KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege Prediction

Het Kuipje, Westerlo 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.69
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
KVC Westerlo Rest
7 days
Standard Liege Rest
6 days

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege: the result in context

KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4-2 in the Jupiler Pro League on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Standard Liege had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for KVC Westerlo.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Standard Liege tend to win more corners, 7.6 a game to 2.6 for KVC Westerlo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.43
X
28%3.54
2
32%2.63
Double Chance
1X
68%1.44
X2
60%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.47
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.53 = 2.93
Over 1.5
84%1.15
Over 2.5
61%1.60
Over 3.5
34%2.38
Under 1.5
16%4.80
Under 2.5
39%2.31
Under 3.5
66%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.5 = 10.5
Over 8.5
68%1.40
Over 9.5
56%1.72
Over 10.5
44%2.11
Under 8.5
32%2.65
Under 9.5
44%2.02
Under 10.5
56%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.7 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.57
Over 4.5
33%2.12
Under 3.5
48%2.30
Under 4.5
67%1.67

Match Events

12'Norman BassetteAssist: Cameron Congreve
56'Amando Lapage
61'Rayan Touzghar INSalieu Drammeh out
61'Dennis Dargahi INBruny Nsimba out
61'Bernard Nguene INSylvester Jasper out
66'Bruny NsimbaAssist: Ibrahim Karamoko
71'Adnane Abid
72'Shunsuke Saito INNikola Storm out
72'Isa Sakamoto INPape Daouda Diong out
77'Pape Daouda DiongAssist: Ibrahim Cheick Fofana
81'Cameron Congreve INThomas Van Den Keybus out
81'Norman Bassette INLucas Mbamba-Muanda out
88'Tobias Mohr INRyan Fosso out
88'Marlon Fossey INHenry Lawrence out
90+2'Thomas Van Den KeybusAssist: Lasse Flo

Lineups

KVC Westerlo
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Charaï
Standard Liege
4-3-3Coach: V. Euvrard
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.24
A. Jungdal6.899A. Jungdal
L. Flø6.92L. Flø
S. Kimura7.05S. Kimura
A. Lapage8.24A. Lapage
D. Ourega6.728D. Ourega
I. Fofana7.745I. Fofana
C. Sandra6.514C. Sandra
C. Congreve6.420C. Congreve
I. Sakamoto6.213I. Sakamoto
S. Saito6.57S. Saito
N. Bassette8.09N. Bassette
M. Epolo5.91M. Epolo
M. Fossey5.913M. Fossey
I. Karamoko6.720I. Karamoko
I. Hautekiet6.325I. Hautekiet
T. Mohr5.57T. Mohr
C. Nielsen6.294C. Nielsen
A. Trouillet7.022A. Trouillet
R. Touzghar6.484R. Touzghar
Bernard Nguene6.317B. Nguene
D. Eckert Ayensa6.110D. Eckert Ayensa
A. Abid7.511A. Abid

KVC Westerlo Substitutes

40B. Balogh
11N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
26D. Diongu72'for Isa Sakamoto77'7.4
88F. Ferraro
1B. Lathouwers
23L. Mbamba-Muanda81'for Norman Bassette6.3
10N. Storm72'for Shunsuke Saito6.4
8S. Sydorchuk
39T. Van den Keybus81'for Cameron Congreve90+2'6.9

Standard Liege Substitutes

21L. Pirard
18H. Lawrence88'for Marlon Fossey5.4
6L. Goemaere
80R. Fosso88'for Tobias Mohr6.1
19S. Jasper61'for Bernard Nguene5.8
15S. Drammeh61'for Rayan Touzghar5.9
29D. Dierckx
39Noah Abdoulaye Sy
77B. Nsimba61'for Dennis Dargahi66'7.1

Match Stats

KVC WesterloStandard Liege
43%Ball Possession57%
1Corner Kicks7
10Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots2
8Fouls7
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total Passes548
343Passes Accurate452
82%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
1653Elo Rating 1622
3.41Attack 1.21
1.45Defense 1.72
73%Hit Rate 41%
14.7Shots per Game 15.3
6.6Shots on Target 4.6
2.6Corners per Game 7.6
1.3Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Standard LiegeStandard Liege2Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League19/05/2026
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
12
Jupiler Pro League11/04/2026
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
12
Jupiler Pro League22/03/2026
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
00
Jupiler Pro League21/09/2025
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
02
Jupiler Pro League24/05/2025
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
00
Jupiler Pro League19/04/2025
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
11
Jupiler Pro League09/02/2025
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
42
Jupiler Pro League28/09/2024
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
12
Jupiler Pro League10/05/2024
Standard LiegeKVC Westerlo
05
Jupiler Pro League20/04/2024
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
33

Recent Form

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
1W3D6L
05/09/2026
KV MechelenKVC Westerlo
04
W
30/08/2026
KVC WesterloZulte Waregem
22
D
23/08/2026
Lommel UnitedKVC Westerlo
40
L
15/08/2026
GenkKVC Westerlo
32
L
08/08/2026
KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
15
L
01/08/2026
KVC WesterloSamsunspor
12
L
29/07/2026
KVC WesterloKifisia
11
D
25/07/2026
DunkerqueKVC Westerlo
31
L
22/07/2026
KVC WesterloAl-Fayha
00
D
18/07/2026
KVC WesterloBeerschot VA
02
L
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
5W2D3L
05/09/2026
Standard LiegeAntwerp
10
W
29/08/2026
OH LeuvenStandard Liege
12
W
21/08/2026
Standard LiegeRAAL La Louvière
20
W
16/08/2026
KV MechelenStandard Liege
33
D
08/08/2026
Standard LiegeCercle Brugge
22
D
01/08/2026
Standard LiegeFC Viktoria Köln
03
L
25/07/2026
Standard LiegeJuventus
01
L
18/07/2026
DunkerqueStandard Liege
20
L
11/07/2026
Standard LiegeFrancs Borains
10
W
08/07/2026
AubelStandard Liege
04
W

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GentGent981019:4+1525WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV980122:6+1624WWWWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise972027:6+2123WDWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi970216:10+621LWWWL
5AnderlechtAnderlecht95139:10-116LWWWD
6GenkGenk943218:13+515WWLDD
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo942324:21+314DWWWW
8Lommel UnitedLommel United933311:11012DWDLL
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege932414:15-111LLLLW
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem932410:12-211LLLLW
11AntwerpAntwerp931515:20-510WLLLL
12SK BeverenSK Beveren931512:18-610DLLWW
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden922517:19-28LLLLW
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière921611:18-77WLLWL
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen81349:17-86WDLLD
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven91358:16-86DDWDL
17KortrijkKortrijk81072:18-163LWLLL
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge903611:21-103LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GentGent919:425
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV922:624
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise927:623
4CharleroiCharleroi916:1021
5AnderlechtAnderlecht99:1016
6GenkGenk918:1315
7KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo924:2114
8Lommel UnitedLommel United911:1112
9Standard LiegeStandard Liege914:1511
10Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem910:1211
11AntwerpAntwerp915:2010
12SK BeverenSK Beveren912:1810
13St. TruidenSt. Truiden917:198
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière911:187
15KV MechelenKV Mechelen89:176
16OH LeuvenOH Leuven98:166
17KortrijkKortrijk82:183
18Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge911:213
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About the KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League table

KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege are close in the Jupiler Pro League table, 7th and 9th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: KVC Westerlo 24-21, Standard Liege 14-15. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

KVC Westerlo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.