Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca Prediction

Beitar Jerusalem
2-3
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 0-0PEN 4-3
AEK Larnaca
Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploiesti·Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal 30/07/2026
Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
2-3
After Penalties
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.02
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+12.5%
Beitar Jerusalem Rest
7 days
AEK Larnaca Rest
7 days

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca: result, form and history

Beitar Jerusalem beat AEK Larnaca on penalties (4-3) after a 2-3 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%2.02
X
19%3.40
2
25%3.45
Double Chance
1X
75%1.27
X2
44%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.81
No
52%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.92 = 2.57
Over 1.5
72%1.32
Over 2.5
53%2.02
Over 3.5
26%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.09
Under 2.5
47%1.75
Under 3.5
74%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'H. Milicevic(Penalty)
41'A. Cohen
45+2'O. Atzili(Penalty)
46'J. Kalu INE. Ansah out
46'A. Layouni ING. Ekpolo out
49'N. MucheTripping
51'B. CarabaliTripping
52'H. Milicevic
59'S. Weissman INT. Muzie out
68'Y. CohenTripping
69'D. WorkoHolding
69'Y. Gurfinkel INK. Pileas out
70'Miramon INW. Rubio out
75'Y. Cohen INL. Deri out
75'N. Muche INZ. Ben Shimol out
77'E. Saborit INZ. Adoni out
87'O. AtziliAssist: N. Antwi
90'O. Atzili INY. Shua out
90'Ledes Gustavo IND. Ivanovic out
90+2'R. Bajic
90+5'Y. ShuaFoul

Extra Time0 - 0

94'I. Pankov INC. Kyriakou out
103'Z. AdoniHolding
105+1'G. EkpoloTripping
111'D. Worko INN. Markovitch out
115'N. AntwiFoul
118'H. MilicevicDelay of game

Penalty Shootout4 - 3

1H. Milicevic(Penalty)
1B. Carabali(Penalty)
2D. Ivanovic(Penalty)
2E. Ansah(Penalty)
3W. Rubio(Penalty missed)
3Y. Cohen(Penalty)
4K. Pileas(Penalty)
4T. Muzie(Penalty)
5C. Kyriakou(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Beitar Jerusalem
4-3-3Coach: Almog Cohen
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1Coach: Mauro Camoranesi
Miguel Silva55M. Silva
Nana Antwi2N. Antwi
Brayan Carabalí4B. Carabalí
Gil Cohen5G. Cohen
Yarden Cohen16Y. Cohen
Noam Muche15N. Muche
Boris Enow40B. Enow
Daniel Worko26D. Worko
Omer Atzili77O. Atzili
Shon Weissman19S. Weissman
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu9J. Samuel Kalu
Andreas Paraskevas51A. Paraskevas
Jorge Miramón21J. Miramón
Hrvoje Miličević15H. Miličević
Enric Saborit4E. Saborit
Yahav Garfinkel13Y. Garfinkel
Ivan Chavdarov Pankov6I. Chavdarov Pankov
Gus Ledes7G. Ledes
Amor Layouni14A. Layouni
Jan Repas20J. Repas
Youssef Amyn8Y. Amyn
Riad Bajić11R. Bajić

Beitar Jerusalem Substitutes

13Eugene Ansah46'for J. Kalu
11Timothy Muzie59'for S. Weissman
25Liel Deri75'for Y. Cohen
8Ziv Ben Shimol75'for N. Muche
7Yarden Shua90'for O. Atzili90+5'
22Yehonatan Ozer
33Dvir Nir
14Roey Elimelech
44Luka Gadrani
20Ori Dahan
24Nadav Markovitch111'for D. Worko
30Tomer Yosefi

AEK Larnaca Substitutes

22Godswill Ekpolo46'for A. Layouni105+1'
17Kostas Pileas69'for Y. Gurfinkel
10Waldo Rubio Marín70'for Miramon
44Zacharias Adoni77'for E. Saborit103'
9Đorđe Ivanović90'for Ledes Gustavo
1Vedad Muftić
99Dimitris Dimitriou
25Chambos Kyriakou94'for I. Pankov
29Giorgos Naoum
37David Gerasimou

Team Comparison

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
1641Elo Rating 1717
1.80Attack 1.64
2.69Defense 2.21
77%Hit Rate 58%
18.8Shots per Game 7.0
5.9Shots on Target 2.0
4.8Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 5.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

UEFA Europa Conference League23/07/2026
AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem
01

Recent Form

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
3W6D1L
23/07/2026
AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem
01
W
18/07/2026
Beitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
2222
D
07/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliBeitar Jerusalem
00
D
03/07/2026
Botev VratsaBeitar Jerusalem
22
D
23/05/2026
Beitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
11
D
19/05/2026
Hapoel Petah TikvaBeitar Jerusalem
00
D
16/05/2026
Maccabi Tel AvivBeitar Jerusalem
12
W
12/05/2026
Beitar JerusalemHapoel Beer Sheva
11
D
09/05/2026
Maccabi HaifaBeitar Jerusalem
30
L
06/05/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivBeitar Jerusalem
01
W
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
3W3D4L
23/07/2026
AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem
01
L
16/07/2026
Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
00
D
10/07/2026
AjaxAEK Larnaca
10
L
07/07/2026
PAOKAEK Larnaca
32
L
04/07/2026
Helmond SportAEK Larnaca
12
W
22/05/2026
ArisAEK Larnaca
34
W
16/05/2026
AEK LarnacaPafos
22
D
10/05/2026
Omonia NicosiaAEK Larnaca
11
D
06/05/2026
AEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
10
W
03/05/2026
Apoel NicosiaAEK Larnaca
10
L

Referee Profile

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo226 matches

5.86Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo5.86
Other referees5.35

5.86 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.35).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded

About the Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Beitar Jerusalem have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Beitar Jerusalem and AEK Larnaca have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.