Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

Dalymount Park, Dublin·R. Harvey 26/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel10%SurpriseHighGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel10%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
Bohemians Rest
4 days
St Patrick's Athl. Rest
7 days

Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athl.: result, form and history

Bohemians beat St Patrick's Athl. 2-0 in the Premier Division on 26 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee R. Harvey averages 5.56 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.47
X
29%3.17
2
32%2.79
Double Chance
1X
68%1.40
X2
62%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.77
No
51%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.15 = 2.34
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
41%2.05
Over 3.5
22%3.70
Under 1.5
30%3.10
Under 2.5
59%1.70
Under 3.5
78%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'H. VaughanFoul
33'P. HickeyFoul
39'C. Whelan(Penalty)
44'P. HickeyFoul
44'P. HickeyFoul
46'H. Vaughan INC. Byrne out
58'M. Strods INC. Parsons out
58'C. Whelan IND. Rooney out
64'R. Edmondson INA. Keena out
64'A. Breslin INJ. McClelland out
68'B. Baggley INC. Forrester out
76'R. Palmer INS. Power out
76'J. Brown INS. Rooney out
83'J. Flores INN. Morahan out
89'R. Tierney
90+1'D. RooneyFoul
90+1'R. Tierney INA. McDonnell out

Team Comparison

BohemiansBohemians
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
1640Elo Rating 1613
1.36Attack 0.85
1.42Defense 1.67
46%Hit Rate 14%
14.0Shots per Game 17.7
6.0Shots on Target 4.4
3.9Corners per Game 6.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BohemiansBohemians
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BohemiansBohemians2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3Wins · 30%
1.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division24/04/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
31
Premier Division08/02/2026
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
00
Premier Division20/10/2025
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
00
Premier Division04/07/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
00
Premier Division25/04/2025
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
21
Premier Division14/03/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
30
Premier Division14/10/2024
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
13
Premier Division28/06/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
00
Premier Division24/05/2024
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
22
Premier Division23/02/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
01

Recent Form

BohemiansBohemians
5W2D3L
22/06/2026
ShelbourneBohemians
03
W
19/06/2026
BohemiansDundalk
12
L
12/06/2026
Derry CityBohemians
41
L
29/05/2026
Sligo RoversBohemians
13
W
25/05/2026
BohemiansShamrock Rovers
12
L
22/05/2026
Galway UnitedBohemians
24
W
15/05/2026
BohemiansDrogheda United
21
W
08/05/2026
DundalkBohemians
13
W
04/05/2026
BohemiansShelbourne
22
D
01/05/2026
BohemiansDerry City
11
D
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
5W3D2L
19/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
20
W
12/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Drogheda United
20
W
29/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10
L
22/05/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
00
D
15/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
01
L
08/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
41
W
04/05/2026
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
11
D
01/05/2026
Galway UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
22
D
24/04/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
31
W
17/04/2026
Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
13
W

Referee Profile

R. Harvey151 matches

5.56Cards per match
5.27Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Harvey5.56
Other referees4.88

5.56 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athl. forecast

As a derby, this Premier Division meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bohemians and St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Bohemians are 2nd in the Premier Division, 2 points ahead of St Patrick's Athl. in 3rd. League goal record so far: Bohemians 60-42, St Patrick's Athl. 53-28. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.