Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 1
Atletico Grau
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
UTC Cajamarca
Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura·Michael Espinoza, Peru 18/07/2026
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
3-1
Finished
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.98
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
Atletico Grau Rest
9 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
6 days

Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca: result, form and history

Atletico Grau beat UTC Cajamarca 3-1 in the Primera División on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.75
X
26%3.40
2
18%4.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.17
X2
44%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.98
No
47%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.94 = 2.46
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.12
Over 3.5
30%3.73
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
53%1.67
Under 3.5
70%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
51%1.75
Over 9.5
37%2.14
Over 10.5
28%2.88
Under 8.5
49%1.96
Under 9.5
63%1.60
Under 10.5
72%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.9 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%1.72
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%2.00

Match Events

4'R. GuarderasAssist: P. Lavandeira Hernandez
18'M. Da LuzAssist: R. Ruidiaz
22'B. DuarteFoul
29'L. Garro IND. Caro out
30'M. GanozaFoul
46'A. Arroyo INS. Galvez out
52'G. AmeliUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'M. Lliuya
59'J. Cantt INJ. Huerto out
62'P. Lavandeira Hernandez INF. Oncoy out
62'M. Da Luz INA. Fernandez out
72'R. Ruidiaz ING. E. Alfaro Martinez out
72'L. E. Benites Vargas INP. de la Cruz out
78'M. Ganoza INF. Cavagna out
78'A. Munoz INJ. Nunez out
84'Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Acevedo
90+1'A. FernandezAssist: P. de la Cruz
90+2'A. de la Cruz IND. Barreto out

Lineups

Atletico Grau
4-3-3Coach: Gerardo Ameli
UTC Cajamarca
4-1-4-1Coach: Jose Albornoz
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.44
Patricio ÁlvarezC7.01P. Álvarez
Diego Rodriguez6.94D. Rodriguez
Rodrigo Tapia7.727R. Tapia
Lucas Acevedo6.62L. Acevedo
Elsar Rodas6.96E. Rodas
Adrián De la Cruz6.966A. De la Cruz
Rafael Guarderas7.95R. Guarderas
Pablo Lavandeira7.315P. Lavandeira
Luis Benites7.096L. Benites
Raúl Ruidíaz6.59R. Ruidíaz
Mauro Da Luz7.777M. Da Luz
Ignacio BarriosC7.329I. Barrios
Luis Garro6.217L. Garro
Manuel Ganoza6.73M. Ganoza
Bruno Duarte5.92B. Duarte
Gilmar Paredes6.635G. Paredes
Arquímedes Figuera6.916A. Figuera
Abdiel Arroyo6.311A. Arroyo
Joshua Cantt6.215J. Cantt
Marcos Lliuya7.210M. Lliuya
Adolfo Muñoz6.319A. Muñoz
David Camacho5.922D. Camacho

Atletico Grau Substitutes

13Freddy Oncoy62'for P. Lavandeira Hernandez7.0
99Adrián Fernández62'for M. Da Luz90+1'7.7
25Gabriel Alfaro72'for R. Ruidiaz6.9
10Paulo de la Cruz72'for L. E. Benites Vargas6.9
7Diego Barreto90+2'for A. de la Cruz
33Aamet Calderón
16José Ataupillco
8Christian Vásquez
20Aldair Vasquez

UTC Cajamarca Substitutes

13Dylan Caro29'for L. Garro6.3
18Santiago Gálvez46'for A. Arroyo6.5
5Carlos Junior Huerto59'for J. Cantt6.3
6Francesco Cavagna78'for M. Ganoza6.2
7Jhosep Nuñez6.3
21Ricardo Bettocchi
8David Dioses
88Luis Arce
9Marlon de Jesús

Match Stats

Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots1
15Fouls11
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
283Total Passes514
224Passes Accurate429
79%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
1527Elo Rating 1434
0.56Attack 1.32
0.96Defense 1.49
0%Hit Rate 27%
9.4Shots per Game 13.5
3.3Shots on Target 5.6
3.9Corners per Game 3.2
2.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División30/01/2026
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
20
Primera División19/10/2025
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
02
Primera División13/06/2025
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
02
Primera División30/09/2024
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
40
Primera División27/04/2024
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
32
Primera División15/09/2023
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
42
Primera División21/04/2023
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
11
Primera División23/07/2022
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
31
Primera División19/02/2022
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
00
Copa Bicentenario11/08/2019
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
7262

Recent Form

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
5W1D4L
09/07/2026
Atletico GrauCarlos A. Mannucci
8171
W
27/06/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
11
D
22/06/2026
Atletico GrauMolinos El Pirata
32
W
29/05/2026
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua
10
W
24/05/2026
CuscoAtletico Grau
10
L
16/05/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
01
W
09/05/2026
Atletico GrauCienciano
12
L
02/05/2026
ADTAtletico Grau
10
L
26/04/2026
Atletico GrauAlianza Lima
01
L
22/04/2026
Atletico GrauSporting Cristal
41
W
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
2W4D4L
12/07/2026
UTC CajamarcaDeportiva Agropecuaria
41
W
26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
31
W
15/06/2026
Deportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca
22
D
31/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUTC Cajamarca
22
D
23/05/2026
UTC CajamarcaSport Boys
00
D
17/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca
20
L
08/05/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
12
L
04/05/2026
FBC MelgarUTC Cajamarca
20
L
26/04/2026
UTC CajamarcaCienciano
22
D
19/04/2026
Sporting CristalUTC Cajamarca
32
L

Referee Profile

Michael Espinoza156 matches

5.55Cards per match
5.07Yellow cards per match
0.48Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Espinoza5.55
Other referees5.40

5.55 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.40).

Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar31159754:35+1954DWLWW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso311561047:33+1451WWWLL
5CuscoCusco311631246:43+351DDWWL
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Sporting CristalSporting Cristal311451257:47+1047DDLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico311371148:46+246LWWLL
9Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas311371139:51-1246DLLWW
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos318111242:45-335DLWWD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau31971528:38-1034LLLWL
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua31771725:46-2128DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca31581836:55-1918LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3154:3554
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3147:3351
5CuscoCusco3146:4351
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3157:4747
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3148:4646
9Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3139:5146
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3142:4535
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3128:3834
15ADTADT3133:4530
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3125:4628
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3136:5518

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434DLLWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWLWW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DDWWL
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221LWWLL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLWWD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DDLLW
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLDLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLLWL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1491429:17+1228DDLLW
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
3UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1475225:15+1026DWLWW
5Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1481526:15+1125WWWLL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1481528:28025LWWLL
9CuscoCusco1480625:19+624DDWWL
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1453616:20-418LLLWL
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1435624:25-114DLWWD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1433814:30-1612DLLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua142488:22-1410DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca14121115:29-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1429:1728
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
3UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1425:1526
5Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1426:1525
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1428:2825
9CuscoCusco1425:1924
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1416:2018
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1424:2514
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1414:3012
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16ADTADT1411:2410
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua148:2210
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1415:295
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About the Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Grau and UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Atletico Grau are 14th and UTC Cajamarca 18th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Grau 28-38, UTC Cajamarca 36-55. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.