York United vs Vancouver FC Prediction

Canadian Premier LeagueCanada Canada · Group Stage
York United
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
York Lions Stadium 13/09/2026
York UnitedYork United
3-1
Finished
Vancouver FCVancouver FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseHighGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
York United Rest
3 days
Vancouver FC Rest
6 days

York United vs Vancouver FC: the result in context

York United beat Vancouver FC 3-1 in the Canadian Premier League on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

York United have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.50
X
26%3.55
2
31%2.30
Double Chance
1X
69%1.50
X2
57%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.57
No
44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.23 = 2.73
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.67
Over 3.5
31%2.70
Under 1.5
26%3.94
Under 2.5
47%2.10
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'Card upgrade cancelledOswaldo Leon
27'Tomasz Noah SkublakFoul
39'Luca accettolaAssist: Steffen Yeates
45'K. Proctor INParis Gee out
50'Tomasz Noah SkublakAssist: Carlos Guzman
56'Callum IrvingOG
58'elage bahPersistent infringement
59'Nicolás Mezquida INLuis Toomey out
62'Luca accettola INKevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke out
72'elage bahAssist: Luis Toomey
73'Kembo·Kibato INJuan Córdova out
77'Lys Mousset INAboubacar Traore out
77'Marcello Polisi INBenjamin Lee out
78'Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah ClarkeFoul
83'morey doner INVitor Lucas De Araujo out
83'Damiano Pecile INAbdoulaye·Ouattara out
84'Tomasz Noah Skublak INSebastian Gonzales out
84'Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán INMax Ferrari out
90'Ollie Bassett INRaúl López out
90+3'Card upgrade cancelledAbdoulaye·Ouattara
90+7'Penalty cancelledKevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke

Lineups

York United
3-4-3Coach: M. Eustáquio
Vancouver FC
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Nash
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.14
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio7.317C. Ralston Kai Antonio
L. Singh6.63L. Singh
F. Sturing6.85F. Sturing
O. León7.04O. León
C. Guzmán7.78C. Guzmán
S. Yeates7.77S. Yeates
O. Bassett7.110O. Bassett
K. Kibato6.121K. Kibato
L. Accettola7.913L. Accettola
T. Skublak7.877T. Skublak
J. Almagro6.411J. Almagro
C. Irving5.61C. Irving
M. Doner6.13M. Doner
M. Campagna6.35M. Campagna
Thomas Geoffrey Field6.130T. Geoffrey Field
K. Proctor6.223K. Proctor
D. Pecile6.56D. Pecile
M. Polisi6.321M. Polisi
T. Bah6.27T. Bah
N. Mezquida5.420N. Mezquida
M. Amissi6.710M. Amissi
L. Mousset6.49L. Mousset

York United Substitutes

6R. López90'for Ollie Bassett
9S. Gonzales84'for Tomasz Noah Skublak6.5
16M. Ferrari84'for Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán6.3
23J. Córdova73'for Kembo·Kibato6.3
36K. Clarke62'for Luca accettola78'6.3
35C. Onyeocha
12I. Pavela

Vancouver FC Substitutes

2P. Gee45'for K. Proctor6.5
16Benjamin Lee77'for Marcello Polisi5.8
15Abdoulaye Ouattara83'for Damiano Pecile5.8
33Henrik Regitnig
8L. Toomey59'for Nicolás Mezquida6.0
11A. Traore77'for Lys Mousset6.6
29Vitor Lucas83'for morey doner5.9

Match Stats

York UnitedVancouver FC
57%Ball Possession43%
4Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
9Fouls10
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
560Total Passes424
497Passes Accurate354
9Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

York UnitedYork United
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
1414Elo Rating 1463
1.13Attack 1.44
0.60Defense 1.52
41%Hit Rate 23%
11.7Shots per Game 10.3
3.0Shots on Target 3.3
3.6Corners per Game 3.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

York UnitedYork United6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Vancouver FCVancouver FC2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League05/07/2026
Vancouver FCYork United
40
Canadian Premier League19/04/2026
York UnitedVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League22/09/2025
Vancouver FCYork United
21
Canadian Premier League19/07/2025
York UnitedVancouver FC
40
Canadian Premier League25/05/2025
York UnitedVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League07/04/2025
Vancouver FCYork United
02
Canadian Premier League07/09/2024
Vancouver FCYork United
01
Canadian Premier League21/07/2024
Vancouver FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League10/06/2024
York UnitedVancouver FC
22
Canadian Premier League27/04/2024
York UnitedVancouver FC
30

Recent Form

York UnitedYork United
1W5D4L
10/09/2026
York UnitedPacific FC
33
D
06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
D
29/08/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
L
23/08/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
11
D
16/08/2026
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
43
W
08/08/2026
Pacific FCYork United
11
D
02/08/2026
Cavalry FCYork United
50
L26/07/2026
York UnitedForge
13
L18/07/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
11
D05/07/2026
Vancouver FCYork United
40
L
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
5W1D4L
07/09/2026
Vancouver FCSupra du Quebec
32
W
29/08/2026
Cavalry FCVancouver FC
10
L
22/08/2026
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
10
L
20/08/2026
Atlético OttawaVancouver FC
40
L15/08/2026
Vancouver FCPacific FC
11
D08/08/2026
ForgeVancouver FC
01
W02/08/2026
Vancouver FCAtlético Ottawa
31
W25/07/2026
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
10
W18/07/2026
Supra du QuebecVancouver FC
15
W
13/07/2026
CF MontrealVancouver FC
21
L

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

Explore more predictions

This match

More Canadian Premier League matches

All predictions

About the York United vs Vancouver FC forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

York United and Vancouver FC in the Canadian Premier League table

Vancouver FC and York United are close in the Canadian Premier League table, 5th and 6th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: York United 42-65, Vancouver FC 39-37. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.