HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction
World · Play-offs
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.04
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+13.3%
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
4 days
Raków Częstochowa Rest
4 days
HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa: result, form and history
HNK Hajduk Split and Raków Częstochowa drew 2-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Michal Očenáš averages 4.62 cards a game, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%2.04
X24%3.25
221%3.62
Double Chance
1X79%1.25
X244%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.83
No50%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.14 = 2.89
Over 1.575%1.33
Over 2.553%2.08
Over 3.530%3.60
Under 1.525%3.00
Under 2.547%1.71
Under 3.570%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.5 = 9.4
Over 8.542%1.72
Over 9.530%2.19
Over 10.523%2.90
Under 8.558%2.00
Under 9.570%1.59
Under 10.577%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.540%1.61
Over 4.530%2.15
Under 3.560%2.19
Under 4.570%1.60
Match Events
21'M. SegoAssist: A. Sanyang
27'M. EmreliAssist: E. Otieno
31'Erick OtienoFoul
34'Šimun HrgovićFoul
46'S. Svarnas IND. G. Debohi out
47'D. de AlmeidaAssist: M. Soticek
55'Adrion PajazitiViolent conduct
58'E. Otieno INJ. C. Silva out
58'O. Kwiatkowski INT. Pienko out
61'M. Soticek INA. del Moral out
62'Dalisson de AlmeidaFoul
67'F. Tudor INA. Brorsson out
68'A. Sanyang INA. Sutalo out
68'D. de Almeida IND. Melnjak out
74'V. Kochergin INI. Brusberg out
76'M. Sego INM. Livaja out
77'S. Hrgovic INA. Van Hoorenbeeck out
80'Alberto del MoralFoul
81'Tomasz PieńkoFoul
90'L. Diaby-FadigaAssist: I. Brusberg
90+4'Rokas PukštasFoul
Lineups
HNK Hajduk SplitRaków Częstochowa
3-4-3Coach: Dawid Kroczek
33T. Silic
8N. Sigur
15D. Maresic
14R. Raci
32S. Hrgovic
4A. Pajaziti
21R. Pukstas
7A. Sanyang
9D. de Almeida
23M. Soticek
11M. Sego
1K. Trelowski
7F. Tudor
25B. Racovitan
4S. Svarnas
19M. Ameyaw
6O. Repka
10V. Kochergin
26E. Otieno
80L. Diaby-Fadiga
11M. Emreli
15O. KwiatkowskiHNK Hajduk Split Substitutes
1I. Ivusic
44D. Stipica
3R. Gabric
5A. Van Hoorenbeeck77'for S. Hrgovic
10M. Livaja76'for M. Sego
16A. Sutalo68'for A. Sanyang
17D. Melnjak68'for D. de Almeida
19E. Brruti
20A. del Moral61'for M. Soticek80'
26A. Guram
36M. Skelin
38L. Hodak
Raków Częstochowa Substitutes
29W. Zolneczko
71T. Karic
2J. Napieraj
3A. Brorsson67'for F. Tudor
17J. Jendryka
20J. C. Silva58'for E. Otieno
21T. Pienko58'for O. Kwiatkowski81'
23K. Struski
39I. Brusberg74'for V. Kochergin
77D. G. Debohi46'for S. Svarnas
88A. Molnar
Match Stats
HNK Hajduk SplitRaków Częstochowa 60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
2Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal5
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls9
2Offsides1
Team Comparison
HNK Hajduk SplitRaków Częstochowa1763Elo Rating 1531
1.22Attack 1.54
2.22Defense 0.53
86%Hit Rate 23%
13.3Shots per Game 18.4
5.5Shots on Target 6.3
3.6Corners per Game 4.7
2.1Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+232 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
HNK Hajduk Split- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Raków Częstochowa- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
HNK Hajduk Split6W1D3L
16/08/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
FK Zalgiris VilniusHNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961FK Zalgiris VilniusHNK Hajduk Split
PafosHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk SplitPafos
ŽilinaHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk SplitŽilina
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split12
W13/08/2026HNK Hajduk SplitFK Zalgiris Vilnius40
W09/08/2026HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 196122
D06/08/2026FK Zalgiris VilniusHNK Hajduk Split25
W02/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
30/07/2026NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split21
LPafosHNK Hajduk Split4200
L23/07/2026HNK Hajduk SplitPafos20
W16/07/2026ŽilinaHNK Hajduk Split21
L09/07/2026HNK Hajduk SplitŽilina20
W01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split01
WRaków Częstochowa3W3D4L
16/08/2026
Cracovia KrakowRaków Częstochowa
13/08/2026Cracovia KrakowRaków Częstochowa21
L
Hammarby FFRaków Częstochowa01
W06/08/2026Raków CzęstochowaHammarby FF00
D02/08/2026
Slask WroclawRaków Częstochowa21
L30/07/2026
Valletta FCRaków Częstochowa
26/07/2026Valletta FCRaków Częstochowa04
WRaków Częstochowa
Wisla Plock12
L23/07/2026Raków CzęstochowaValletta FC
Raków CzęstochowaValletta FC31
W16/07/2026
GKS KatowiceRaków Częstochowa
GKS KatowiceRaków Częstochowa11
D11/07/2026
PSV EindhovenRaków Częstochowa
PSV EindhovenRaków Częstochowa22
D08/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusRaków Częstochowa
Olympiakos PiraeusRaków Częstochowa21
LReferee Profile
4.62Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.62 cards a match, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).
Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Larne
Brighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
Hradec Králové
SC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock Rovers
KuPSPafos
Getafe
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabag
Inter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FF
Twente
FC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
SC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar JerusalemRaków CzęstochowaValletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea Cluj
Brann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
AudaNK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
Aluminij
Vojvodina
Ajax
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
Paks
Panathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
Borac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ Cherkasy
Gent
FC Lugano
DukagjiniŽilinaGKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- HNK Hajduk Split Predictions
- Raków Częstochowa Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
HNK Hajduk Split and Raków Częstochowa have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.