05/2026
WaalwijkRoda
3111
W
DordrechtDordrecht
4W1D5L
07/08/2026
DordrechtJong Ajax
21
W
01/08/2026
DordrechtRSC Anderlecht II
02
L
25/07/2026
DordrechtAl Khaleej Saihat
22
D
18/07/2026
DordrechtLusail City
50
W
14/07/2026
DordrechtBorussia Dortmund II
41
W
11/07/2026
DordrechtExcelsior
02
L
04/07/2026
DordrechtFeyenoord
06
L
27/06/2026
DordrechtSchalke 04 II
30
W
24/04/2026
DordrechtWillem II
12
L
17/04/2026
Almere City FCDordrecht
41
L

Referee Profile

R. Martens131 matches

3.44Cards per match
3.28Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Martens3.44
Other referees3.23

3.44 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1381427:13+1425WLLWW
5RodaRoda1374217:12+525WWWDL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1361630:22+819LWDWL
8VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
9MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
10Jong AZJong AZ1352632:28+417LWDLW
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
12WaalwijkWaalwijk1337322:19+316LDDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap1343617:27-1015WDLWD
15FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1333723:28-512WLLLD
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1332818:28-1011LLLLD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1327:1325
5RodaRoda1317:1225
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1330:2219
8VitesseVitesse1216:1717
9MVVMVV1216:2717
10Jong AZJong AZ1332:2817
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
12WaalwijkWaalwijk1322:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap1317:2715
15FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1323:2812
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1318:2811
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522WLLWW
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWWDL
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515LWDWL
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414LDDLD
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413LWDLW
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLLD
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011WDLWD
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39WLLLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1RodaRoda33007:4+39WWWDL
2EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
3HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
4VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
5NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
6Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
7Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
8FC VolendamFC Volendam31118:5+34LWDWL
9De GraafschapDe Graafschap31114:404WDLWD
10Jong AZJong AZ311110:1004LWDLW
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
12DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
13VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC31025:6-13WLLWW
15Helmond SportHelmond Sport31027:9-23WLLLD
16WaalwijkWaalwijk30213:4-12LDDLD
17FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
18MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
19Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
20FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven30033:6-30LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1RodaRoda37:49
2EmmenEmmen24:16
3HeraclesHeracles26:24
4VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
5NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
6Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
7Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
8FC VolendamFC Volendam38:54
9De GraafschapDe Graafschap34:44
10Jong AZJong AZ310:104
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
12DordrechtDordrecht23:43
13VitesseVitesse21:23
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC35:63
15Helmond SportHelmond Sport37:93
16WaalwijkWaalwijk33:42
17FC OSSFC OSS24:51
18MVVMVV23:71
19Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80
20FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven33:60

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000WDLWD
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLLD
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000WLLLD
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000WLLWW
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000LWDWL
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000LDDLD
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWWDL
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000LWDLW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000WDLWD
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLLD
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000WLLLD
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000WLLWW
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000LWDWL
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000LDDLD
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWWDL
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000LWDLW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Waalwijk vs Dordrecht forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Waalwijk and Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Waalwijk are 12th and Dordrecht 18th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Waalwijk 22-19, Dordrecht 16-31. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Waalwijk and Dordrecht have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.