Charleroi vs OH Leuven Prediction

Charleroi
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
OH Leuven
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi·Michiel Allaerts, Belgium 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.86
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Charleroi Rest
7 days
OH Leuven Rest
7 days

Charleroi vs OH Leuven: the result in context

Charleroi beat OH Leuven 3-1 in the Jupiler Pro League on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.75
X
23%3.60
2
26%4.42
Double Chance
1X
74%1.20
X2
49%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.77
No
45%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.15 = 2.85
Over 1.5
81%1.27
Over 2.5
57%1.86
Over 3.5
32%3.25
Under 1.5
19%3.45
Under 2.5
43%1.91
Under 3.5
68%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'A. K. TraoreDiving
24'P. Guiagon(Penalty)
30'A. K. TraoreUnsportsmanlike conduct
31'A. OusouUnsportsmanlike conduct
39'O. GilAssist: W. George
45'C. IkwuemesiUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'A. Boukamir INI. Cisse out
47'Goal Disallowed - offsideC. Keita
59'K. Van Den Kerkhof
64'H. Teklab INT. Ogiwara out
64'O. Gil IND. Opoku out
68'P. Pflucke INA. Bojang out
70'W. George INL. Lakomy out
74'A. Scheidler INJ. Romsaas out
74'P. Guiagon INF. Mbemba out
76'W. Balikwisha INK. Vaesen out
76'C. Ikwuemesi INS. Yamada out
79'F. MbembaAssist: I. Cisse
83'A. Bernier INA. Colassin out

Lineups

Charleroi
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Kohnen
OH Leuven
3-4-3Coach: Felice Mazzu
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.63
Mohamed Koné6.330M. Koné
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof7.93K. Van Den Kerkhof
Aiham OusouC7.94A. Ousou
Cheick Keita6.995C. Keita
Mardochee Nzita6.924M. Nzita
Amine Boukamir6.76A. Boukamir
Yassine Khalifi7.718Y. Khalifi
Antoine Bernier7.917A. Bernier
Patrick Pflücke6.914P. Pflücke
Parfait Guiagon8.210P. Guiagon
Aurélien Scheidler6.721A. Scheidler
Dani van den Heuvel8.916D. van den Heuvel
Ewoud Pletinckx6.528E. Pletinckx
Noë Dussenne6.73N. Dussenne
Roggerio Nyakossi6.634R. Nyakossi
Óscar Gil7.327Ó. Gil
Wouter George6.96W. George
Siebe SchrijversC6.98S. Schrijvers
Henok Teklab6.611H. Teklab
William Balikwisha6.921W. Balikwisha
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi6.019C. Ikwuemesi
Abdoul Karim Traoré5.09A. Karim Traoré

Charleroi Substitutes

19Isaac Ismaël Cissé46'for A. Boukamir7.2
9Adama Bojang68'for P. Pflucke6.7
1Martin Delavallée
44Massamba Sow
65Rafaël Teugels
33Noah Solheid
8Jakob Napoleon Romsaas74'for A. Scheidler6.6
20Freddy Mbemba74'for P. Guiagon79'8.3
25Antoine Colassin83'for A. Bernier

OH Leuven Substitutes

26Takuya Ogiwara64'for H. Teklab6.2
99Davis Opoku64'for O. Gil6.5
1Tobe Leysen
5Jamie Lawrence
24Łukasz Łakomy70'replaced by W. George6.3
48Bryang Kayo
72Sebastian Murru
4Birger Verstraete
17Kyan Vaesen76'for W. Balikwisha6.3
20Shin Yamada76'for C. Ikwuemesi6.5

Match Stats

CharleroiOH Leuven
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
24Total Shots12
10Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
18Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots3
7Fouls13
5Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
496Total Passes341
419Passes Accurate267
84%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

CharleroiCharleroi
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
1680Elo Rating 1524
0.83Attack 1.44
1.86Defense 2.13
50%Hit Rate 39%
14.1Shots per Game 14.9
5.2Shots on Target 3.8
5.0Corners per Game 4.5
2.3Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+156 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CharleroiCharleroi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CharleroiCharleroi2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
OH LeuvenOH Leuven3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League19/05/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
11
Jupiler Pro League25/04/2026
OH LeuvenCharleroi
02
Jupiler Pro League14/03/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
02
Jupiler Pro League27/07/2025
OH LeuvenCharleroi
22
Jupiler Pro League24/05/2025
CharleroiOH Leuven
21
Jupiler Pro League28/03/2025
OH LeuvenCharleroi
00
Jupiler Pro League14/12/2024
OH LeuvenCharleroi
10
Jupiler Pro League26/10/2024
CharleroiOH Leuven
02
Jupiler Pro League17/02/2024
OH LeuvenCharleroi
00
Jupiler Pro League29/07/2023
CharleroiOH Leuven
11

Recent Form

CharleroiCharleroi
4W3D3L
01/08/2026
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
23
L
25/07/2026
CharleroiSeraing United
21
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
17/07/2026
FeyenoordCharleroi
31
L
11/07/2026
CharleroiReims
22
D
23/05/2026
Standard LiegeCharleroi
02
W
19/05/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
11
D
16/05/2026
CharleroiKVC Westerlo
01
L
10/05/2026
AntwerpCharleroi
01
W
02/05/2026
CharleroiGenk
20
W
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
OH LeuvenLille
36
L
25/07/2026
HeerenveenOH Leuven
44
D
24/07/2026
Club Brugge IIOH Leuven
30
L
18/07/2026
OH LeuvenK. Lierse S.K.
10
W
15/07/2026
OH LeuvenLommel United
51
W
11/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusOH Leuven
11
D
23/05/2026
OH LeuvenGenk
02
L
19/05/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
11
D
15/05/2026
OH LeuvenAntwerp
30
W
08/05/2026
Standard LiegeOH Leuven
21
L

Referee Profile

Michiel Allaerts86 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michiel Allaerts4.27
Other referees4.36

4.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
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About the Charleroi vs OH Leuven forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charleroi and OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Charleroi are 4th in the Jupiler Pro League, while OH Leuven sit 16th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Charleroi 16-10, OH Leuven 8-16. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

OH Leuven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.