Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia Prediction

Pafos
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Apoel Nicosia
Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Paphos·Chrysovalantis Theouli 19/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseHighGap-7.4%
Pafos Rest
3 days
Apoel Nicosia Rest
8 days

Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia: the result in context

Pafos and Apoel Nicosia drew 0-0 in the 1. Division on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Chrysovalantis Theouli averages 3.35 cards a game, 1.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.89
X
25%3.48
2
23%3.70
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
48%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.06 = 2.70
Over 1.5
75%1.27
Over 2.5
50%1.89
Over 3.5
30%3.17
Under 1.5
25%3.45
Under 2.5
50%1.88
Under 3.5
70%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Vlad Dragomir
46'Vlad Dragomir INDomingos Quina out
46'Gonçalo Rosa Gonçalves Pereira Rodrigues INAlexandre Brito out
46'Ken Sema INFelipe Bruno out
46'Álvaro Carrillo INGeorgios·Angelopoulos out
46'Dimitris Limnios INDaniel Mancini out
54'Dalcio
68'Marquinhos INStavros Georgiou out
71'Domingos Quina
72'Leanderson da Silva Genésio INAnderson Silva out
74'Samy Mmaee
78'Anastasios Bakasetas INStylianos Vrontis out
82'Pêpê INafonso patrao out
90'Fabricio Pedrozo INFilip Đuričić out

Lineups

Pafos
Coach: Ricardo Sá Pinto
Apoel Nicosia
Coach: N. Papadopoulos

Pafos Starting XI

99R. Majecki
26I. Šunjić
12K. Sema46'replaced by Felipe Bruno
88Pêpê Rodrigues82'for afonso patrao
3S. Mmaee74'
18Lelê72'replaced by Anderson Silva
14N. Ioannou
6Guga46'replaced by Alexandre Brito
30V. Dragomir7'46'replaced by Domingos Quina
77João Correia
20Biel

Apoel Nicosia Starting XI

9A. Bakasetas78'replaced by Stylianos Vrontis
72A. Barák
16Álvaro Carrillo46'replaced by Georgios·Angelopoulos
8Dálcio54'
34K. Laifis
18D. Limnios46'replaced by Daniel Mancini
10Marquinhos68'replaced by Stavros Georgiou
15F. Pedrozo90'replaced by Filip Đuričić
25Joan Sastre
3K. Stafylidis
27V. Belec

Pafos Substitutes

50Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho Brito46'for Gonçalo Rosa Gonçalves Pereira Rodrigues
33Anderson Silva72'for Leanderson da Silva Genésio
7Bruno Felipe46'for Ken Sema
60Christos Evzonas
72K. Ioannou
42G. Michael
23Jonatás Noro
71M. Papastylianou
17afonso patrao82'replaced by Pêpê
82P. Petrou
8Domingos Quina46'for Vlad Dragomir71'
2Yoram\t Zague

Apoel Nicosia Substitutes

1O. Zelenika
6S. Vrontis78'for Anastasios Bakasetas
21K. Poursaitidis
99F. Pérez
7D. Mancini46'for Dimitris Limnios
70S. Georgiou68'for Marquinhos
14Ángel García
11Gabriel Maioli
31F. Đuričić90'for Fabricio Pedrozo
5M. Degenek
4G. Angelopoulos46'for Álvaro Carrillo
32I. Avramidis

Team Comparison

PafosPafos
Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia
1653Elo Rating 1602
0.82Attack 2.88
2.13Defense 1.78
14%Hit Rate 66%
15.2Shots per Game -
6.3Shots on Target -
7.2Corners per Game -
2.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

PafosPafos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PafosPafos5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

1. Division22/05/2026
PafosApoel Nicosia
20
1. Division26/04/2026
Apoel NicosiaPafos
33
1. Division04/02/2026
PafosApoel Nicosia
20
1. Division31/08/2025
Apoel NicosiaPafos
01
1. Division12/05/2025
Apoel NicosiaPafos
11
1. Division06/04/2025
PafosApoel Nicosia
01
1. Division24/02/2025
Apoel NicosiaPafos
02
Cup30/01/2025
Apoel NicosiaPafos
11
1. Division23/11/2024
PafosApoel Nicosia
21
Super Cup25/09/2024
Apoel NicosiaPafos
10

Recent Form

Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia
3W1D6L
10/10/2026
Apoel NicosiaNea Salamis
21
W
19/09/2026
Apollon LimassolApoel Nicosia
22
D
12/09/2026
AnorthosisApoel Nicosia
21
L
06/09/2026
Apoel NicosiaAEL
60
W
29/08/2026
AEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
31
L
16/08/2026
AnorthosisApoel Nicosia
13
W
31/07/2026
Fortuna SittardApoel Nicosia
21
L
22/05/2026
PafosApoel Nicosia
20
L
16/05/2026
Apoel NicosiaOmonia Nicosia
03
L
10/05/2026
Apollon LimassolApoel Nicosia
20
L

Referee Profile

Chrysovalantis Theouli148 matches

3.35Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Chrysovalantis Theouli3.35
Other referees4.68

3.35 cards a match, 1.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.68).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca852115:7+817DWDWW
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol844021:10+1116DWWWD
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia843115:6+915WLDWW
4AELAEL850311:13-215LLWWW
5PafosPafos83419:5+413DDDWL
6ArisAris733110:9+112WDWDW
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia732216:9+711WDWDL
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou722312:13-18LWLLD
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa81345:16-116WLLLD
10AnorthosisAnorthosis72056:13-76WLLLW
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou71334:8-46LLLDD
12OlympiakosOlympiakos806211:13-26LDDLD
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis712411:15-45DLLWL
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas81258:17-95DDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca815:717
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol821:1016
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia815:615
4AELAEL811:1315
5PafosPafos89:513
6ArisAris710:912
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia716:911
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou712:138
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa85:166
10AnorthosisAnorthosis76:136
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou74:86
12OlympiakosOlympiakos811:136
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis711:155
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas88:175
PromotionRelegation

About the Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pafos and Apoel Nicosia in the 1. Division table

Pafos and Apoel Nicosia are close in the 1. Division table, 5th and 7th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Pafos 9-5, Apoel Nicosia 16-9. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Apoel Nicosia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.