Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

Pafos
4-0
After Extra Time
HT 1-0AET 2-0
HNK Hajduk Split
Alphamega Stadium, Limassol·Paweł Raczkowski, Poland 30/07/2026
PafosPafos
4-0
After Extra Time
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalHIGHModel40%SurpriseHighGap+4.2%
Pafos Rest
6 days
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
6 days

Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split: result, form and history

Pafos beat HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 after extra time in the UEFA Europa League on 30 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: HNK Hajduk Split had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Pafos.

Referee Paweł Raczkowski averages 5.23 cards a game, 0.93 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.73
X
27%3.75
2
28%4.45
Double Chance
1X
72%1.18
X2
55%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.77
No
50%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.39 = 2.53
Over 1.5
72%1.26
Over 2.5
53%1.88
Over 3.5
26%3.23
Under 1.5
28%3.55
Under 2.5
47%1.90
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'D. GoldarTripping
40'Guga
45+2'Jaja INV. Dragomir out
45+4'GugaElbowing
50'A. PajazitiRoughing
53'A. Guram INA. Sanyang out
63'S. Hrgovic INM. Livaja out
63'M. Acapandie INN. Sigur out
68'I. SunjicHolding
71'D. Quina INJ. Correia out
71'Guga INPepe out
82'I. Sunjic INM. Mammadov out
82'N. Ioannou INK. Sema out
85'A. Pajaziti INA. del Moral out
90+1'D. GoldarAssist: V. Dragomir

Extra Time2 - 0

93'Biel
96'R. PukstasTripping
98'D. de Almeida INA. Sutalo out
103'Biel INA. Brito out
106'D. Maresic INM. Skelin out
117'J. CorreiaAssist: Pepe

Lineups

Pafos
4-3-3Coach: Albert Celades
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo Garcia
Radosław Majecki99R. Majecki
Bruno7Bruno
David Goldar5D. Goldar
David Luiz4D. Luiz
Nikolas Ioannou14N. Ioannou
Domingos Quina8D. Quina
Ivan Šunjić26I. Šunjić
Guga6Guga
Biel20Biel
Lelê18Lelê
Jajá11Jajá
Toni Silić33T. Silić
Mathieu Acapandié22M. Acapandié
Dario Marešić15D. Marešić
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Šimun Hrgović32Š. Hrgović
Rokas Pukštas21R. Pukštas
Adrion Pajaziti4A. Pajaziti
Adam Huram26A. Huram
Dalisson de Almeida9D. de Almeida
Dario Melnjak17D. Melnjak
Michele Šego11M. Šego

Pafos Substitutes

30Vlad Dragomir45+2'for Jaja
71Michalis Papastylianou
82Petros Petrou
3Samy Mmaee
72Kosmas Ioannou
42Georgios Michael
50Alexandre Brito103'for Biel
80Christos Efzona
77João Correia71'for D. Quina117'
88Pêpê71'for Guga
12Ken Sema82'for N. Ioannou
47Murad Mammadov82'for I. Sunjic

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

7Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba53'for A. Guram
8Niko Sigur63'for M. Acapandie
10Marko Livaja63'for S. Hrgovic
1Ivica Ivušić
44Dante Stipica
14Ron Raçi
36Marino Skelin106'for D. Maresic
38Luka Hodak
16Anđelo Šutalo98'for D. de Almeida
19Etnik Brruti
20Alberto del Moral85'for A. Pajaziti
37Noa Skoko

Match Stats

PafosHNK Hajduk Split
65%Ball Possession35%
9Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
5Shots on Goal2
13Shots off Goal3
2Blocked Shots1
16Fouls14
2Offsides3

Team Comparison

PafosPafos
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
1655Elo Rating 1763
0.96Attack 1.22
1.70Defense 2.22
17%Hit Rate 86%
13.2Shots per Game 13.3
4.4Shots on Target 5.5
6.6Corners per Game 3.6
2.0Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PafosPafos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

PafosPafos0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

PafosPafos
4W2D4L
23/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitPafos
20
L
16/07/2026
Slovan BratislavaPafos
32
L
12/07/2026
JagielloniaPafos
10
L
08/07/2026
FK JablonecPafos
00
D
03/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowPafos
12
W
29/05/2026
Apollon LimassolPafos
02
W
22/05/2026
PafosApoel Nicosia
20
W
16/05/2026
AEK LarnacaPafos
22
D
10/05/2026
PafosAris
20
W
06/05/2026
PafosOmonia Nicosia
02
L
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
7W1D2L
23/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitPafos
20
W
16/07/2026
ŽilinaHNK Hajduk Split
21
L
09/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitŽilina
20
W
01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
27/06/2026
LNZ CherkasyHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
23/06/2026
ShkendijaHNK Hajduk Split
04
W
22/05/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitVukovar
63
W
16/05/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk Split
11
D
09/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Hajduk Split
20
L
03/05/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
31
W

Referee Profile

Paweł Raczkowski219 matches

5.23Cards per match
5.03Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paweł Raczkowski5.23
Other referees4.30

5.23 cards a match, 0.93 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
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Mjallby AIF
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Trabzonspor
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Lillestrom
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Ararat-Armenia
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Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded

About the Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pafos and HNK Hajduk Split have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.