Derry City vs Waterford Prediction
Ireland · Regular Season - 23
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Derry City vs Waterford: the result in context
Waterford beat Derry City 4-2 in the Premier Division on 3 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Derry City have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Match Stats
Derry CityWaterford 
Team Comparison
Derry CityWaterfordAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Derry City- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Waterford- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Derry City7Wins · 70%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
15/05/2026WaterfordDerry City27/02/2026Derry CityWaterford17/10/2025WaterfordDerry City04/07/2025Derry CityWaterford25/04/2025WaterfordDerry City28/02/2025Derry CityWaterford23/08/2024WaterfordDerry City03/06/2024Derry CityWaterford26/04/2024WaterfordDerry City08/03/2024Derry CityWaterfordRecent Form
Derry CityDerry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock RoversDerry City
Galway UnitedDerry CityDerry City
Bohemians
DundalkDerry CityDerry City
ShelbourneDerry City
St Patrick's Athl.WaterfordDerry CityDrogheda UnitedDerry CityDerry CityGalway UnitedWaterfordDundalkWaterfordWaterfordShamrock RoversWaterford
Sligo RoversDrogheda UnitedWaterfordShelbourneWaterfordWaterfordDrogheda UnitedWaterfordDerry CitySt Patrick's Athl.WaterfordWaterfordDundalkShamrock RoversWaterfordReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.40 cards a match, 0.42 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).
Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59:38 | +21 | 68 | LWLWW |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63:44 | +19 | 65 | WLWLW |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 55:31 | +24 | 60 | LDLLW |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 52:50 | +2 | 49 | LWWWD |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 50:47 | +3 | 48 | DWWLW |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 55:59 | -4 | 45 | WLDLL |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 54:61 | -7 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | LDLWD |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 40 | WLWLL |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28:66 | -38 | 25 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 28:66 | 25 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Premier Division matches
- Shelbourne vs Bohemians 22/06/26
- Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City 22/06/26
- Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United 26/06/26
- Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athl. 26/06/26
- St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United 03/07/26
- Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers 03/07/26
- Shelbourne vs Dundalk 03/07/26
- Dundalk vs Drogheda United 10/07/26
About the Derry City vs Waterford forecast
The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Derry City and Waterford in the Premier Division table
Derry City and Waterford are close in the Premier Division table, 5th and 7th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Derry City 50-47, Waterford 54-61. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.