Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-0.1%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Sporting Cristal Rest
5 days
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
5 days
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso: the result in context
Sporting Cristal beat Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 in the Primera División on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Sporting Cristal have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game. Referee Roberto Perez Gutierrez averages 4.83 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.39
X24%4.50
215%7.40
Double Chance
1X85%1.07
X239%2.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.90
No47%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.96 = 2.56
Over 1.578%1.21
Over 2.559%1.70
Over 3.534%2.71
Under 1.522%3.90
Under 2.541%2.02
Under 3.566%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 3.8 = 10.6
Over 8.561%1.16
Over 9.550%1.35
Over 10.536%1.57
Under 8.539%3.69
Under 9.550%2.77
Under 10.564%2.21
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.8 = 5
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.555%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.545%-
Match Events
14'Goal cancelledAldair Salazar
31'Leandro Sosa INJuan Cruz Gonzalez out
50'Aldair Salazar INJefferson Portales out
52'Martín Távara
63'Cesar Flores INJoao Mendoza out
63'Claudio Torrejón INSharif Ramírez out
67'Martín TávaraFoul
67'Irven Ávila INSantiago González out
67'Martín Távara INCatriel Cabellos out
70'Adrián Ascues INKevin Sandoval out
75'Hernán Barcos INMichael Hoyos out
75'Ian Wisdom INGabriel Santana out
Lineups
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
Coach: Sebastian DominguezSporting Cristal Starting XI
1Diego Enríquez
8Leandro Sosa31'replaced by Juan Cruz Gonzalez
20Miguel Araujo
5Rafael Lutiger
90Cristiano
26Ian Wisdom75'replaced by Gabriel Santana
25Martín Távara52'67'67'replaced by Catriel Cabellos
29Hernán Barcos75'replaced by Michael Hoyos
19Yoshimar YotúnC
23Maxloren Castro
11Irven Ávila67'replaced by Santiago González
Avg rating
Deportivo Garcilaso Starting XI
1Patrick ZubczukC
55Erick Canales
2Aldair Salazar50'replaced by Jefferson Portales
19Agustin Gomez
23Xavi Moreno
14Claudio Torrejón63'replaced by Sharif Ramírez
6Cesar Flores63'replaced by Joao Mendoza
11Francisco Arancibia
27Adrián Ascues70'replaced by Kevin Sandoval
30Beto Da Silva
24Christopher Olivares
Avg rating
Sporting Cristal Substitutes
18Juan Cruz Gonzalez31'for Leandro Sosa
21Catriel Cabellos67'for Martín Távara
7Santiago González67'for Irven Ávila
27Gabriel Santana75'for Ian Wisdom
22Michael Hoyos75'for Hernán Barcos
33César Bautista
96Luis Abram
32Leonardo Díaz
14Cristian Benavente
Deportivo Garcilaso Substitutes
22Jefferson Portales50'for Aldair Salazar
35Joao Mendoza63'for Cesar Flores
17Sharif Ramírez63'for Claudio Torrejón
10Kevin Sandoval70'for Adrián Ascues
31Juniors Barbieri
33Samir Villacorta
20Anthony Rosell
7Lucas Ríos
Match Stats
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso 66%Ball Possession34%
10Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box0
2Blocked Shots2
16Fouls15
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves6
525Total Passes271
448Passes Accurate189
85%Pass Accuracy70%
Team Comparison
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso1680Elo Rating 1659
2.69Attack 2.41
1.38Defense 1.02
77%Hit Rate 37%
15.6Shots per Game 19.1
5.4Shots on Target 7.2
5.9Corners per Game 5.2
1.5Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sporting Cristal- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo Garcilaso- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Sporting Cristal5Wins · 71%Draws229%
Deportivo Garcilaso0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.6Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7
Previous meetings
01/02/2026Deportivo GarcilasoSporting Cristal11
20/10/2025Deportivo GarcilasoSporting Cristal01
15/06/2025Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso32
17/09/2024Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso10
16/04/2024Deportivo GarcilasoSporting Cristal23
13/08/2023Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso30
13/03/2023Deportivo GarcilasoSporting Cristal44
Recent Form
Sporting Cristal4W2D4L
11/07/2026Sporting Cristal
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Sporting CristalBentín Tacna Heroica4131
W27/06/2026Sporting Cristal
Union Comercio
Sporting CristalUnion Comercio20
W21/06/2026
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal12
W13/06/2026
ComerciantesSporting Cristal
ComerciantesSporting Cristal11
D01/06/2026
CiencianoSporting Cristal
CiencianoSporting Cristal32
L29/05/2026
Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal
Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal20
L24/05/2026Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting CristalADT21
W21/05/2026
JuniorSporting Cristal
JuniorSporting Cristal32
L15/05/2026
FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal
FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal31
L10/05/2026
Alianza LimaSporting Cristal
Alianza LimaSporting Cristal11
DDeportivo Garcilaso6W2D2L
12/07/2026
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
L29/06/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Binacional
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Binacional41
W22/06/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
15/06/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso21
LDeportivo Garcilaso
Cusco00
D30/05/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo GarcilasoJuan Pablo II College41
W25/05/2026
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso00
D17/05/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca20
W11/05/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico21
W04/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasDeportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los ChankasDeportivo Garcilaso01
W28/04/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo GarcilasoFBC Melgar10
WReferee Profile
4.83Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.83 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.50).
Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 |  Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 44:47 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 15 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 26:27 | 15 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College 17/07/26
- Cienciano vs FBC Melgar 18/07/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/07/26
- ADT vs Universitario 18/07/26
- Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca 18/07/26
- Cusco vs Alianza Atletico 19/07/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys 19/07/26
- Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo 20/07/26
About the Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División table
Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal are close in the Primera División table, 4th and 6th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Sporting Cristal 62-47, Deportivo Garcilaso 50-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.