AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou Prediction

AEK Arena, Larnaca·Theodoros Sofokleous 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
AEK Larnaca Rest
9 days
Omonia Aradippou Rest
21 days

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: result, form and history

AEK Larnaca beat Omonia Aradippou 1-0 in the 1. Division on 12 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: AEK Larnaca had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Omonia Aradippou.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 4 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.33
X
19%4.70
2
10%7.92
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
30%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.81 = 2.77
Over 1.5
78%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.66
Over 3.5
36%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.15
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
64%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Mike Van der Hoorn
43'Giorgos Pontikos
60'Đorđe Ivanović INKerim Mrabti out
60'Mike Van der Hoorn INEnric Saborit out
69'(Penalty missed)
70'Niko Havelka INevripidou evripidou out
75'Giorgos Pontikos INcurtis makosso out
75'Kostas Pileas INJorge Miramón out
83'Achraf bouchataoui el INHelaku Josué Schmidt out
83'Bogdan·Petrovic INAnge-Freddy Plumain out
83'Amor Layouni INGiorgos Naoum out
83'Jan Repas INNicolas Andereggen out
88'Jeremy van Mullem
89'Nicolas Andereggen

Lineups

AEK Larnaca
Coach: Rubén Sellés
Omonia Aradippou
Coach: G. Okkas

AEK Larnaca Starting XI

11R. Bajić
92A. Paleari
3M. van der Hoorn24'60'replaced by Enric Saborit
20J. Repas83'replaced by Nicolas Andereggen
17K. Pileas75'replaced by Jorge Miramón
15H. Miličević
7Gus Ledes
14A. Layouni83'replaced by Giorgos Naoum
23S. Köhler
9Đ. Ivanović60'replaced by Kerim Mrabti
22G. Ekpolo

Omonia Aradippou Starting XI

22M. Antoniou
3A. Christofi
81V. De Marco
8A. El Bouchataoui83'replaced by Helaku Josué Schmidt
15Unai García
6N. Havelka70'for evripidou evripidou
7M. Koumouris
23Bogdan Petrovic83'replaced by Ange-Freddy Plumain
9G. Pontikos43'75'replaced by curtis makosso
14J. van Mullem88'
12Ž. Živković

AEK Larnaca Substitutes

33N. Andereggen83'for Jan Repas89'
44Z. Adoni
37David Gerasimou
2P. Ioannou
25C. Kyriakou
21Miramón75'for Kostas Pileas
28K. Mrabti60'for Đorđe Ivanović
29G. Naoum83'for Amor Layouni
6I. Pankov
51A. Paraskevas
4Enric Saborit60'for Mike Van der Hoorn
19A. Trică

Omonia Aradippou Substitutes

1Gabriel Pereira
93G. Hadzigianni
37A. Loizou
27S. Lomónaco
77C. Makosso75'for Giorgos Pontikos
91K. Panteli
88G. Papacharalampous
47andreas pappoulos
38A. Plumain83'for Bogdan·Petrovic
10J. Schmidt83'for Achraf bouchataoui el
11Konstantinos Anthimou
21evripidou evripidou70'replaced by Niko Havelka

Team Comparison

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
1717Elo Rating 1486
1.64Attack 1.76
2.21Defense 1.04
58%Hit Rate 27%
7.0Shots per Game -
2.0Shots on Target -
5.0Corners per Game -
5.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+230 Elo
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2Wins · 50%
1.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

1. Division22/02/2026
Omonia AradippouAEK Larnaca
21
1. Division09/11/2025
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
10
1. Division09/03/2025
Omonia AradippouAEK Larnaca
20
1. Division06/12/2024
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
10

Recent Form

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
4W1D5L
03/10/2026
AEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
30
W
18/09/2026
Omonia 29is MaiouAEK Larnaca
12
W
13/09/2026
AEK LarnacaPafos
01
L
06/09/2026
Nea SalamisAEK Larnaca
14
W
29/08/2026
AEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
31
W
30/07/2026
Beitar JerusalemAEK Larnaca
4233
L
23/07/2026
AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem
01
L
16/07/2026
Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
00
D
10/07/2026
AjaxAEK Larnaca
10
L
07/07/2026
PAOKAEK Larnaca
32
L
Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou
3W5D2L
20/09/2026
Omonia AradippouOlympiakos
11
D
12/09/2026
KarmiotissaOmonia Aradippou
11
D
05/09/2026
Omonia AradippouKrasava Ypsonas
21
W
31/08/2026
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Aradippou
00
D
15/05/2026
Ethnikos AchnaOmonia Aradippou
12
W
09/05/2026
Omonia AradippouAkritas
21
W
01/05/2026
OlympiakosOmonia Aradippou
21
L
25/04/2026
Omonia AradippouKrasava Ypsonas
11
D
19/04/2026
AnorthosisOmonia Aradippou
11
D
04/04/2026
Omonia AradippouAEL
03
L

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca852115:7+817DWDWW
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol743019:8+1115WWWDD
3AELAEL750211:11015LWWWW
4Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia733113:6+712LDWWD
5PafosPafos73317:3+412DDWLW
6ArisAris733110:9+112WDWDW
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia732216:9+711WDWDL
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou722312:13-18LWLLD
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa81345:16-116WLLLD
10AnorthosisAnorthosis72056:13-76WLLLW
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou71334:8-46LLLDD
12OlympiakosOlympiakos806211:13-26LDDLD
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis712411:15-45DLLWL
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas81258:17-95DDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca815:717
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol719:815
3AELAEL711:1115
4Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia713:612
5PafosPafos77:312
6ArisAris710:912
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia716:911
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou712:138
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa85:166
10AnorthosisAnorthosis76:136
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou74:86
12OlympiakosOlympiakos811:136
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis711:155
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas88:175
PromotionRelegation

About the AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou in the 1. Division table

The table shows a wide gap: AEK Larnaca are 1st in the 1. Division, while Omonia Aradippou sit 11th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: AEK Larnaca 15-7, Omonia Aradippou 4-8. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.