Gent vs OH Leuven Prediction

Gent
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
OH Leuven
Planet Group Arena, Gent·M. Allaerts 03/09/2026
GentGent
1-0
Finished
OH LeuvenOH Leuven

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Gent Rest
4 days
OH Leuven Rest
4 days

Gent vs OH Leuven: result, form and history

Gent beat OH Leuven 1-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 3 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gent had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for OH Leuven.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.67
X
24%3.70
2
15%4.85
Double Chance
1X
85%1.17
X2
39%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.80
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 1.08 = 3.02
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.85
Over 3.5
32%3.11
Under 1.5
18%3.60
Under 2.5
41%1.93
Under 3.5
68%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.44
Over 9.5
53%1.72
Over 10.5
41%2.08
Under 8.5
36%2.67
Under 9.5
47%2.04
Under 10.5
59%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.4 = 2.8
Over 3.5
30%1.52
Over 4.5
15%2.10
Under 3.5
70%2.30
Under 4.5
85%1.65

Match Events

46'Tiago Araújo
57'Davis Opoku INAbdoul Karim Traoré out
58'Wouter GeorgeFoul
64'Mathias Delorge INTibe De Vlieger out
64'László Bénes INMichel Ange Balikwisha out
64'Kyrell Wilson INMatties Volckaert out
65'Siebe Van Der HeydenFoul
67'Lukasz Lakomy INKyan Vaesen out
67'Shin Yamada INChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi out
74'Momodou Sonko INEl Hadji Seck out
76'Oscar Gil RegañoDissent
76'Wouter George INTakuya Ogiwara out
77'Noë Dussenne INBryang Kayo out
88'Josue Vergara INAime Ntsama Omgba out

Lineups

Gent
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Demil
OH Leuven
3-4-3Coach: T. Simons
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.50
D. Roef6.933D. Roef
M. Ngom6.95M. Ngom
C. Burgess7.116C. Burgess
S. Van der Heyden6.444S. Van der Heyden
Kyrell Wilson6.114K. Wilson
M. Delorge-Knieper7.217M. Delorge-Knieper
Leonardo Lopes6.722L. Lopes
Tiago Araújo7.820T. Araújo
L. Bénes6.88L. Bénes
M. Sonko6.311M. Sonko
J. Y. Vergara Ortega6.247J. Y. Vergara Ortega
D. van den Heuvel7.016D. van den Heuvel
J. Lawrence6.95J. Lawrence
N. Dussenne6.73N. Dussenne
E. Pletinckx7.128E. Pletinckx
Óscar Gil6.327Ó. Gil
W. George6.26W. George
B. Verstraete6.44B. Verstraete
D. Opoku6.799D. Opoku
W. Balikwisha6.621W. Balikwisha
S. Yamada6.420S. Yamada
Ł. Łakomy6.424Ł. Łakomy

Gent Substitutes

57M. Volckaert64'for Kyrell Wilson6.5
27T. De Vlieger64'for Mathias Delorge6.6
39A. Ayindé
37A. Kadri
7M. Balikwisha64'for László Bénes6.6
10A. Omgba88'for Josue Vergara6.5
3M. Paskotši
30K. Peersman
59E. Seck74'for Momodou Sonko6.4

OH Leuven Substitutes

80Matteo Heremans
19C. Ikwuemesi67'for Shin Yamada6.3
61O. Jochmans
48B. Kayo77'for Noë Dussenne6.8
72S. Murru
26T. Ogiwara76'for Wouter George6.0
9A. Traoré57'for Davis Opoku6.5
17K. Vaesen67'for Lukasz Lakomy5.9
34R. Nyakossi

Match Stats

GentOH Leuven
43%Ball Possession57%
10Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots8
1Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
10Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves0
390Total Passes539
313Passes Accurate464
80%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

GentGent
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
1728Elo Rating 1524
1.50Attack 1.44
1.63Defense 2.13
50%Hit Rate 39%
13.6Shots per Game 14.9
4.0Shots on Target 3.8
5.6Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+204 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GentGent
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GentGent3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
OH LeuvenOH Leuven4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League07/02/2026
GentOH Leuven
13
Jupiler Pro League02/11/2025
OH LeuvenGent
40
Jupiler Pro League26/01/2025
OH LeuvenGent
00
Jupiler Pro League29/09/2024
GentOH Leuven
30
Jupiler Pro League12/05/2024
GentOH Leuven
01
Jupiler Pro League14/04/2024
OH LeuvenGent
21
Jupiler Pro League21/12/2023
GentOH Leuven
40
Jupiler Pro League17/09/2023
OH LeuvenGent
11
Jupiler Pro League19/02/2023
GentOH Leuven
20
Jupiler Pro League30/10/2022
OH LeuvenGent
11

Recent Form

GentGent
7W3D0L
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
2W2D6L
29/08/2026
OH LeuvenStandard Liege
12
L
15/08/2026
OH LeuvenClub Brugge KV
03
L
09/08/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
31
L
01/08/2026
OH LeuvenLille
36
L
25/07/2026
HeerenveenOH Leuven
44
D
24/07/2026
Club Brugge IIOH Leuven
30
L
18/07/2026
OH LeuvenK. Lierse S.K.
10
W
15/07/2026
OH LeuvenLommel United
51
W
11/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusOH Leuven
11
D
23/05/2026
OH LeuvenGenk
02
L

Referee Profile

M. Allaerts86 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Allaerts4.27
Other referees4.36

4.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Gent vs OH Leuven forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gent and OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Gent are 1st in the Jupiler Pro League, while OH Leuven sit 16th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Gent 19-4, OH Leuven 8-16. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

OH Leuven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.