Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

Aarhus
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus·Ante Čulina, Croatia 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Aarhus Rest
4 days
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Rest
4 days

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: the result in context

Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.44
X
21%4.50
2
14%6.55
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
35%2.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.79
No
49%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.07 = 2.45
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.68
Over 3.5
33%2.63
Under 1.5
22%4.34
Under 2.5
46%2.17
Under 3.5
67%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'E. KahlSerious foul
11'A. YagoTripping
12'C. McCowatt INT. Molgaard out
13'I. GrudaAssist: D. Adjessa
16'A. KryeziuHolding
39'K. ArnstadUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'J. Serra INJ. Bogere out
46'F. Tingager IND. L. Gretarsson out
49'J. BogereAssist: S. Jorgensen
54'A. Yago INE. Ndreca out
54'A. Kryeziu INFernando Medeiros out
63'A. Albanese INN. Ajetovikj out
63'G. Jaime ING. Smajli out
66'J. Andersen INF. Emmery out
72'E. BitriTripping
83'S. Jorgensen INT. Bech out
87'K. Loukili INI. Diabate out

Lineups

Aarhus
3-4-2-1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4-3-1-2
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.95
Jesper Hansen6.91J. Hansen
Colin Rösler6.725C. Rösler
Frederik Tingager6.35F. Tingager
Eric Kahl3.019E. Kahl
Rasmus Carstensen6.929R. Carstensen
Kristian ArnstadC6.610K. Arnstad
Markus Solbakken6.37M. Solbakken
Jacob Andersen6.326J. Andersen
Sebastian Jørgensen6.98S. Jørgensen
Callum McCowatt6.518C. McCowatt
Janni Serra6.713J. Serra
Mario Dajsinani6.398M. Dajsinani
Guillem Jaime7.522G. Jaime
Eneo Bitri7.333E. Bitri
Eljon Sota7.528E. Sota
Andrey Yago6.629A. Yago
Altin Kryeziu6.617A. Kryeziu
Albano AleksiC7.26A. Aleksi
Karim Loukili7.220K. Loukili
Alessandro Albanese6.710A. Albanese
Ildi Gruda8.077I. Gruda
Daniel Adjessa6.72D. Adjessa

Aarhus Substitutes

14Tobias Mølgaard12'for C. McCowatt7.0
3Daníel Grétarsson46'for F. Tingager6.9
28James Bogere46'for J. Serra49'7.6
21Mads Hedenstad
42Marius van der Raad
33Luka Callø
43Zander Grantzau
16Jens Jønsson
39Frederik Emmery66'for J. Andersen6.7
4Magnus Knudsen
27Stefen Tchamche
31Tobias Bech83'for S. Jorgensen

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Substitutes

16Edison Ndreca54'for A. Yago6.7
7Fernando Medeiros54'for A. Kryeziu6.2
1Levan Tandilashvili
12Bruno Puja
4Zamiq Aliyev
13Alessandro Kacbufi
24Numan Ajetovikj63'for A. Albanese6.9
55Geralb Smajli63'for G. Jaime6.9
8Ibrahim Diabaté87'for K. Loukili
99Jurguens Montenegro

Match Stats

AarhusEgnatia Rrogozhinë
34%Ball Possession66%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
9Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls14
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves1
286Total Passes570
209Passes Accurate498
73%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AarhusAarhus
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
1652Elo Rating 1664
1.36Attack 1.33
2.00Defense 2.04
50%Hit Rate 44%
11.0Shots per Game 12.6
2.7Shots on Target 6.2
5.1Corners per Game 3.2
2.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AarhusAarhus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
6W2D2L
18/10/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëVllaznia Shkodër
31
W
15/10/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëFC Midtjylland
11
D
11/10/2026
LaciEgnatia Rrogozhinë
02
W
20/09/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëPartizani
21
W
13/09/2026
AF ElbasaniEgnatia Rrogozhinë
21
L
04/09/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëSkenderbeu Korce
21
W
31/08/2026
VoraEgnatia Rrogozhinë
13
W
27/08/2026
LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë
2111
L
23/08/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëTirana
30
W
20/08/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom
00
D

Referee Profile

Ante Čulina128 matches

4.71Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ante Čulina4.71
Other referees4.40

4.71 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.40).

Cards come from 82 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos22007:2+56WW
2FC LuganoFC Lugano22008:4+46WW
3BrannBrann22006:2+46WW
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor22006:2+46WW
5TwenteTwente22005:1+46WW
6MonacoMonaco22005:1+46WW
7St. TruidenSt. Truiden22003:0+36WW
8HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split22003:1+26WW
9BrightonBrighton21104:0+44DW
10FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen21105:2+34DW
11Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova21104:2+24WD
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF21103:1+24DW
13AjaxAjax21013:2+13WL
14Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka21013:2+13WL
15AtalantaAtalanta21013:303LW
16SC BragaSC Braga21012:3-13WL
17GentGent21011:2-13LW
18SC FreiburgSC Freiburg21013:5-23LW
19FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland20203:302DD
20Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë20202:202DD
21RigaRiga20202:202DD
22FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda20114:5-11DL
23CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia20113:4-11DL
24FK JablonecFK Jablonec20112:3-11DL
25FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland20111:2-11LD
26AarhusAarhus20111:2-11DL
27PafosPafos20112:4-21DL
28Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian20111:3-21LD
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199920111:3-21DL
30GetafeGetafe20113:6-31LD
31Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty20112:6-41LD
32FC ThunFC Thun20020:2-20LL
33Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC20022:6-40LL
34KuPSKuPS20022:6-40LL
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes20021:5-40LL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris20021:8-70LL
Conference League

About the Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.