Gent vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Gent
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
KV Mechelen
Planet Group Arena, Gent·Eric Lambrechts, Belgium 09/08/2026
GentGent
2-0
Finished
KV MechelenKV Mechelen

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Gent Rest
2 days
KV Mechelen Rest
7 days

Gent vs KV Mechelen: the result in context

Gent beat KV Mechelen 2-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gent had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for KV Mechelen.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.96
X
22%3.50
2
19%3.60
Double Chance
1X
82%1.28
X2
41%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.98 = 2.94
Over 1.5
81%1.25
Over 2.5
58%1.87
Over 3.5
32%3.11
Under 1.5
19%3.60
Under 2.5
42%1.93
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'G. Diouf INK. Corbanie out
37'T. Araujo
45'J. VergaraAssist: M. Sonko
46'C. Burgess INM. Paskotsi out
46'B. Raman INM. Lohunanu-Mbasi out
71'T. De Vlieger INM. Delorge-Knieper out
71'A. Kadri INH. Goore out
76'J. Marsa INI. Struyf out
77'D. Praet INM. Kireev out
80'J. Vergara INI. Cisse out
85'Massimo DecoeneFoul
86'B. Bafdili INC. Van Meirvenne out

Lineups

Gent
3-4-2-1Coach: Rik De Mil
KV Mechelen
4-2-3-1Coach: Frederic Vanderbiest
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.57
D. RoefC7.333D. Roef
M. Ngom7.25M. Ngom
C. Burgess7.016C. Burgess
S. Van Der Heyden7.244S. Van Der Heyden
M. Volckaert57M. Volckaert
T. De Vlieger7.527T. De Vlieger
L. Lopes7.222L. Lopes
T. Araujo8.220T. Araujo
A. Kadri6.937A. Kadri
M. Sonko7.511M. Sonko
J. Vergara7.947J. Vergara
N. Miras8.213N. Miras
M. Decoene6.739M. Decoene
G. Diouf7.24G. Diouf
J. Marsa6.63J. Marsa
M. Zekri6.023M. Zekri
F. HammarC6.36F. Hammar
D. Salifou6.28D. Salifou
B. Bafdili6.311B. Bafdili
D. Praet6.626D. Praet
M. van Brederode6.59M. van Brederode
B. Raman6.314B. Raman

Gent Substitutes

30K. Peersman
17M. Delorge-Knieper71'for T. De Vlieger7.0
56M. Diallo
45H. Goore71'for A. Kadri6.9
8L. Benes
3M. Paskotsi46'for C. Burgess6.9
28M. El Adfaoui
59E. H. Seck
75I. Cisse80'for J. Vergara6.3

KV Mechelen Substitutes

1O. De Wolf
27K. Vanrafelghem
20K. Corbanie28'for G. Diouf6.2
7T. Koudou
10M. Kireev77'for D. Praet6.3
40A. Ouahabi
17C. Van Meirvenne86'for B. Bafdili
18I. Struyf76'for J. Marsa6.7
19M. Lohunanu-Mbasi46'for B. Raman6.7

Match Stats

GentKV Mechelen
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
514Total Passes460
437Passes Accurate381
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

GentGent
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
1728Elo Rating 1550
1.50Attack 2.27
1.63Defense 1.31
50%Hit Rate 50%
13.6Shots per Game 11.5
4.0Shots on Target 3.1
5.6Corners per Game 5.5
1.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+178 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GentGent
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GentGent5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
KV MechelenKV Mechelen2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League03/05/2026
KV MechelenGent
10
Jupiler Pro League06/04/2026
GentKV Mechelen
11
Jupiler Pro League08/03/2026
GentKV Mechelen
31
Jupiler Pro League16/08/2025
KV MechelenGent
11
Jupiler Pro League07/02/2025
KV MechelenGent
33
Jupiler Pro League15/09/2024
GentKV Mechelen
20
Jupiler Pro League04/05/2024
KV MechelenGent
24
Jupiler Pro League20/04/2024
GentKV Mechelen
31
Jupiler Pro League19/01/2024
GentKV Mechelen
12
Jupiler Pro League06/08/2023
KV MechelenGent
01

Recent Form

GentGent
6W3D1L
06/08/2026
IFK GoteborgGent
01
W
30/07/2026
GentLNZ Cherkasy
4020
W
23/07/2026
LNZ CherkasyGent
00
D
18/07/2026
TwenteGent
02
W
11/07/2026
GentSK Beveren
40
W
04/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGent
33
D
27/06/2026
MerelbekeGent
16
W
31/05/2026
GentGenk
5040
W
24/05/2026
Club Brugge KVGent
50
L
21/05/2026
GentUnion St. Gilloise
00
D
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
KV MechelenDunkerque
00
D
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
L
18/07/2026
KV MechelenADO Den Haag
23
L
15/07/2026
HeistKV Mechelen
01
W
11/07/2026
Sporting HasseltKV Mechelen
12
W
04/07/2026
KV MechelenRupel Boom
30
W
24/05/2026
St. TruidenKV Mechelen
30
L
21/05/2026
KV MechelenClub Brugge KV
22
D
17/05/2026
AnderlechtKV Mechelen
22
D
10/05/2026
Union St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
30
L

Referee Profile

Eric Lambrechts165 matches

4.23Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Eric Lambrechts4.23
Other referees4.21

4.23 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Gent vs KV Mechelen forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gent and KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Gent are 1st in the Jupiler Pro League, while KV Mechelen sit 15th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Gent 19-4, KV Mechelen 9-17. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.