Antwerp vs St. Truiden Prediction

Antwerp
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
St. Truiden
Bosuilstadion, Antwerp·Bram Van Driessche, Belgium 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseHighGap+10.6%
Antwerp Rest
7 days
St. Truiden Rest
2 days

Antwerp vs St. Truiden: the result in context

St. Truiden beat Antwerp 4-1 in the Jupiler Pro League on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Bram Van Driessche averages 4.73 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.34
X
32%3.50
2
30%2.80
Double Chance
1X
70%1.40
X2
62%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.57
No
44%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.24 = 2.69
Over 1.5
79%1.21
Over 2.5
53%1.70
Over 3.5
28%2.75
Under 1.5
21%4.13
Under 2.5
47%2.15
Under 3.5
72%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.42
Over 9.5
51%1.75
Over 10.5
41%2.15
Under 8.5
37%2.57
Under 9.5
49%1.97
Under 10.5
59%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
65%1.50
Over 4.5
45%2.00
Under 3.5
35%2.45
Under 4.5
55%1.75

Match Events

2'Luca SchelfhoutFoul
9'R. Araki
28'Léo KokuboArgument
46'L. Schelfhout INM. Busi out
46'L. Narh INS. Porozo out
58'S. Porozo
61'O. Diouf INS. Bazdar out
66'I. Salah INX. Dierckx out
73'S. BazdarAssist: R. Merlen
74'Goal confirmedSamed Baždar
75'T. Somers ING. Hairemans out
75'R. Araki INN. Ishiwatari out
75'A. Muja INK. Matsuzawa out
76'K. MatsuzawaAssist: R. Merlen
78'Ryan MerlenFoul
79'Samed BaždarArgument
81'C. Scott INJ. Godelaine out
90'S. BazdarAssist: I. Sebaoui
90+3'R. Merlen INS. Shinkawa out

Lineups

Antwerp
4-4-2Coach: Marvin Compper
St. Truiden

Antwerp Starting XI

41T. Nozawa5.5
28L. Schelfhout2'46'replaced by M. Busi6.9
4Y. Tsunashima6.2
20R. Van Helden6.0
27E. Tuypens
77I. Salah66'replaced by X. Dierckx6.2
25M. Fofana6.2
10C. Scott81'replaced by J. Godelaine6.9
24T. SomersC75'replaced by G. Hairemans6.6
9M. Frey6.2
99L. Narh46'replaced by S. Porozo6.2
Avg rating6.38

St. Truiden Starting XI

16L. Kokubo28'6.9
60R. Vanwesemael7.0
5S. TaniguchiC6.5
26V. Musliu8.5
3T. Hata6.5
8A. Sissako6.9
14R. Merlen78'90+3'replaced by S. Shinkawa7.5
7A. Muja75'replaced by K. Matsuzawa7.6
71R. Araki9'75'replaced by N. Ishiwatari8.2
10I. Sebaoui6.5
77O. Diouf61'replaced by S. Bazdar
Avg rating7.31

Antwerp Substitutes

81N. Devalckeneer
44M. Busi46'for L. Schelfhout6.9
17S. Renders
14X. Dierckx66'for I. Salah6.3
16L. Van Gelder
11G. Hairemans75'for T. Somers6.7
33S. Porozo46'for L. Narh58'7.2
29J. Godelaine81'for C. Scott6.5

St. Truiden Substitutes

21M. Lendfers
33A. Diriken
23J. Pupe
18N. Ishiwatari75'for R. Araki6.9
38K. Matsuzawa75'for A. Muja76'7.9
31I. Benachour
22W. Janssens
99S. Shinkawa90+3'for R. Merlen
9S. Bazdar61'for O. Diouf73'79'90'8.7

Match Stats

AntwerpSt. Truiden
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box12
8Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls8
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
443Total Passes328
373Passes Accurate236
84%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

AntwerpAntwerp
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
1595Elo Rating 1675
1.37Attack 2.07
1.27Defense 1.83
50%Hit Rate 69%
10.7Shots per Game 18.1
3.6Shots on Target 5.8
3.5Corners per Game 6.3
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

AntwerpAntwerp
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AntwerpAntwerp5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
St. TruidenSt. Truiden1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League28/02/2026
AntwerpSt. Truiden
10
Cup03/12/2025
AntwerpSt. Truiden
4333
Jupiler Pro League02/11/2025
St. TruidenAntwerp
10
Jupiler Pro League24/01/2025
St. TruidenAntwerp
11
Jupiler Pro League11/08/2024
AntwerpSt. Truiden
61
Jupiler Pro League03/03/2024
AntwerpSt. Truiden
30
Jupiler Pro League24/11/2023
St. TruidenAntwerp
11
Jupiler Pro League23/04/2023
St. TruidenAntwerp
01
Jupiler Pro League07/10/2022
AntwerpSt. Truiden
20
Jupiler Pro League25/01/2022
AntwerpSt. Truiden
11

Recent Form

AntwerpAntwerp
5W2D3L
22/08/2026
AntwerpGenk
44
D
15/08/2026
KortrijkAntwerp
03
W
09/08/2026
AntwerpSK Beveren
21
W
02/08/2026
Leyton OrientAntwerp
21
L
01/08/2026
MillwallAntwerp
10
L
25/07/2026
AntwerpK. Lierse S.K.
11
D
24/07/2026
AntwerpOlympiakos Piraeus
30
W
19/07/2026
Sporting HasseltAntwerp
02
W
11/07/2026
VfL BochumAntwerp
10
L
23/05/2026
AntwerpKVC Westerlo
20
W
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
5W2D3L
27/08/2026
Omonia NicosiaSt. Truiden
42
L
20/08/2026
St. TruidenOmonia Nicosia
10
W
14/08/2026
Cercle BruggeSt. Truiden
33
D
08/08/2026
St. TruidenLommel United
11
D
02/08/2026
AEK Athens FCSt. Truiden
30
L
01/08/2026
Helmond SportSt. Truiden
10
L
22/07/2026
LiègeSt. Truiden
01
W
18/07/2026
FC LuzernSt. Truiden
12
W
15/07/2026
Patro EisdenSt. Truiden
04
W
04/07/2026
Zepperen-BrustemSt. Truiden
06
W

Referee Profile

Bram Van Driessche179 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bram Van Driessche4.73
Other referees4.18

4.73 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.18).

Cards come from 143 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Antwerp vs St. Truiden forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Antwerp and St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League table

Antwerp and St. Truiden are close in the Jupiler Pro League table, 11th and 13th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Antwerp 15-20, St. Truiden 17-19. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

St. Truiden have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.