Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland Prediction

Aarhus
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Midtjylland
New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus·J. Sundberg 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.61
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseHighGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseHighGap+7.5%
Aarhus Rest
3 days
FC Midtjylland Rest
3 days

Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland: the result in context

FC Midtjylland beat Aarhus 2-0 in the Superliga on 2 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Midtjylland had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Aarhus.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.20
X
26%3.60
2
49%2.10
Double Chance
1X
51%1.70
X2
75%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.51
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.65 = 2.92
Over 1.5
83%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.61
Over 3.5
33%2.55
Under 1.5
17%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.27
Under 3.5
67%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.35
Over 9.5
49%1.59
Over 10.5
41%1.95
Under 8.5
39%2.95
Under 9.5
51%2.17
Under 10.5
59%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.61
Over 4.5
38%2.23
Under 3.5
42%2.10
Under 4.5
62%1.56

Match Events

11'Friday EtimAssist: Philip Billing
45'Pedro Bravo INSofus Johannesen out
56'Denil CastilloAssist: Friday Etim
59'Mikael Anderson INJames Bogere out
59'Mouhammade Camara INLuka Callø out
60'Stefen Tchamche INJanni Serra out
67'Martin Erlic INVictor Bak Jensen out
67'Cho Gue-sung INStanley Iheanacho out
68'Colin RoslerFoul
72'Colin Rosler INRasmus Carstensen out
81'Kjell-Arik WätjenTime wasting
81'Friday Etim INEdward Chilufya out
81'Tobias Bech Kristensen INSebastian Jorgensen out
85'Beni Junior INAbdou Aziz Ndiaye out
87'Magnus KnudsenFoul
89'Philip BillingFoul
90+2'Rasmus KristensenDissent

Lineups

Aarhus
3-4-3Coach: J. Poulsen
FC Midtjylland
4-5-1Coach: M. Tullberg
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.93
M. Hedenstad Christiansen6.821M. Hedenstad Christiansen
C. Rösler6.225C. Rösler
Mouhammade Camara6.744M. Camara
E. Kahl7.019E. Kahl
J. Andersen6.326J. Andersen
M. Knudsen6.34M. Knudsen
K. Arnstad6.410K. Arnstad
Frederik Emmery6.539F. Emmery
T. Bech6.031T. Bech
S. Tchamche6.927S. Tchamche
M. Anderson5.723M. Anderson
E. Ólafsson6.71E. Ólafsson
R. Kristensen6.85R. Kristensen
M. Erlić6.96M. Erlić
M. Jensen7.43M. Jensen
B. Dje Bi Dje6.715B. Dje Bi Dje
Cho Gue-Sung6.110C. Gue-Sung
D. Castillo7.921D. Castillo
P. Billing7.18P. Billing
P. Bravo6.919P. Bravo
K. Wätjen6.629K. Wätjen
F. Etim9.090F. Etim

Aarhus Substitutes

29R. Carstensen72'for Colin Rosler6.1
28J. Bogere59'for Mikael Anderson6.7
33Luka Callø59'for Mouhammade Camara6.5
1J. Hansen5.5
16J. Jønsson
14T. Mølgaard
13J. Serra60'for Stefen Tchamche6.6
7M. Solbakken
8S. Jørgensen81'for Tobias Bech Kristensen6.1

FC Midtjylland Substitutes

33Alamara Djabi
17M. Uhre
34N. A. Aziz85'for Beni Junior7.0
18S. Iheanacho67'for Cho Gue-sung6.4
7Franculino Djú
14E. Chilufya81'for Friday Etim6.6
25N. Bakker
55V. Bak Jensen67'for Martin Erlic6.5
27S. Johannesen45'for Pedro Bravo6.4

Match Stats

AarhusFC Midtjylland
59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
19Fouls20
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves3
449Total Passes302
384Passes Accurate239
86%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

AarhusAarhus
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
1624Elo Rating 1784
1.28Attack 1.13
2.02Defense 2.00
17%Hit Rate 39%
8.3Shots per Game 12.6
2.5Shots on Target 4.3
2.7Corners per Game 4.4
1.4Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

AarhusAarhus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AarhusAarhus0Wins · 0%
Draws660%
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Superliga26/04/2026
AarhusFC Midtjylland
00
Superliga20/04/2026
FC MidtjyllandAarhus
21
DBU Pokalen08/03/2026
FC MidtjyllandAarhus
11
DBU Pokalen12/02/2026
AarhusFC Midtjylland
01
Superliga03/11/2025
FC MidtjyllandAarhus
11
Superliga03/08/2025
AarhusFC Midtjylland
00
Superliga04/05/2025
FC MidtjyllandAarhus
31
Superliga13/04/2025
AarhusFC Midtjylland
11
Superliga27/10/2024
FC MidtjyllandAarhus
20
Superliga19/07/2024
AarhusFC Midtjylland
11

Referee Profile

J. Sundberg46 matches analysed

4.53Cards per match
4.38Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 55% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1284024:13+1128WWWDW
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1282226:12+1426DDLWW
3ViborgViborg1262419:12+720LLWWD
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1255218:14+420DDDLW
5BrondbyBrondby1261521:20+119WLWLL
6AC HorsensAC Horsens1244423:20+316WDDDL
7OdenseOdense1235411:16-514DWDDW
8AarhusAarhus1226417:19-212WDWDL
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1226416:20-412DLDWD
10Randers FCRanders FC1232712:19-711LDLLL
11LyngbyLyngby1215617:27-108LDLLD
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1222817:29-128LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1224:1328
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1226:1226
3ViborgViborg1219:1220
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1218:1420
5BrondbyBrondby1221:2019
6AC HorsensAC Horsens1223:2016
7OdenseOdense1211:1614
8AarhusAarhus1217:1912
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1216:2012
10Randers FCRanders FC1212:1911
11LyngbyLyngby1217:278
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1217:298
Relegation

About the Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland forecast

The forecasts for this Superliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aarhus and FC Midtjylland in the Superliga table

In the Superliga table, FC Midtjylland are 1st and Aarhus 8th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Aarhus 17-19, FC Midtjylland 24-13. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.