St. Truiden vs Lommel United Prediction

Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium Belgium · Regular Season - 1
St. Truiden
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Lommel United
Stayen, Sint- Truiden·Anthony Letellier, Belgium 08/08/2026
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
1-1
Finished
Lommel UnitedLommel United

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap+6.3%
St. Truiden Rest
6 days
Lommel United Rest
15 days

St. Truiden vs Lommel United: the result in context

St. Truiden and Lommel United drew 1-1 in the Jupiler Pro League on 8 Aug 2026. St. Truiden had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Lommel United.

Referee Anthony Letellier averages 4.14 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.60
X
23%3.83
2
22%5.28
Double Chance
1X
78%1.15
X2
45%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.80
No
45%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 1.05 = 2.94
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
58%1.81
Over 3.5
32%3.01
Under 1.5
18%3.75
Under 2.5
42%1.97
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'Penalty confirmedTimothy Eyoma
24'R. Seuntjens(Penalty)
36'Penalty cancelledRobert-Jan Vanwesemael
49'S. Nypan INJ. Talvitie out
56'S. Appuah INZ. Vancsa out
64'I. SebaouiAssist: N. Ishiwatari
68'R. Merlen INK. Matsuzawa out
73'H. Oware INS. Adewoye out
73'R. Seuntjens INL. Beirinckx out
75'Nelson IshiwatariFoul
76'F. Soelle INO. Diouf out
89'J. Pupe INS. Shinkawa out
90'Goal cancelledOumar Diouf

Lineups

St. Truiden
Lommel United
4-2-3-1Coach: Lee Johnson

St. Truiden Starting XI

16L. Kokubo6.6
3T. Hata7.7
4L. Mbe Soh8.0
26V. MusliuC6.9
23J. Pupe89'replaced by S. Shinkawa7.2
18N. Ishiwatari75'7.3
8A. Sissako7.2
60R. Vanwesemael7.2
14R. Merlen68'replaced by K. Matsuzawa6.9
10I. Sebaoui64'7.2
19F. Soelle76'replaced by O. Diouf
Avg rating7.04

Lommel United Starting XI

23M. Pieklak6.2
2J. van Duiven7.0
3T. Eyoma7.6
5D. Wouters7.5
34H. Oware73'replaced by S. Adewoye6.6
15L. SchoofsC6.9
6J. Pelupessy6.9
10T. Reyners6.9
41S. Nypan49'replaced by J. Talvitie6.5
21S. Appuah56'replaced by Z. Vancsa6.9
30R. Seuntjens24'73'replaced by L. Beirinckx7.3
Avg rating6.86

St. Truiden Substitutes

21M. Lendfers
22W. Janssens
33A. Diriken
99S. Shinkawa89'for J. Pupe6.3
5S. Taniguchi
71R. Araki
77O. Diouf76'for F. Soelle
38K. Matsuzawa68'for R. Merlen7.2
39R. Verheyden

Lommel United Substitutes

1N. Ivezic
8N. Rommens
4S. Adewoye73'for H. Oware7.3
11Z. Vancsa56'for S. Appuah6.5
22D. Gordic
44I. Dada-Mascoll
7J. Talvitie49'for S. Nypan6.3
98M. Salah
60L. Beirinckx73'for R. Seuntjens6.5

Match Stats

St. TruidenLommel United
66%Ball Possession34%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
32Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal2
14Shots off Goal4
20Shots Inside Box7
12Shots Outside Box2
14Blocked Shots3
13Fouls7
3Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves3
638Total Passes340
570Passes Accurate262
89%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

St. TruidenSt. Truiden
Lommel UnitedLommel United
1675Elo Rating 1628
2.07Attack 1.68
1.83Defense 1.35
69%Hit Rate 36%
18.1Shots per Game 13.6
5.8Shots on Target 3.6
6.3Corners per Game 5.3
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

St. TruidenSt. Truiden
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lommel UnitedLommel United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

St. TruidenSt. Truiden
6W1D3L
02/08/2026
AEK Athens FCSt. Truiden
30
L
01/08/2026
Helmond SportSt. Truiden
10
L
22/07/2026
LiègeSt. Truiden
01
W
18/07/2026
FC LuzernSt. Truiden
12
W
15/07/2026
Patro EisdenSt. Truiden
04
W
04/07/2026
Zepperen-BrustemSt. Truiden
06
W
01/07/2026
Thes SportSt. Truiden
12
W
24/05/2026
St. TruidenKV Mechelen
30
W
21/05/2026
AnderlechtSt. Truiden
31
L
16/05/2026
St. TruidenGent
11
D
Lommel UnitedLommel United
6W2D2L
24/07/2026
Lommel UnitedADO Den Haag
04
L
18/07/2026
Lommel UnitedGO Ahead Eagles
21
W
15/07/2026
OH LeuvenLommel United
51
L
11/07/2026
Cercle BruggeLommel United
11
D
23/05/2026
DenderLommel United
00
D
17/05/2026
Lommel UnitedDender
32
W
09/05/2026
Beerschot VALommel United
13
W
02/05/2026
Lommel UnitedBeerschot VA
31
W
27/04/2026
LiègeLommel United
12
W
23/04/2026
Lommel UnitedLiège
30
W

Referee Profile

Anthony Letellier71 matches

4.14Cards per match
3.88Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anthony Letellier4.14
Other referees4.64

4.14 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.64).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
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About the St. Truiden vs Lommel United forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

St. Truiden and Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Lommel United are 8th and St. Truiden 13th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: St. Truiden 17-19, Lommel United 11-11. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

St. Truiden have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. St. Truiden and Lommel United have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.