Apoel Nicosia vs AEL Prediction

Apoel Nicosia
6-0
Finished
HT 2-0
AEL
GSP Stadium, Nicosia·Panagiotis Hadjigeorghiou, Cyprus 06/09/2026
Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia
6-0
Finished
AELAEL

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.80
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseHighGap+4.2%
Apoel Nicosia Rest
8 days
AEL Rest
7 days

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL: the result in context

Apoel Nicosia beat AEL 6-0 in the 1. Division on 6 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: AEL had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Apoel Nicosia.

Apoel Nicosia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.80
X
27%3.40
2
18%4.20
Double Chance
1X
82%1.20
X2
45%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.02 = 2.72
Over 1.5
75%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.95
Over 3.5
30%3.20
Under 1.5
25%3.27
Under 2.5
50%1.81
Under 3.5
70%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Marquinhos
20'F. Pedrozo(Penalty)
21'J. Sastre
27'Goal Disallowed - video reviewF. Pedrozo
32'J. Tavares
35'I. Avramidis
55'Cafu
58'L. Singh
61'K. Stafylidis
63'F. R. Mughe INJ. Tavares out
70'S. Jovetic INB. Almeida out
70'J. Tavares IND. Zdravkovski out
73'D. Limnios INGabriel Maioli out
73'I. Avramidis INF. Perez out
73'F. Djuricic INS. Georgiou out
74'Sergio Conceicao
80'Gabriel Maioli
81'A. Karo IND. M. Ribeiro Gomes out
81'L. Singh IND. Paroutis out
82'Marquinhos INA. Barak out
85'F. Pedrozo
90'F. Pedrozo INM. Filippidis out
90+2'F. Perez

Lineups

Apoel Nicosia
4-2-3-1Coach: Nikolaos Papadopoulos
AEL
4-2-3-1Coach: Hugo Martins
Vid Belec27V. Belec
Joan Sastre25J. Sastre
Miloš Degenek5M. Degenek
Konstantinos Laifis34K. Laifis
Kostas Stafylidis3K. Stafylidis
Dálcio8Dálcio
Ioannis Avramidis32I. Avramidis
Dimitris Limnios18D. Limnios
Filip Đuričić31F. Đuričić
Marquinhos10Marquinhos
Fabricio Pedrozo15F. Pedrozo
Stefanos Kapino1S. Kapino
Sérgio Conceição35S. Conceição
Andreas Karo2A. Karo
Stefano Denswil4S. Denswil
Ivan Milosavljević19I. Milosavljević
João Tavares20J. Tavares
Rémi Oudin10R. Oudin
François Régis Mughe77F. Régis Mughe
Cafú88Cafú
Luther Singh11L. Singh
Stevan Jovetić9S. Jovetić

Apoel Nicosia Substitutes

1Oliver Zelenika
78Savvas Michos
4Georgios Nikolas Angelopoulos
14Ángel García
21Constantinos Poursaitides
45Konstantinos Giannakou
11Gabriel Maioli73'for D. Limnios80'
70Stavros Georgiou73'for F. Djuricic
72Antonín Barák82'for Marquinhos
99Facundo Pérez73'replaced by I. Avramidis90+2'
84Marios Filippidis90'for F. Pedrozo
19Gustavo Manduca

AEL Substitutes

80Jair Tavares32'63'for F. R. Mughe70'replaced by D. Zdravkovski
98Panagiotis Kyriakou
50Samy Merzouk
33Evagoras Antoniou
22Kypros Neofytou
23Diogo Gomes81'for A. Karo
70Kyriakos Kyriakou
6Davor Zdravkovski70'for J. Tavares
8Bruno Almeida70'for S. Jovetic
17Danil Paroutis81'for L. Singh
26Jayden Peti Peti
84Christos Karamani

Team Comparison

Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia
AELAEL
1602Elo Rating 1551
2.88Attack 1.73
1.78Defense 1.86
66%Hit Rate 73%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.3 in second half)
AELAEL
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
AELAEL2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

1. Division28/02/2026
AELApoel Nicosia
23
1. Division23/11/2025
Apoel NicosiaAEL
12
1. Division16/02/2025
AELApoel Nicosia
12
1. Division10/11/2024
Apoel NicosiaAEL
40
1. Division11/02/2024
AELApoel Nicosia
11
1. Division11/11/2023
Apoel NicosiaAEL
10
1. Division08/01/2023
AELApoel Nicosia
10
1. Division02/10/2022
Apoel NicosiaAEL
00
1. Division06/02/2022
AELApoel Nicosia
23
1. Division06/11/2021
Apoel NicosiaAEL
30

Recent Form

Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia
2W2D6L
29/08/2026
AEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
31
L
16/08/2026
AnorthosisApoel Nicosia
13
W
31/07/2026
Fortuna SittardApoel Nicosia
21
L
22/05/2026
PafosApoel Nicosia
20
L
16/05/2026
Apoel NicosiaOmonia Nicosia
03
L
10/05/2026
Apollon LimassolApoel Nicosia
20
L
06/05/2026
ArisApoel Nicosia
10
L
03/05/2026
Apoel NicosiaAEK Larnaca
10
W
29/04/2026
Apoel NicosiaApollon Limassol
00
D
26/04/2026
Apoel NicosiaPafos
33
D
AELAEL
4W2D4L
30/08/2026
AELAnorthosis
20
W
19/08/2026
Krasava OdintsovoAEL
04
W
09/08/2026
Radomiak RadomAEL
11
D
15/05/2026
AkritasAEL
12
W
09/05/2026
AELOlympiakos
13
L
02/05/2026
Krasava YpsonasAEL
11
D
27/04/2026
AELAnorthosis
01
L
22/04/2026
PafosAEL
31
L
17/04/2026
AELEnosis
21
W
08/04/2026
AELPafos
12
L

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca852115:7+817DWDWW
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol844021:10+1116DWWWD
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia843115:6+915WLDWW
4AELAEL850311:13-215LLWWW
5PafosPafos83419:5+413DDDWL
6ArisAris733110:9+112WDWDW
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia732216:9+711WDWDL
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou722312:13-18LWLLD
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa81345:16-116WLLLD
10AnorthosisAnorthosis72056:13-76WLLLW
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou71334:8-46LLLDD
12OlympiakosOlympiakos806211:13-26LDDLD
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis712411:15-45DLLWL
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas81258:17-95DDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca815:717
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol821:1016
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia815:615
4AELAEL811:1315
5PafosPafos89:513
6ArisAris710:912
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia716:911
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou712:138
9KarmiotissaKarmiotissa85:166
10AnorthosisAnorthosis76:136
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou74:86
12OlympiakosOlympiakos811:136
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis711:155
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas88:175
PromotionRelegation

About the Apoel Nicosia vs AEL forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Apoel Nicosia and AEL in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, AEL are 4th and Apoel Nicosia 7th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Apoel Nicosia 16-9, AEL 11-13. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Apoel Nicosia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.