Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis Prediction

Alphamega Stadium, Limassol·Antonis Konstantinidis 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Apollon Limassol Rest
7 days
Nea Salamis Rest
7 days

Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis: the result in context

Apollon Limassol beat Nea Salamis 4-2 in the 1. Division on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.44
X
23%4.17
2
14%6.50
Double Chance
1X
86%1.10
X2
37%2.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.87
No
50%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.96 = 2.66
Over 1.5
76%1.21
Over 2.5
52%1.73
Over 3.5
32%2.75
Under 1.5
24%3.88
Under 2.5
48%2.02
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Dani Escriche
13'Panagiotis Artymatas
20'Georgios Christodoulou
22'Brandon Thomas(Penalty)
24'Jordi Quintillà INChristos Giousis out
24'Samuel Grandsir
30'Samuel Grandsir
37'Samuel Grandsir
38'Giorgos Malekkidis
42'Christos Giousis
45+2'Giorgos Malekkidis
51'Bruno Gaspar
52'Christos Giousis
58'Gaetan Weissbeck INJoel Asoro out
74'andreas panagiotou INBraydon Manu out
75'Ivan Ljubić INMorgan Brown out
76'Alen Ožbolt
81'Dani Escriche
84'Georgios Christodoulou INtimipere eboh johnson out
84'Karol Angielski INDarío Poveda out
84'Brandon Thomas
86'konomis leonidas INConnor Goldson out
86'Alen Ožbolt INIke Ugbo out
87'Giorgos Malekkidis INKonstantinos Balogiannis out
90'
90'

Lineups

Apollon Limassol
Coach: H. Losada
Nea Salamis
Coach: Ángel López

Apollon Limassol Starting XI

12Gustavo Assunção
22P. Kühn
27G. Weissbeck58'replaced by Joel Asoro
23Brandon Thomas22'84'
9A. Ožbolt76'86'replaced by Ike Ugbo
14G. Malekkides38'45+2'87'replaced by Konstantinos Balogiannis
77I. Ljubic75'replaced by Morgan Brown
44J. Kvída
37L. Konomis86'replaced by Connor Goldson
76Bruno Gaspar51'
30Dani Escriche8'81'

Nea Salamis Starting XI

1Alberto Varó
17Aldair
19K. Angielski84'replaced by Darío Poveda
4P. Artymatas13'
6Georgios Christodoulou20'84'replaced by timipere eboh johnson
71G. Gerolemou
55Sergio González
7S. Grandsir24'30'37'
29F. Hanin
30A. Panagiotou Filiotis74'replaced by Braydon Manu
88Jordi Quintillà24'replaced by Christos Giousis

Apollon Limassol Substitutes

4E. Aiwu
29J. Asoro58'for Gaetan Weissbeck
38K. Balogiannis87'for Giorgos Malekkidis
5M. Brown75'for Ivan Ljubić
6C. Goldson86'for konomis leonidas
26A. Shikkis
31K. Stylianou
99I. Ugbo86'for Alen Ožbolt
40Mubarak Uthman
19Nearchos zinonos

Nea Salamis Substitutes

12A. Dimitriou
34C. Evangelou
10C. Giousis24'for Jordi Quintillà42'
14T. Johnson Eboh84'for Georgios Christodoulou
63D. Kovács
24V. Lampropoulos
37B. Manu74'for andreas panagiotou
5A. Michail
9Darío Poveda84'for Karol Angielski
16Denys Vakulyk
8José Artiles
25K. Ilia

Team Comparison

Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol
Nea SalamisNea Salamis
1711Elo Rating 1564
3.18Attack 1.89
2.02Defense 1.89
69%Hit Rate 37%
-Shots per Game 7.0
-Shots on Target 1.0
-Corners per Game 0.0
-Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+147 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 1.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Nea SalamisNea Salamis
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Nea SalamisNea Salamis2Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

1. Division08/03/2025
Apollon LimassolNea Salamis
11
1. Division08/12/2024
Nea SalamisApollon Limassol
10
1. Division13/04/2024
Nea SalamisApollon Limassol
02
1. Division04/03/2024
Apollon LimassolNea Salamis
20
1. Division17/12/2023
Apollon LimassolNea Salamis
02
1. Division27/08/2023
Nea SalamisApollon Limassol
11
1. Division02/01/2023
Apollon LimassolNea Salamis
20
1. Division18/09/2022
Nea SalamisApollon Limassol
11
1. Division24/01/2021
Nea SalamisApollon Limassol
11
1. Division24/10/2020
Apollon LimassolNea Salamis
30

Recent Form

Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol
5W3D2L
Nea SalamisNea Salamis
5W2D3L
10/10/2026
Apoel NicosiaNea Salamis
21
L
03/10/2026
ErmisNea Salamis
03
W
19/09/2026
Nea SalamisAnorthosis
30
W
11/09/2026
AELNea Salamis
21
L
06/09/2026
Nea SalamisAEK Larnaca
14
L
28/08/2026
OlympiakosNea Salamis
33
D
14/08/2026
Nea SalamisKrasava Odintsovo
72
W
12/08/2026
Nea SalamisAnorthosis
22
D
21/07/2026
Busko-ZdrojNea Salamis
04
W
25/04/2026
Nea SalamisASIL Lysi
41
W

Referee Profile

Antonis Konstantinidis32 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antonis Konstantinidis4.73
Other referees4.83

4.73 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.83).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca852115:7+817DWDWW
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol844021:10+1116DWWWD
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia843115:6+915WLDWW
4ArisAris843112:10+215WWDWD
5AELAEL850311:13-215LLWWW
6Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia842218:10+814WWDWD
7PafosPafos83419:5+413DDDWL
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou832313:13011WLWLL
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa81345:16-116WLLLD
10AnorthosisAnorthosis82067:15-86LWLLL
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou81345:10-56LLLLD
12OlympiakosOlympiakos806211:13-26LDDLD
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis812511:16-55LDLLW
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas81258:17-95DDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca815:717
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol821:1016
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia815:615
4ArisAris812:1015
5AELAEL811:1315
6Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia818:1014
7PafosPafos89:513
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou813:1311
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa85:166
10AnorthosisAnorthosis87:156
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou85:106
12OlympiakosOlympiakos811:136
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis811:165
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas88:175
PromotionRelegation

About the Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Apollon Limassol and Nea Salamis in the 1. Division table

The table shows a wide gap: Apollon Limassol are 2nd in the 1. Division, while Nea Salamis sit 13th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Apollon Limassol 21-10, Nea Salamis 11-16. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Apollon Limassol have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.