Galway United vs Derry City Prediction

Galway United
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Derry City
Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway 19/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel14%SurpriseHighGap+6.5%
Galway United Rest
7 days
Derry City Rest
7 days

Galway United vs Derry City: the result in context

Galway United beat Derry City 2-1 in the Premier Division on 19 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Derry City tend to win more corners, 4.7 a game to 2.3 for Galway United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.05
X
28%3.18
2
40%2.30
Double Chance
1X
60%1.57
X2
68%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.77
No
41%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.54 = 2.93
Over 1.5
75%1.33
Over 2.5
53%2.04
Over 3.5
31%3.60
Under 1.5
25%3.10
Under 2.5
47%1.73
Under 3.5
69%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'S. Walsh
25'D. HurleyFoul
38'C. DummiganFoul
46'J. Clarke INL. Boyce out
48'S. WalshAssist: D. Hurley
56'D. Markey INJ. McClean out
59'D. Hurley INA. Piesold out
82'M. Wolfe INW. Williams out
88'M. Duffy(Penalty)
89'A. Bolger INJ. Thiam out
90+4'G. FacchineriFoul

Team Comparison

Galway UnitedGalway United
Derry CityDerry City
1543Elo Rating 1616
0.99Attack 1.24
1.84Defense 2.34
19%Hit Rate 81%
9.4Shots per Game 16.6
3.3Shots on Target 5.1
2.3Corners per Game 4.7
2.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Galway UnitedGalway United
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Derry CityDerry City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Galway UnitedGalway United3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Derry CityDerry City3Wins · 30%
2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division04/05/2026
Derry CityGalway United
11
Premier Division03/04/2026
Galway UnitedDerry City
21
Premier Division22/08/2025
Galway UnitedDerry City
12
Premier Division13/06/2025
Derry CityGalway United
11
Premier Division18/04/2025
Galway UnitedDerry City
23
Premier Division07/03/2025
Derry CityGalway United
11
Premier Division30/08/2024
Galway UnitedDerry City
10
Premier Division07/06/2024
Derry CityGalway United
20
Premier Division03/05/2024
Galway UnitedDerry City
00
Premier Division29/03/2024
Derry CityGalway United
01

Recent Form

Galway UnitedGalway United
2W4D4L
12/06/2026
Galway UnitedDundalk
01
L
29/05/2026
ShelbourneGalway United
11
D
22/05/2026
Galway UnitedBohemians
24
L
16/05/2026
Sligo RoversGalway United
14
W
08/05/2026
Galway UnitedShamrock Rovers
13
L
04/05/2026
Derry CityGalway United
11
D
01/05/2026
Galway UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
22
D
24/04/2026
WaterfordGalway United
11
D
17/04/2026
DundalkGalway United
21
L
06/04/2026
Drogheda UnitedGalway United
23
W
Derry CityDerry City
3W5D2L
12/06/2026
Derry CityBohemians
41
W
29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
21
L
25/05/2026
Derry CityShelbourne
00
D
22/05/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
00
D
15/05/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
D
08/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedDerry City
10
L
04/05/2026
Derry CityGalway United
11
D
01/05/2026
BohemiansDerry City
11
D
24/04/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
10
W
17/04/2026
ShelbourneDerry City
12
W

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Galway United vs Derry City forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Galway United and Derry City in the Premier Division table

Derry City and Galway United are close in the Premier Division table, 5th and 6th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Galway United 46-51, Derry City 48-45. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Derry City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.