Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana·Pawel Raczkowski 16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Wieczysta Kraków Rest
3 days
Raków Częstochowa Rest
6 days

Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: result, form and history

Raków Częstochowa beat Wieczysta Kraków 2-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Pawel Raczkowski averages 5.20 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.00
X
26%3.77
2
29%3.10
Double Chance
1X
71%1.32
X2
54%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.37 = 2.95
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
61%1.47
Over 3.5
39%2.25
Under 1.5
18%5.10
Under 2.5
39%2.41
Under 3.5
61%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 5.1 = 10.8
Over 8.5
72%1.36
Over 9.5
62%1.60
Over 10.5
50%2.00
Under 8.5
28%2.88
Under 9.5
38%2.16
Under 10.5
50%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

32'Bogdan RacovitanDissent
56'Stratos SvarnasFoul
59'José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido INLisandro Semedo out
62'Isak Brusberg INLamine Diaby Fadiga out
62'Tomasz Pienko INJean Carlos out
63'Duje DujmovicFoul
65'Antonio MilicFoul
67'Kamil PestkaFoul
69'Lisandro SemedoAssist: Efthymios Koulouris
76'Penalty confirmedOskar Repka
79'Lamine Diaby Fadiga(Penalty)
79'Kamil Pestka INMatúš Vojtko out
79'Efthymios Koulouris INChristophe Lungoyi out
87'Mahir Emreli INAdam Basse out
87'Lucas Piazón INBartosz Bialek out
87'Karol Fila INKamil Dankowski out
88'Lamine Diaby FadigaAssist: Patryk Makuch
90+1'Erick Otieno INNils Zätterström out
90+1'Patryk Makuch INArvid Brorsson out

Lineups

Wieczysta Kraków
3-4-3Coach: Ž. Kopić
Raków Częstochowa
4-4-1-1Coach: T. Kaczmarek
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.83
M. Kochalski8.877M. Kochalski
A. Đermanović6.815A. Đermanović
A. Milić6.316A. Milić
D. Dujmović6.455D. Dujmović
K. Fila6.74K. Fila
T. Christensen6.910T. Christensen
M. Maigaard6.420M. Maigaard
K. Pestka6.533K. Pestka
José de la Rosa6.619J. de la Rosa
E. Koulouris7.19E. Koulouris
Lucas Piazón6.712L. Piazón
K. Trelowski6.61K. Trelowski
F. Tudor6.87F. Tudor
B. Racovițan6.725B. Racovițan
S. Svarnas6.44S. Svarnas
E. Otieno7.726E. Otieno
M. Emreli6.511M. Emreli
K. Struski7.123K. Struski
O. Repka6.16O. Repka
T. Pieńko6.521T. Pieńko
I. Brusberg6.339I. Brusberg
P. Makuch7.79P. Makuch

Wieczysta Kraków Substitutes

17K. Dankowski87'for Karol Fila6.3
21B. Białek87'for Lucas Piazón5.9
11N. Knežević
8B. Lederman
88C. Lungoyi79'for Efthymios Koulouris6.1
23Miki Villar
1A. Mikułko
97T. Mras
70P. Pušić
7Lisandro Semedo59'for José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido69'7.5
27M. Vojtko79'for Kamil Pestka6.5
13K. Zagrodzki

Raków Częstochowa Substitutes

3A. Brorsson90+1'for Patryk Makuch
29W. Żołneczko
19N. Zätterström90+1'for Erick Otieno
20Jean Carlos62'for Tomasz Pienko6.2
36M. Perović
44B. Mirčetić
15O. Kwiatkowski
10V. Kochergin
71T. Karić
80L. Diaby-Fadiga62'for Isak Brusberg79'88'8.2
99Adam Basse87'for Mahir Emreli6.9
2J. Napieraj

Match Stats

Wieczysta KrakówRaków Częstochowa
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots23
3Shots on Goal13
9Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
0Offsides2
11Goalkeeper Saves2
530Total Passes481
457Passes Accurate402
10Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
1464Elo Rating 1532
1.20Attack 1.34
1.33Defense 0.99
17%Hit Rate 19%
15.3Shots per Game 18.0
4.2Shots on Target 6.2
6.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Pawel Raczkowski220 matches

5.20Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pawel Raczkowski5.20
Other referees4.30

5.20 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan12101132:11+2131WWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1384121:11+1028DDDWD
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1366123:11+1224DLDWW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1273220:12+824LWWWW
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122WDWLL
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1370625:19+621WLLWW
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1363424:20+421DWDWL
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1363420:18+221LWDLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1260617:18-118WWLLL
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1353514:19-518LWLLW
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1344519:22-316WDWWD
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1243512:18-615DLWLW
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1333715:21-612LLDWL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1318417:19-211LDDLD
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1332815:29-1411WLLLL
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1323817:25-89LWLLL
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa13301019:29-109WLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1322917:26-98LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1232:1131
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1321:1128
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1323:1124
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1220:1224
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1316:1522
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1325:1921
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1324:2021
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1320:1821
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1217:1818
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1314:1918
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1319:2216
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1212:1815
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1315:2112
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1317:1911
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1315:2911
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1317:259
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1319:299
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1317:268
Relegation

About the Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa table

Raków Częstochowa and Wieczysta Kraków are close in the Ekstraklasa table, 17th and 18th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Wieczysta Kraków 17-26, Raków Częstochowa 19-29. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.