Genk vs Gent Prediction

Genk
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Gent
Cegeka Arena, Genk 13/09/2026
GenkGenk
1-1
Finished
GentGent

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.88
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Genk Rest
6 days
Gent Rest
7 days

Genk vs Gent: the result in context

Genk and Gent drew 1-1 in the Jupiler Pro League on 13 Sep 2026. Gent had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Genk.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.08
X
25%3.31
2
31%3.42
Double Chance
1X
69%1.29
X2
56%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.68
No
40%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.35 = 2.91
Over 1.5
84%1.25
Over 2.5
60%1.88
Over 3.5
33%3.15
Under 1.5
16%3.50
Under 2.5
40%1.92
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
54%1.44
Over 9.5
40%1.75
Over 10.5
33%2.20
Under 8.5
46%2.60
Under 9.5
60%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.70
Over 4.5
26%2.37
Under 3.5
56%2.07
Under 4.5
74%1.55

Match Events

10'Momodou SonkoAssist: Tiago Araújo
21'Momodou SonkoFoul
32'Josue VergaraFoul
45'Ibrahima Sory Bangoura INBenjamin Tahirovic out
45'Ayumu Yokoyama INNoah Adedeji-Sternberg out
45+4'Tiago AraújoFoul
47'Rafiu DurosinmiAssist: Junya Ito
53'Benjamin TahirovicFoul
57'Kyrell Wilson INLeonardo Da Silva Lopes out
66'Mathias DelorgeFoul
73'Junya Ito INJerry Afriyie out
73'Jeppe Erenbjerg INDaan Heymans out
78'Leonardo Da Silva LopesArgument
80'Michel Ange Balikwisha INHyllarion Goore out
80'Momodou Sonko INEl Hadji Seck out
80'Josue KongoloTime wasting
80'Mathias Delorge INAbdelkahar Kadri out
86'Josue Vergara INIbrahima Cisse out
87'Rafiu Durosinmi INAaron Bibout out

Lineups

Genk
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Thorup
Gent
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Demil
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.68
L. Kiaba Mounganga7.928L. Kiaba Mounganga
K. Amaro7.320K. Amaro
M. Smets7.06M. Smets
J. Kongolo6.444J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe7.118J. Kayembe
I. Bangoura6.121I. Bangoura
B. Heynen7.28B. Heynen
J. Ito7.010J. Ito
J. Erenbjerg6.611J. Erenbjerg
A. Yokoyama6.630A. Yokoyama
R. Durosinmi8.117R. Durosinmi
D. Roef7.533D. Roef
M. Ngom6.45M. Ngom
C. Burgess6.916C. Burgess
S. Van der Heyden6.744S. Van der Heyden
M. Balikwisha6.37M. Balikwisha
T. De Vlieger6.927T. De Vlieger
M. Delorge-Knieper6.717M. Delorge-Knieper
Tiago Araújo7.020T. Araújo
Kyrell Wilson6.614K. Wilson
M. Sonko7.811M. Sonko
J. Y. Vergara Ortega6.447J. Y. Vergara Ortega

Genk Substitutes

33J. Afriyie73'for Junya Ito6.3
23A. Bibout87'for Rafiu Durosinmi6.8
32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg45'for Ayumu Yokoyama7.1
38D. Heymans73'for Jeppe Erenbjerg6.4
4B. Tahirović45'for Ibrahima Sory Bangoura53'6.8
24N. Sattlberger
5C. Ravych
25M. Roganović
1T. Leysen

Gent Substitutes

30K. Peersman
3M. Paskotši
37A. Kadri80'for Mathias Delorge6.5
45B. Goore80'for Michel Ange Balikwisha6.6
39A. Ayindé
57M. Volckaert
59E. Seck80'for Momodou Sonko6.5
22Leonardo Lopes57'for Kyrell Wilson78'6.1
75I. Cisse86'for Josue Vergara6.3

Match Stats

GenkGent
63%Ball Possession37%
4Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards5
17Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots5
8Fouls10
0Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves5
616Total Passes354
557Passes Accurate288
90%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

GenkGenk
GentGent
1699Elo Rating 1728
1.39Attack 1.50
2.25Defense 1.63
50%Hit Rate 50%
14.5Shots per Game 13.6
4.2Shots on Target 4.0
3.7Corners per Game 5.6
1.5Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GenkGenk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
GentGent
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GenkGenk4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
GentGent1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League31/05/2026
GentGenk
5040
Jupiler Pro League01/03/2026
GenkGent
30
Jupiler Pro League09/11/2025
GentGenk
11
Jupiler Pro League18/05/2025
GentGenk
14
Jupiler Pro League30/03/2025
GenkGent
40
Jupiler Pro League23/02/2025
GenkGent
00
Jupiler Pro League27/10/2024
GentGenk
02
Jupiler Pro League02/06/2024
GenkGent
01
Jupiler Pro League03/12/2023
GenkGent
22
Jupiler Pro League08/10/2023
GentGenk
11

Recent Form

GenkGenk
4W2D4L
06/09/2026
AnderlechtGenk
00
D
28/08/2026
GenkSK Beveren
40
W
22/08/2026
AntwerpGenk
44
D
15/08/2026
GenkKVC Westerlo
32
W
09/08/2026
Zulte WaregemGenk
21
L
02/08/2026
GenkTwente
21
W
01/08/2026
GenkFC OSS
31
W
29/07/2026
Bayer LeverkusenGenk
40
L
22/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGenk
40
L
18/07/2026
FalkirkGenk
10
L

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Genk vs Gent forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Genk and Gent in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Gent are 1st and Genk 6th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Genk 18-13, Gent 19-4. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.