CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction

CSKA Sofia
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Derry City
Vasil Levski National Sports Academy, Sofia·Visar Kastrati, Kosovo 09/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalHIGHModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+14.4%
CSKA Sofia Rest
6 days
Derry City Rest
5 days

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City: result, form and history

CSKA Sofia beat Derry City 3-2 in the UEFA Europa League on 9 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.22
X
18%5.55
2
24%11.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.02
X2
42%3.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.25
No
53%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.19 = 2.53
Over 1.5
71%1.19
Over 2.5
47%1.65
Over 3.5
24%2.57
Under 1.5
29%4.25
Under 2.5
53%2.15
Under 3.5
76%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'I. Pittas
31'L. BoyceAssist: M. Duffy
41'B. JordaoAssist: S. Sensi
53'I. PittasAssist: Pastor
64'C. Dummigan INN. Twisk out
71'C. Grogan INJ. Stott out
72'L. Godoy INJ. Zwarts out
72'I. Solet INM. Brahimi out
75'B. CotterTripping
83'R. Slevin INJ. McClean out
85'S. Sensi INA. Piedrahita out
89'J. OlayinkaAssist: P. McClean

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
4-3-1-2Coach: Hristo Yanev
Derry City
4-4-2Coach: Tiernan Lynch
Fedor Lapoukhov21F. Lapoukhov
Pastor2Pastor
Facundo Rodríguez32F. Rodríguez
Teodor Ivanov14T. Ivanov
Ángelo Martino17Á. Martino
Petko Panayotov30P. Panayotov
Bruno Jordão6B. Jordão
Stefano Sensi8S. Sensi
Isaac Solet94I. Solet
Leandro Godoy9L. Godoy
Ioannis Pittas28I. Pittas
Brian Maher1B. Maher
Conor Barr22C. Barr
Christy Grogan25C. Grogan
Patrick McClean3P. McClean
Robert Slevin6R. Slevin
Barry Cotter2B. Cotter
James Olayinka28J. Olayinka
Cameron Dummigan23C. Dummigan
Michael Duffy7M. Duffy
Ellis Chapman14E. Chapman
Liam Boyce27L. Boyce

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

25Dimitar Evtimov
91Aleks Tunchev
3Tamimou Ouorou
5Jean-Philippe Gbamin
19Andrey Yordanov
34Vasil Kaymakanov
77Alejandro Piedrahita85'for S. Sensi
11Mohamed Amine Brahimi72'for I. Solet
38Léo Pereira
99James Eto'o
80Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski
10Joël Zwarts72'for L. Godoy

Derry City Substitutes

26Shea Callister
13Tom Norcott
4Jamie Stott71'for C. Grogan
16James McClean83'for R. Slevin
17Nick Twisk64'for C. Dummigan
21Kévin Santos
35Liam Kelly
20Carl Winchester
32Terence Doherty

Match Stats

CSKA SofiaDerry City
0Yellow Cards1

Team Comparison

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
Derry CityDerry City
1688Elo Rating 1616
1.83Attack 1.24
1.60Defense 2.34
39%Hit Rate 81%
17.5Shots per Game 16.6
5.9Shots on Target 5.1
6.4Corners per Game 4.7
3.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Derry CityDerry City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
4W2D4L
03/07/2026
CSKA SofiaMarek
30
W
24/06/2026
CSKA SofiaPolessya
04
L
25/05/2026
LudogoretsCSKA Sofia
10
L
20/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA Sofia
3141
W
16/05/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
20
L
13/05/2026
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
11
D
08/05/2026
CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
01
W
03/05/2026
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
10
W
29/04/2026
CSKA SofiaLudogorets
00
D
25/04/2026
CSKA SofiaLevski Sofia
13
L
Derry CityDerry City
2W4D4L
03/07/2026
Derry CityWaterford
24
L
26/06/2026
Derry CityDrogheda United
20
W
22/06/2026
Shamrock RoversDerry City
11
D
19/06/2026
Galway UnitedDerry City
21
L
12/06/2026
Derry CityBohemians
41
W
29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
21
L
25/05/2026
Derry CityShelbourne
00
D
22/05/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
00
D
15/05/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
D
08/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedDerry City
10
L

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded

About the CSKA Sofia vs Derry City forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Derry City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA Sofia and Derry City have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.