Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction

Derry City
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Bohemians
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 12/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel10%SurpriseHighGap+1.1%
Derry City Rest
14 days
Bohemians Rest
14 days

Derry City vs Bohemians: result, form and history

Derry City beat Bohemians 4-1 in the Premier Division on 12 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Bohemians had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Derry City.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.90
X
28%3.10
2
34%2.42
Double Chance
1X
66%1.53
X2
62%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.85
No
46%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.14 = 2.68
Over 1.5
75%1.36
Over 2.5
49%2.17
Over 3.5
27%3.95
Under 1.5
25%2.89
Under 2.5
51%1.66
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'H. VaughanAssist: R. Tierney
24'J. ClarkeAssist: K. Santos
29'P. McCleanFoul
46'B. Cotter INJ. Olayinka out
55'C. Barr
60'S. Diallo INJ. Flores out
60'D. Rooney INC. Parsons out
61'J. Clarke
63'K. SantosAssist: M. Duffy
67'C. DummiganFoul
69'H. Vaughan INR. Burke out
69'C. Byrne INA. McDonnell out
74'J. FloresFoul
75'R. TierneyFoul
78'J. Olayinka INL. Boyce out
79'R. Tierney INZ. Myers out
82'Z. MyersFoul
83'J. Clarke(Penalty missed)
87'M. Duffy INJ. McClean out
87'K. Santos INH. Rylah out
90+3'D. Markey INC. Downey out

Lineups

Derry City
4-2-3-1Coach: Tiernan Lynch
Bohemians
3-4-1-2Coach: Alan Reynolds
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.51
Eddie Beach6.513E. Beach
Barry Cotter6.02B. Cotter
Conor Barr7.922C. Barr
Patrick McClean6.73P. McClean
Brandon Fleming7.319B. Fleming
Adam O'Reilly7.08A. O'Reilly
Cameron Dummigan6.723C. Dummigan
Kévin Santos8.521K. Santos
Darragh Markey7.210D. Markey
Michael DuffyC6.37M. Duffy
James Clarke8.315J. Clarke
Paul Walters7.325P. Walters
Cian Byrne5.724C. Byrne
Patrick Hickey5.912P. Hickey
Sam Todd5.922S. Todd
Darragh Power6.516D. Power
Dawson DevoyC6.310D. Devoy
Sadou Diallo6.75S. Diallo
Dayle Rooney7.911D. Rooney
Ross Tierney7.226R. Tierney
Colm Whelan6.29C. Whelan
Harry Vaughan6.98H. Vaughan

Derry City Substitutes

28James Olayinka46'for B. Cotter78'for L. Boyce7.3
26Shea Callister
14Ben Doherty
31Callum Downey90+3'for D. Markey
16James McClean87'for M. Duffy
20Carl Winchester
27Liam Boyce78'replaced by J. Olayinka6.3
32Terence Doherty
24Henry Rylah87'for K. Santos

Bohemians Substitutes

6Jordan Flores60'for S. Diallo74'6.2
7Connor Parsons60'for D. Rooney6.5
3Ryan Burke69'for H. Vaughan6.3
17Adam McDonnell69'replaced by C. Byrne6.3
30Finn McDonnell
20Leigh Kavanagh
4Niall Morahan
15Senan Mullen
23Zane Myers79'for R. Tierney82'6.3

Match Stats

Derry CityBohemians
43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls16
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
307Total Passes411
225Passes Accurate323
73%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Derry CityDerry City
BohemiansBohemians
1616Elo Rating 1622
1.24Attack 0.93
2.34Defense 1.64
81%Hit Rate 37%
16.6Shots per Game 11.4
5.1Shots on Target 4.3
4.7Corners per Game 3.5
1.8Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Derry CityDerry City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BohemiansBohemians
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Derry CityDerry City5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
BohemiansBohemians2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division01/05/2026
BohemiansDerry City
11
Premier Division20/02/2026
Derry CityBohemians
01
Premier Division12/09/2025
BohemiansDerry City
34
Premier Division25/07/2025
Derry CityBohemians
11
Premier Division30/05/2025
BohemiansDerry City
10
Premier Division21/02/2025
Derry CityBohemians
10
Premier Division11/10/2024
Derry CityBohemians
11
FAI Cup04/10/2024
BohemiansDerry City
02
Premier Division13/06/2024
BohemiansDerry City
12
Premier Division10/05/2024
Derry CityBohemians
10

Recent Form

Derry CityDerry City
2W6D2L
29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
21
L
25/05/2026
Derry CityShelbourne
00
D
22/05/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
00
D
15/05/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
D
08/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedDerry City
10
L
04/05/2026
Derry CityGalway United
11
D
01/05/2026
BohemiansDerry City
11
D
24/04/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
10
W
17/04/2026
ShelbourneDerry City
12
W
10/04/2026
DundalkDerry City
22
D
BohemiansBohemians
4W2D4L
29/05/2026
Sligo RoversBohemians
13
W
25/05/2026
BohemiansShamrock Rovers
12
L
22/05/2026
Galway UnitedBohemians
24
W
15/05/2026
BohemiansDrogheda United
21
W
08/05/2026
DundalkBohemians
13
W
04/05/2026
BohemiansShelbourne
22
D
01/05/2026
BohemiansDerry City
11
D
24/04/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
31
L
17/04/2026
Shamrock RoversBohemians
21
L
10/04/2026
BohemiansSligo Rovers
12
L

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Derry City vs Bohemians forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Derry City and Bohemians in the Premier Division table

In the Premier Division table, Bohemians are 2nd and Derry City 5th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Derry City 48-45, Bohemians 60-42. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Derry City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.