CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Prediction

CSKA Sofia
0-0
After Penalties
HT 0-0PEN 5-4
Qarabag
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia·B. Van Driessche 30/07/2026
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0-0
After Penalties
QarabagQarabag

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.12
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseHighGap+9.2%
CSKA Sofia Rest
2 days
Qarabag Rest
7 days

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag: the result in context

CSKA Sofia beat Qarabag on penalties (5-4) after a 0-0 draw in the UEFA Europa League on 30 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee B. Van Driessche averages 4.73 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.55
X
23%3.20
2
32%2.70
Double Chance
1X
68%1.42
X2
55%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.82
No
50%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.25 = 2.63
Over 1.5
76%1.36
Over 2.5
52%2.12
Over 3.5
26%3.79
Under 1.5
24%3.00
Under 2.5
48%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
67%1.65
Over 4.5
51%2.10
Under 3.5
33%2.10
Under 4.5
49%1.68

Match Events

39'Bruno Jordão
48'Leandro Godoy
50'Marko Janković
55'Bence Várkonyi
70'Kady Borges INR. Cephas out
71'B. Jordao INJ. Eto'o out
75'James Eto'o
82'E. Cafarquliyev INB. Langa out
82'O. Kashchuk INJ. Mouaddib out
82'B. Huseynov INC. Makreckis out
89'L. Godoy INJ. Zwarts out
90+2'A. Zoubir INJ. Montiel out

Extra Time

95'Ángelo Martino
99'A. Martino INM. Brahimi out
100'Z. Sawo INM. Qurbanly out
105+3'Teodor Ivanov
107'Joni Montiel
112'Joël Zwarts

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
4-1-4-1Coach: Hristo Yanev
Qarabag
4-2-3-1Coach: Qurban Qurbanov
F. Lapoukhov21F. Lapoukhov
Pastor2Pastor
T. Ivanov14T. Ivanov
F. Rodriguez32F. Rodriguez
A. Martino17A. Martino
J. Gbamin5J. Gbamin
M. Ebong7M. Ebong
S. Sensi8S. Sensi
B. Jordao6B. Jordao
I. Pittas28I. Pittas
L. Godoy9L. Godoy
M. Kochalski99M. Kochalski
Matheus Silva2M. Silva
B. Huseynov55B. Huseynov
B. Varkonyi4B. Varkonyi
E. Cafarquliyev44E. Cafarquliyev
Pedro Bicalho35P. Bicalho
M. Jankovic8M. Jankovic
O. Kashchuk21O. Kashchuk
Kady Borges20K. Borges
A. Zoubir10A. Zoubir
Z. Sawo11Z. Sawo

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

25D. Evtimov
10J. Zwarts89'for L. Godoy112'
11M. Brahimi99'for A. Martino
19A. Yordanov
30P. Panayotov
34V. Kaymakanov
38Leo Pereira
77A. Piedrahita
80G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
91A. Tunchev
94I. Solet
99J. Eto'o71'for B. Jordao

Qarabag Substitutes

1S. Mahammadaliyev
23M. Zlomislic
5B. Langa82'for E. Cafarquliyev
7J. Mouaddib82'for O. Kashchuk
9J. Montiel90+2'for A. Zoubir107'
13B. Mustafazada
22M. Qurbanly100'for Z. Sawo
25C. Makreckis82'for B. Huseynov
29R. Cephas70'for Kady Borges
32H. Cabrayilzada
49A. Bashirov

Match Stats

CSKA SofiaQarabag
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots8
16Fouls10
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
248Total Passes556
178Passes Accurate495
14Free Kicks24

Team Comparison

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
QarabagQarabag
1707Elo Rating 1724
1.98Attack 1.38
1.93Defense 2.17
61%Hit Rate 36%
16.3Shots per Game -
6.6Shots on Target -
5.1Corners per Game -
4.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
QarabagQarabag
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
QarabagQarabag0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
5W2D3L
27/07/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
32
W
23/07/2026
QarabagCSKA Sofia
00
D
20/07/2026
Slavia SofiaCSKA Sofia
00
D
16/07/2026
Derry CityCSKA Sofia
12
W
09/07/2026
CSKA SofiaDerry City
32
W
03/07/2026
CSKA SofiaMarek
30
W
24/06/2026
CSKA SofiaPolessya
04
L
25/05/2026
LudogoretsCSKA Sofia
10
L
20/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA Sofia
3141
W
16/05/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
20
L
QarabagQarabag
5W2D3L
23/07/2026
QarabagCSKA Sofia
00
D
16/07/2026
VestriQarabag
03
W
09/07/2026
QarabagVestri
30
W
01/07/2026
Ferencvarosi TCQarabag
10
L
01/07/2026
QarabagMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
26
L
22/05/2026
SumqayıtQarabag
34
W
16/05/2026
QarabagImisli FK
30
W
09/05/2026
QabalaQarabag
11
D
04/05/2026
QarabagTuran
21
W
30/04/2026
Neftchi BakuQarabag
21
L

Referee Profile

B. Van Driessche179 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

B. Van Driessche4.73
Other referees4.18

4.73 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.18).

Cards come from 143 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded

About the CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA Sofia and Qarabag have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.