Gent vs Aarhus Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
Planet Group Arena, Gent·Bulat Sariyev, Kazakhstan 15/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseHighGap-9.3%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseHighGap+5.0%
Gent Rest
4 days
Aarhus Rest
2 days
Gent vs Aarhus: the result in context
Gent beat Aarhus 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Gent tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 2.7 for Aarhus.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.63
X22%4.05
218%5.00
Double Chance
1X82%1.17
X239%2.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.83
No51%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.69 + 0.7 = 3.39
Over 1.576%1.23
Over 2.556%1.84
Over 3.535%3.10
Under 1.524%3.75
Under 2.544%1.98
Under 3.565%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3 = 8.6
Over 8.559%1.52
Over 9.543%1.90
Over 10.533%2.46
Under 8.541%2.35
Under 9.557%1.83
Under 10.567%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.560%1.50
Over 4.541%2.05
Under 3.540%2.47
Under 4.559%1.75
Match Events
21'M. Anderson INF. Emmery out
46'D. L. Gretarsson INT. Molgaard out
46'S. Van Der Heyden INM. Diallo out
58'J. BogereRoughing
62'K. Arnstad INM. Knudsen out
66'M. Volckaert INH. Goore out
73'M. DelorgeFoul
76'M. Solbakken
77'M. Solbakken INJ. Jonsson out
77'M. Delorge INL. Lopes out
77'E. Kahl INF. Tingager out
86'T. De VliegerTripping
87'H. GooreAssist: T. Araujo
Lineups
GentAarhus
3-5-2Avg ratingAvg rating
C33D. Roef
3M. Paskotsi
16C. Burgess
44S. Van der Heyden
27T. De Vlieger
7M. Ange Balikwisha
57M. Volckaert
17M. Delorge
20T. Araújo
75I. Cisse
11M. Sonko
21M. Hedenstad
25C. Rösler
3D. Grétarsson
19E. Kahl
26J. Andersen
18C. McCowatt
7M. Solbakken
C10K. Arnstad
23M. Anderson
27S. Tchamche
28J. BogereGent Substitutes
56Mamadou Diallo46'for S. Van Der Heyden
45Hyllarion Goore66'for M. Volckaert87'
30Kjell Peersman
18Matisse Samoise
39Abdul Ayinde
8László Bénes
10Aimé Omgba
14Kyrell Wilson
22Leonardo Lopes77'for M. Delorge
28Mohammed El Âdfaoui
37Abdelkahar Kadri
59El Hadji Seck
Aarhus Substitutes
39Frederik Emmery21'for M. Anderson
14Tobias Mølgaard46'for D. L. Gretarsson
4Magnus Knudsen62'for K. Arnstad
42Marius van der Raad
1Jesper Hansen
5Frederik Tingager77'for E. Kahl
33Luka Callø
29Rasmus Carstensen
8Sebastian Jørgensen
16Jens Jønsson77'for M. Solbakken
31Tobias Bech
13Janni Serra
Match Stats
GentAarhus 52%Ball Possession48%
11Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots4
4Shots on Goal1
13Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots1
10Fouls15
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
526Total Passes498
459Passes Accurate428
87%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
GentAarhus1728Elo Rating 1624
1.50Attack 1.28
1.63Defense 2.02
50%Hit Rate 17%
13.6Shots per Game 8.3
4.0Shots on Target 2.5
5.6Corners per Game 2.7
1.3Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.38 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
Gent- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Aarhus- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Recent Form
Gent7W3D0L
10/10/2026
Zulte WaregemGent
18/09/2026Zulte WaregemGent02
WGent
Standard Liege21
W13/09/2026
GenkGent11
D06/09/2026
Cercle BruggeGent03
W03/09/2026Gent
OH Leuven10
W30/08/2026Gent
Club Brugge KV21
W27/08/2026
HibernianGent23
W20/08/2026GentHibernian00
D16/08/2026
RAAL La LouvièreGent12
W13/08/2026Gent
IFK Goteborg
GentIFK Goteborg11
DAarhus3W3D4L
12/10/2026Aarhus
Sonderjyske
AC HorsensAarhus
FC NordsjaellandAarhusAarhus
FC Midtjylland
Randers FCAarhusAarhus
BenficaAarhus
Odense
AarhusSonderjyske30
W02/10/2026Aarhus
Vendsyssel FF
20/09/2026AarhusVendsyssel FF21
WAC HorsensAarhus22
D16/09/2026
Skjold SæbyAarhus
13/09/2026Skjold SæbyAarhus16
WFC NordsjaellandAarhus20
L05/09/2026Aarhus
Silkeborg
02/09/2026AarhusSilkeborg22
DAarhusFC Midtjylland02
L30/08/2026Randers FCAarhus21
L27/08/2026AarhusBenfica13
L23/08/2026AarhusOdense22
DReferee Profile
4.27Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 37% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Gent Predictions
- Aarhus Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Gent vs Aarhus forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Gent and Aarhus have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.