Wales vs Norway Prediction
World · League A - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Wales vs Norway: the result in context
Wales beat Norway 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 1 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Norway had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Wales.
Referee Alejandro Hernandez averages 5.37 cards a game, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Wales
Avg ratingAvg rating
12D. Ward
3N. Williams
6B. Cabango
4B. Davies
15J. Dasilva
5E. Ampadu
17J. James
20D. James
10L. Cullen
19S. Thomas
9L. Koumas
1Ø. Nyland
14J. Ryerson
3K. Ajer
17T. Heggem
5D. Møller Wolfe
10M. Ødegaard
8S. Berge
7F. Aursnes
22O. Bobb
9E. Haaland
21A. SchjelderupWales Substitutes
Norway Substitutes
Match Stats
WalesNorway Team Comparison
WalesNorwayAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Wales- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Norway- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
Recent Form
Wales
DenmarkWales
PortugalWales
RomaniaWalesWales
GhanaWales
Bosnia & HerzegovinaWales
FYR Macedonia
LiechtensteinWalesWales
Belgium
KazakhstanWalesBelgiumWalesNorwayNorwayPortugalNorwayDenmarkNorway
England
BrazilNorway
Ivory CoastNorwayNorway
FranceNorway
Senegal
IraqNorway
MoroccoNorwayNorway
SwedenReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.37 cards a match, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).
Cards come from 187 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsExplore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Nations League matches
About the Wales vs Norway forecast
This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Wales and Norway in the UEFA Nations League table
In the UEFA Nations League table, Wales (3rd) and Norway (4th) are level on 3 points. League goal record so far: Wales 2-5, Norway 6-8. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Wales and Norway have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.