Derry City vs HNK Rijeka Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Derry City Rest
6 days
HNK Rijeka Rest
6 days
Derry City vs HNK Rijeka: the result in context
HNK Rijeka beat Derry City 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: HNK Rijeka had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Derry City.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
129%4.80
X21%3.65
250%1.67
Double Chance
1X50%2.12
X271%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.90
No50%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.44 = 2.63
Over 1.577%1.30
Over 2.553%1.96
Over 3.526%3.35
Under 1.523%3.20
Under 2.547%1.80
Under 3.574%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.8 = 9
Over 8.538%1.66
Over 9.528%2.07
Over 10.521%2.65
Under 8.562%2.08
Under 9.572%1.67
Under 10.579%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.561%-
Over 4.544%-
Under 3.539%-
Under 4.556%-
Match Events
14'D. Adu Adjei
29'N. Twisk
46'L. Boyce INJ. Clarke out
46'B. Lyons-Foster
62'J. Olayinka IND. Burns out
62'B. Lyons-Foster INB. Cotter out
65'A. Majstorovic
69'C. Dummigan
81'P. McClean INJ. Stott out
81'N. Jankovic INJ. Lasickas out
89'T. Fruk INI. Cubelic out
90+2'D. Adu Adjei ING. Grulovic out
90+3'B. Cotter
Lineups
Derry CityHNK Rijeka
4-3-3Coach: Matjaz Kek
1B. Maher
24B. Lyons-Foster
23C. Dummigan
3P. McClean
19B. Fleming
28J. Olayinka
17N. Twisk
8A. O'Reilly
14E. Chapman
7M. Duffy
27L. Boyce
99A. Todorović
22A. Oreč
45A. Majstorović
5A. Barco
34M. Devetak
6B. Pavić
26T. Dantas
10T. Fruk
14A. Gojak
18D. Adu-Adjei
4N. JankovićDerry City Substitutes
13Tom Norcott
4Jamie Stott81'for P. McClean
6Robert Slevin
22Conor Barr
2Barry Cotter62'for B. Lyons-Foster90+3'
12Darragh Burns62'for J. Olayinka
15James Clarke46'for L. Boyce
32Terence Doherty
HNK Rijeka Substitutes
31Dávid Nwolokor
1Vito Kovač
3Moreno Živković
23Justas Lasickas81'for N. Jankovic
91Noel Bodetić
51Anel Husić
16Viktor Vešligaj
8Ivan Ćubelić89'for T. Fruk
11Gabriel Rukavina
19Samuele Vignato
15Goran Grulović90+2'for D. Adu Adjei
37Cherno Saho
Match Stats
Derry CityHNK Rijeka 42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
2Blocked Shots2
5Fouls9
0Offsides1
Team Comparison
Derry CityHNK Rijeka1609Elo Rating 1671
1.47Attack 2.16
1.90Defense 1.37
56%Hit Rate 56%
16.7Shots per Game 8.7
5.3Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 2.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Derry City- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
HNK Rijeka- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Derry City0Wins · 0%Draws00%
HNK Rijeka1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Derry City3W1D6L
23/07/2026HNK RijekaDerry CityDerry City
CSKA SofiaCSKA SofiaDerry CityDerry City
Waterford
Shamrock RoversDerry City
Galway UnitedDerry CityDerry City
Bohemians
HNK RijekaDerry City10
L19/07/2026Derry City
Tolka Rovers
16/07/2026Derry CityTolka Rovers30
WDerry CityCSKA Sofia12
L09/07/2026CSKA SofiaDerry City32
L03/07/2026Derry CityWaterford24
L26/06/2026Derry City
Drogheda United
22/06/2026Derry CityDrogheda United20
WShamrock RoversDerry City11
D19/06/2026Galway UnitedDerry City21
L12/06/2026Derry CityBohemians41
W29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
DundalkDerry City21
LHNK Rijeka7W2D1L
23/07/2026HNK RijekaDerry City
HNK RijekaDerry City10
W03/07/2026
RadomljeHNK Rijeka
RadomljeHNK Rijeka02
W30/06/2026
Brinje-GrosupljeHNK Rijeka
Brinje-GrosupljeHNK Rijeka03
W27/06/2026
BravoHNK Rijeka
BravoHNK Rijeka12
W23/05/2026HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK RijekaHNK Gorica20
W17/05/2026
Istra 1961HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961HNK Rijeka00
D13/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka20
L08/05/2026HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK RijekaVukovar30
W03/05/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka03
W26/04/2026HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK RijekaHNK Hajduk Split00
DReferee Profile
5.51Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.51 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).
Cards come from 37 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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Gent
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Motherwell
HB TorshavnBravo
KoperHNK RijekaDerry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriExplore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
- Petrocub vs Borac Banja Luka 30/07/26
- Brann vs Universitatea Cluj 30/07/26
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi 30/07/26
- Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku 30/07/26
- Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca 30/07/26
- The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn 30/07/26
- Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 30/07/26
- Ajax vs Vojvodina 30/07/26
About the Derry City vs HNK Rijeka forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
HNK Rijeka have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Derry City and HNK Rijeka have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.