ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 3
ADT
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
Estadio Union Tarma, Tarma·Walter Guadalupe, Peru 02/08/2026
ADTADT
0-1
Finished
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.50
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+12.6%
ADT Rest
8 days
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
6 days

ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso: the result in context

Deportivo Garcilaso beat ADT 1-0 in the Primera División on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.05
X
27%3.30
2
26%3.37
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
53%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.80
No
47%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 0.94 = 2.43
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
48%2.00
Over 3.5
26%3.52
Under 1.5
29%3.13
Under 2.5
52%1.75
Under 3.5
74%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
60%1.68
Over 9.5
48%2.09
Over 10.5
37%2.75
Under 8.5
40%2.05
Under 9.5
52%1.65
Under 10.5
63%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
55%1.68
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
45%2.04

Match Events

37'E. CanalesFoul
44'A. OjedaFoul
45+1'O. NunezFoul
46'J. GarcilazoFoul
67'J. Garcilazo INS. Garcia out
67'C. Olivares INF. Castelli out
75'J. Alvino INJ. Reyes out
75'J. Bauman INS. Peralta out
79'K. Sandoval INA. Ascues out
79'X. Moreno INJ. A. Rosell Delgado out
80'J. NarvaezFoul
83'A. Rodriguez INJ. Navarro out
83'J. J. Canela Torres INL. Rugel out
90+8'B. Da Silva(Penalty)
90+9'F. Arancibia INS. Ramirez out

Lineups

ADT
4-4-2Coach: Teddy Ramirez
Deportivo Garcilaso
4-1-4-1Coach: Sebastian Dominguez
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.87
Juan Valencia7.330J. Valencia
Ángel Ojeda6.36Á. Ojeda
Joaquin Pereyra7.099J. Pereyra
John Narváez6.223J. Narváez
Orlando Nuñez6.959O. Nuñez
Jhojan Garcilazo6.526J. Garcilazo
Luis PérezC6.916L. Pérez
Josué Alvino7.015J. Alvino
Marco Aldair Rodríguez6.322M. Aldair Rodríguez
Jonathan Bauman6.732J. Bauman
Jeremy Canela6.580J. Canela
Patrick ZubczukC7.01P. Zubczuk
Erick Canales6.355E. Canales
Aldair Salazar6.92A. Salazar
Agustin Gomez6.619A. Gomez
Xavi Moreno7.323X. Moreno
Carlos Ramos7.218C. Ramos
Francisco Arancibia6.911F. Arancibia
Kevin Sandoval6.610K. Sandoval
Agustín González7.38A. González
Beto Da Silva7.530B. Da Silva
Christopher Olivares6.524C. Olivares

ADT Substitutes

33Carlos Solis
3Leonardo Rugel83'for J. J. Canela Torres6.0
31Jerry Navarro83'for A. Rodriguez6.3
10Víctor Cedrón
2Jair Reyes75'replaced by J. Alvino6.5
24Said Peralta5.9
9Hernán Rengifo
25Sinclair García6.2

Deportivo Garcilaso Substitutes

31Juniors Barbieri
20Anthony Rosell79'for X. Moreno6.5
33Samir Villacorta
22Jefferson Portales
27Adrián Ascues79'for K. Sandoval6.6
35Joao Mendoza
17Sharif Ramírez90+9'for F. Arancibia
9Facundo Castelli67'for C. Olivares7.0

Match Stats

ADTDeportivo Garcilaso
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots6
18Fouls11
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
331Total Passes203
267Passes Accurate139
81%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

ADTADT
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
1472Elo Rating 1661
0.50Attack 1.88
1.30Defense 1.25
0%Hit Rate 34%
19.1Shots per Game 18.9
6.6Shots on Target 6.4
4.6Corners per Game 6.5
4.3Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ADTADT
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

ADTADT1Wins · 13%
Draws337%
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso4Wins · 50%
1.6Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera División14/02/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoADT
10
Primera División02/11/2025
Deportivo GarcilasoADT
10
Primera División28/06/2025
ADTDeportivo Garcilaso
00
Primera División13/09/2024
Deportivo GarcilasoADT
10
Primera División07/04/2024
ADTDeportivo Garcilaso
22
CONMEBOL Sudamericana06/03/2024
Deportivo GarcilasoADT
4030
Primera División15/07/2023
Deportivo GarcilasoADT
12
Primera División11/02/2023
ADTDeportivo Garcilaso
12

Recent Form

ADTADT
3W2D5L
25/07/2026
Sport BoysADT
20
L18/07/2026
ADTUniversitario
12
L
10/07/2026
CiencianoADT
23
W
26/06/2026
Sport HuancayoADT
10
L
19/06/2026
ADTAlianza Universidad
31
W
12/06/2026
MinasADT
00
D
30/05/2026
ADTCusco
12
L
24/05/2026
Sporting CristalADT
21
L
17/05/2026
ADTComerciantes Unidos
20
W
09/05/2026
UCV MoqueguaADT
22
D
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
5W2D3L
27/07/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca
21
W17/07/2026
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
10
L
12/07/2026
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
4020
L
29/06/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Binacional
41
W
22/06/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
21
L
15/06/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
00
D
30/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoJuan Pablo II College
41
W
25/05/2026
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso
00
D
17/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca
20
W
11/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico
21
W

Referee Profile

Walter Guadalupe4 matches analysed

4.51Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 46% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso311561047:33+1451WWWLL
5CuscoCusco311631246:43+351DDWWL
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico311371148:46+246LWWLL
8Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas311371139:51-1246DLLWW
9Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau31971528:38-1034LLLWL
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua31771725:46-2128DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca31581836:55-1918LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3147:3351
5CuscoCusco3146:4351
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3148:4646
8Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3139:5146
9Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3128:3834
15ADTADT3133:4530
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3125:4628
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3136:5518

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434DLLWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DDWWL
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221LWWLL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLDLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLLWL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1481526:15+1125WWWLL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1481528:28025LWWLL
9CuscoCusco1480625:19+624DDWWL
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1453616:20-418LLLWL
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1433814:30-1612DLLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua142488:22-1410DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca14121115:29-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1426:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1428:2825
9CuscoCusco1425:1924
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1416:2018
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1414:3012
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16ADTADT1411:2410
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua148:2210
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1415:295
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About the ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ADT and Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th in the Primera División, while ADT sit 15th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: ADT 33-45, Deportivo Garcilaso 47-33. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.