UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.41
SignalSTRONGModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+13.9%
UCV Moquegua Rest
5 days
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
20 days
UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos: result, form and history
UCV Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 18 Jul 2026. UCV Moquegua had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Comerciantes Unidos.
Referee Jordi Espinoza averages 5.91 cards a game, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.18
X29%3.05
231%3.40
Double Chance
1X69%1.28
X260%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.95
No44%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.06 = 2.60
Over 1.578%1.41
Over 2.559%2.33
Over 3.534%4.10
Under 1.522%2.65
Under 2.541%1.57
Under 3.566%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.4 = 8.7
Over 8.551%1.85
Over 9.537%2.40
Over 10.528%3.28
Under 8.549%1.85
Under 9.563%1.49
Under 10.572%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 5
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.555%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.545%-
Match Events
2'E. LastreAssist: Y. Zapata
4'J. RodriguezFoul
7'J. LojasFoul
15'E. LastreAssist: Y. Zapata
31'M. SenAssist: J. Herrera
45+2'J. JimenezFoul
49'J. HerreraAssist: M. P. Carpio Ferro
55'Bryan Angulo INJ. Collazos out
55'J. Jimenez INN. Amasifuen out
58'A. DavilaFoul
63'E. Lastre INC. Ramirez out
67'M. P. Carpio Ferro INW. Ayovi out
74'J. Herrera INO. Pinto out
75'M. Sen INE. M. Perez Azambuya out
84'A. Davila INK. Ruiz out
84'C. Mejia INN. Chavez out
87'J. Parodi INF. Alcedo out
87'R. Vilca INJ. Olivares out
90+2'Y. ZapataFoul
Lineups
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
4-2-3-1Coach: Claudio BiaggioAvg ratingAvg rating
1C. Grados
4A. Perleche
3C. Enciso
C13J. Diego Lojas
6J. Jiménez
7E. Lastre
8C. Mejia
25R. Chipao
17Y. Zapata
16A. Davila
11B. Angulo
17M. Córdova
16F. Rojas
30P. Guzmán
6J. Rodríguez
15A. Cossio
4A. Arias
20J. Parodi
11J. Herrera
10M. Carpio
25R. Vilca
C9M. SenUCV Moquegua Substitutes
15Nicolas Amasifuen55'replaced by J. Jimenez
90Jeferson Collazos55'for Bryan Angulo
14Claudio Ramírez
10Nicolas Chavez
77Kevin Ruiz84'for A. Davila
29Renzo Figueroa
30Jose Granda
24Alexander Lecaros
20Diego Ramírez
Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes
8Wilter Ayoví67'for M. P. Carpio Ferro
28Óscar Pinto74'replaced by J. Herrera
13Maximiliano Pérez75'for M. Sen
40Flavio Alcedo87'for J. Parodi
50Jean Carlo Olivares
99José Charún
33Miguel Hilario
19Daniel Lino
14Thiago Salinas
Match Stats
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos 41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots17
7Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
7Fouls15
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
303Total Passes446
204Passes Accurate355
67%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos1440Elo Rating 1540
0.19Attack 1.65
1.34Defense 1.27
19%Hit Rate 23%
7.7Shots per Game 18.0
1.4Shots on Target 7.2
3.3Corners per Game 5.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
UCV Moquegua- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
UCV Moquegua0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Comerciantes Unidos1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
02/02/2026Comerciantes UnidosUCV Moquegua10
Recent Form
UCV Moquegua3W3D4L
12/07/2026UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
29/06/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
W
FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D21/06/2026UCV Moquegua
Bentín Tacna Heroica32
W29/05/2026
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua10
L23/05/2026UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario00
D17/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUCV Moquegua10
L09/05/2026UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV MoqueguaADT22
D03/05/2026
Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua
Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua21
L25/04/2026UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaFC Cajamarca21
W20/04/2026
CiencianoUCV Moquegua
CiencianoUCV Moquegua21
LComerciantes Unidos2W4D4L
27/06/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College00
D11/06/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos20
L31/05/2026
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos10
L25/05/2026Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso00
D17/05/2026ADTComerciantes Unidos
ADTComerciantes Unidos20
L10/05/2026Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar11
D03/05/2026CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos10
L25/04/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal10
W22/04/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico10
W18/04/2026Juan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes Unidos22
DReferee Profile
5.91Cards per match
5.48Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.91 cards a match, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.92).
Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 |  Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College 17/07/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso 17/07/26
- Cienciano vs FBC Melgar 18/07/26
- ADT vs Universitario 18/07/26
- Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca 18/07/26
- Cusco vs Alianza Atletico 19/07/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys 19/07/26
- Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo 20/07/26
About the UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UCV Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th and UCV Moquegua 16th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: UCV Moquegua 25-46, Comerciantes Unidos 42-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
UCV Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.