FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica Prediction

FC ST. Gallen
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Benfica
Kybunpark, St.Gallen·Luca Pairetto, Italy 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
FC ST. Gallen Rest
6 days
Benfica Rest
5 days

FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica: result, form and history

FC ST. Gallen beat Benfica 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%7.00
X
12%5.00
2
60%1.36
Double Chance
1X
40%2.98
X2
71%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.75
No
40%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.78 = 3.19
Over 1.5
81%1.15
Over 2.5
57%1.53
Over 3.5
35%2.32
Under 1.5
19%4.70
Under 2.5
43%2.35
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.2 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.42
Over 9.5
47%1.68
Over 10.5
36%2.08
Under 8.5
37%2.60
Under 9.5
53%2.00
Under 10.5
64%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.9 = 4
Over 3.5
39%1.35
Over 4.5
27%1.95
Under 3.5
61%2.67
Under 4.5
73%1.78

Match Events

30'L. GortlerTripping
37'A. BaldeAssist: L. Gortler
44'Rafa SilvaAssist: V. Pavlidis
62'J. StanicFoul
65'V. PavlidisTripping
66'J. Kaminski INT. Gouveia out
66'M. Figueiredo INE. Barrenechea out
72'A. Balde IND. Besio out
72'C. Boukhalfa INL. Frokaj out
72'C. Witzig INA. Hunziker out
76'V. Pavlidis INF. Ivanovic out
80'T. GaalAssist: L. Daschner
84'Manu INJ. Rego out
90+3'J. Stanic INJ. Ruiz out
90+4'T. GaalFoul

Lineups

FC ST. Gallen
3-5-2Coach: Enrico Maassen
Benfica
4-2-3-1Coach: Marco Silva
Lawrence Ati Zigi1L. Ati Zigi
Tom Gaal26T. Gaal
Jozo Stanić4J. Stanić
Chima Okoroji36C. Okoroji
Hugo Vandermersch28H. Vandermersch
Lukas Görtler16L. Görtler
Lukas Daschner10L. Daschner
Carlo Boukhalfa11C. Boukhalfa
Mihailo Stevanović64M. Stevanović
Aliou Balde14A. Balde
Christian Witzig7C. Witzig
Anatoliy Trubin1A. Trubin
Alexander Bah6A. Bah
António Silva4A. Silva
Clément Lenglet2C. Lenglet
Samuel Dahl26S. Dahl
Manu Silva16M. Silva
Jakub Kamiński13J. Kamiński
Rafa Silva27R. Silva
Georgiy Sudakov10G. Sudakov
Miguel Figueiredo73M. Figueiredo
Vangelis Pavlidis14V. Pavlidis

FC ST. Gallen Substitutes

20Leon Frokaj
31Diego Besio72'for A. Balde
9Andrin Hunziker72'for C. Witzig
74Joel Ruiz90+3'for J. Stanic
25Lukas Watkowiak
68Mostafa Heydari
63Corsin Konietzke
23Betim Fazliji
47Enoch Owusu

Benfica Substitutes

5Enzo Barrenechea66'for M. Figueiredo
47Tiago Gouveia66'for J. Kaminski
9Franjo Ivanović76'for V. Pavlidis
84João Rêgo84'for Manu
24Samuel Soares
58Daniel Banjaqui
17Amar Dedić
44Tomás Araújo
62José Neto
94Rui Silva
77Gonçalo Moreira
72Anísio Cabral

Match Stats

FC ST. GallenBenfica
6Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
15Fouls13
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
283Total Passes480
195Passes Accurate395
69%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
BenficaBenfica
1659Elo Rating 1950
1.29Attack 2.83
1.73Defense 2.00
59%Hit Rate 83%
16.0Shots per Game 20.2
5.2Shots on Target 6.3
5.5Corners per Game 6.0
1.9Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.19 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
BenficaBenfica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
6W1D3L
17/07/2026
FC ST. GallenNorwich
03
L
11/07/2026
LyonFC ST. Gallen
63
L
01/07/2026
FC WinterthurFC ST. Gallen
01
W
27/06/2026
FC ST. GallenSCR Altach
32
W
24/05/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC ST. Gallen
03
W
17/05/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Thun
11
D
14/05/2026
FC Basel 1893FC ST. Gallen
13
W
10/05/2026
FC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
12
W
03/05/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Sion
03
L
26/04/2026
BSC Young BoysFC ST. Gallen
12
W
BenficaBenfica
6W3D1L
17/07/2026
BenficaVillarreal
20
W
11/07/2026
BenficaFlamengo
12
L
16/05/2026
EstorilBenfica
13
W
11/05/2026
BenficaSC Braga
22
D
02/05/2026
FamalicaoBenfica
22
D
25/04/2026
BenficaMoreirense
41
W
19/04/2026
Sporting CPBenfica
12
W
12/04/2026
BenficaNacional
20
W
06/04/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
11
D
21/03/2026
BenficaGuimaraes
30
W

Referee Profile

Luca Pairetto135 matches

4.75Cards per match
4.49Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca Pairetto4.75
Other referees4.63

4.75 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).

Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded

About the FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Benfica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC ST. Gallen and Benfica have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.