Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht Prediction

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels·Lawrence Visser, Belgium 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel36%SurpriseHighGap+8.0%
Union St. Gilloise Rest
15 days
Anderlecht Rest
2 days

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht: result, form and history

Union St. Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 30 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Anderlecht had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Union St. Gilloise.

Union St. Gilloise have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee Lawrence Visser averages 4.86 cards a game, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.70
X
26%3.80
2
25%4.75
Double Chance
1X
75%1.18
X2
51%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.75
No
43%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.88 + 1.27 = 3.15
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.81
Over 3.5
32%2.95
Under 1.5
18%3.75
Under 2.5
41%1.98
Under 3.5
68%1.37
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'M. SyllaFoul
38'B. ZeneliAssist: Guilherme Smith
45'M. BiondicAssist: B. Zeneli
45+4'G. BianconeUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'J. Nga Kana INO. Antman out
62'M. KanaFoul
70'M. Kana INM. Winkler out
70'L. Augustinsson INM. N'Diaye out
70'L. Patris IND. De Roeve out
70'K. Rodriguez INR. Florucz out
78'K. Mac AllisterFoul
79'L. Ambros INN. Ojea out
79'D. Sikan INT. Bentayeb out
80'A. Zorgane INR. Schoofs out
81'R. FloruczAssist: R. Schoofs
87'M. Biondic INR. Mofokeng out
87'B. Zeneli INN. Havenaar out

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
3-4-3Coach: David Hubert
Anderlecht
4-4-2Coach: Vitor Bruno
Avg rating7.31
Avg rating6.39
Hervé Koffi7.312H. Koffi
Kevin Mac AllisterC7.05K. Mac Allister
Massire Sylla7.329M. Sylla
Ondrej Kricfalusi7.380O. Kricfalusi
Louis Patris6.927L. Patris
Adem Zorgane7.28A. Zorgane
Kamiel Van de Perre7.36K. Van de Perre
Guilherme Smith8.211G. Smith
Mateo Biondic7.39M. Biondic
Kevin Rodriguez6.713K. Rodriguez
Besfort Zeneli8.623B. Zeneli
Colin CoosemansC6.226C. Coosemans
Ali Maamar5.379A. Maamar
Giulian Biancone7.24G. Biancone
Léo Pétrot6.527L. Pétrot
Ludwig Augustinsson6.26L. Augustinsson
Lukáš Ambros6.618L. Ambros
Enric Llansana6.524E. Llansana
Marco Kana6.555M. Kana
Joshua Nga Kana6.261J. Nga Kana
Mihajlo Cvetković6.59M. Cvetković
Danylo Sikan6.214D. Sikan

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

1Vic Chambaere
55Nikki Havenaar87'for B. Zeneli
21Denzel De Roeve70'for L. Patris6.7
17Rob Schoofs80'for A. Zorgane6.6
38Relebohile Mofokeng87'replaced by M. Biondic
14Ivan Pavlić
28Darius Olaru
30Raul Florucz70'for K. Rodriguez81'7.9
10Anouar Ait El Hadj

Anderlecht Substitutes

32Justin Heekeren
5Moussa Ndiaye70'for L. Augustinsson6.3
2Zoumana Keita
62Basile Vroninks
50Kaïs Barry
68Noah Kalonji
10Marten Winkler70'for M. Kana6.7
53Noa Cobiella79'for L. Ambros6.5
21Tawfik Bentayeb79'for D. Sikan6.7

Match Stats

Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
11Fouls14
6Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
383Total Passes454
303Passes Accurate354
79%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
AnderlechtAnderlecht
1881Elo Rating 1740
2.41Attack 1.79
2.64Defense 2.18
64%Hit Rate 58%
21.9Shots per Game 13.1
8.9Shots on Target 7.1
5.6Corners per Game 4.4
1.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+141 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
AnderlechtAnderlecht
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
AnderlechtAnderlecht1Wins · 10%
2.0Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League24/05/2026
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
51
Cup14/05/2026
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
3111
Jupiler Pro League26/04/2026
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
13
Jupiler Pro League30/11/2025
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
10
Jupiler Pro League31/08/2025
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
20
Jupiler Pro League10/05/2025
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
01
Jupiler Pro League12/04/2025
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
20
Jupiler Pro League23/02/2025
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
02
Jupiler Pro League01/09/2024
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
00
Jupiler Pro League05/05/2024
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
00

Recent Form

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
6W2D2L
15/08/2026
Union St. GilloiseZulte Waregem
00
D
11/08/2026
Bodo/GlimtUnion St. Gilloise
3222
L
08/08/2026
KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
15
W
04/08/2026
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
33
D
31/07/2026
Club Brugge KVUnion St. Gilloise
4151
W
24/07/2026
Union St. GilloisePatro Eisden
40
W
18/07/2026
PSV EindhovenUnion St. Gilloise
73
L
11/07/2026
Union St. GilloiseAarhus
21
W
05/07/2026
Union St. GilloiseFCSB
40
W
30/06/2026
Diegem SportUnion St. Gilloise
07
W

Referee Profile

Lawrence Visser214 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lawrence Visser4.86
Other referees4.23

4.86 cards a match, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League table

Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht are close in the Jupiler Pro League table, 3rd and 5th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Union St. Gilloise 27-6, Anderlecht 9-10. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.