Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh Prediction

Al-Fayha
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Al Riyadh
Al Majma’a Sport City, Madimaa·Abdullah Yahya Zarban 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Al-Fayha Rest
28 days
Al Riyadh Rest
27 days

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh: the result in context

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh drew 1-1 in the Pro League on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.11
X
28%3.31
2
30%3.23
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.3 = 2.84
Over 1.5
74%1.28
Over 2.5
51%1.92
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
26%3.50
Under 2.5
49%1.86
Under 3.5
71%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.51
Over 9.5
48%1.87
Over 10.5
38%2.40
Under 8.5
41%2.35
Under 9.5
52%1.86
Under 10.5
62%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%2.00
Over 4.5
32%2.95
Under 3.5
49%1.73
Under 4.5
68%1.37

Match Events

16'Lázaro Vinicius MarquesAssist: Jason Remeseiro
32'Bernard MensahFoul
45'Sulaiman Hazazi INHussain Qasim out
45'Essam Hassan Abdullah Bahri INMahmoud Trezeguet out
46'Ali Al-HussainFoul
60'Hussam Majrashi INFahad Mohammed Al-Jayzani out
69'Lázaro Vinicius Marques INYago Souza out
70'Alfa Semedo INNawaf Al-Harthi out
76'Hassan Hashim Al-Ali INHussain Al-Raqwani out
77'Kader KeitaFoul
80'Sultan Al-Essa INHussain Al Shurafa out
81'Hussain Al ShurafaFoul
88'Ali Al-Hussain INRayan Enad out
88'Jason Remeseiro INMalek Al-Abdulmonam out
90+2'Mahmoud TrezeguetAssist: Fahad Mohammed Al-Jayzani
90+5'Fashion SakalaDissent

Lineups

Al-Fayha
4-3-3Coach: Fábio Carille
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1Coach: Maurício Dulac
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.76
O. Mosquera6.352O. Mosquera
Mohammed Al Baqawi7.122M. Al Baqawi
Mukhir Al Rashidi7.42M. Al Rashidi
O. Colley6.725O. Colley
Ahmed Bamasud6.924A. Bamasud
Ali Al Hussain6.16A. Al Hussain
Hugo Moura6.85H. Moura
Alfa Semedo6.330A. Semedo
Jason7.623Jason
Lázaro8.017Lázaro
F. Sakala6.610F. Sakala
M. Borjan7.182M. Borjan
Sultan Alessa6.62S. Alessa
Hossam Majrashi6.85H. Majrashi
R. Abascal6.826R. Abascal
Sulaiman Hazazi6.312S. Hazazi
K. Keita7.26K. Keita
B. Mensah7.143B. Mensah
T. Okou6.510T. Okou
V. Lekhal6.922V. Lekhal
Essam Bahri6.314E. Bahri
H. Al Ali6.811H. Al Ali

Al-Fayha Substitutes

12Turki Al Jaadi
1Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel
14Mansor Al Beshe
9Malek Al Abdulmanam88'for Jason Remeseiro6.2
7Nawaf Al-Harthi70'for Alfa Semedo6.4
21Ziyad Al Sahafi
43Fahad Majed Alhubayshi
40Yago Santana69'for Lázaro Vinicius Marques6.5
77R. Enad88'for Ali Al-Hussain6.5

Al Riyadh Substitutes

3Y. M. Al Musa
17Hussain Al-Raqwani76'for Hassan Hashim Al-Ali6.6
19A. M. Al Harthi80'for Sultan Al-Essa81'6.1
97Emad Fida
7Trézéguet45'for Essam Hassan Abdullah Bahri90+2'8.2
32Awad Dahal
23Hussain Qasim45'for Sulaiman Hazazi6.4
79F. Al Jayzani60'for Hussam Majrashi6.7
13Osama Al Bowardi

Match Stats

Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots6
5Fouls11
0Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves3
348Total Passes503
287Passes Accurate431
82%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
1471Elo Rating 1487
1.16Attack 0.91
1.22Defense 0.79
0%Hit Rate 37%
9.2Shots per Game 15.3
2.6Shots on Target 4.3
4.1Corners per Game 4.5
1.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha4Wins · 57%
Draws343%
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Pro League04/05/2026
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
42
Pro League10/01/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
11
Pro League26/02/2025
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
00
Pro League29/09/2024
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
20
Pro League15/03/2024
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
11
King's Cup26/09/2023
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
12
Pro League22/09/2023
Al RiyadhAl-Fayha
13

Recent Form

Al-FayhaAl-Fayha
2W4D4L
12/09/2026
Al ShababAl-Fayha
00
D
08/09/2026
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Fayha
21
L
03/09/2026
Al-FayhaAl Kholood
22
D
28/08/2026
Al-FayhaAbha
32
W
25/08/2026
Al TaawonAl-Fayha
00
D
20/08/2026
Al-FayhaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
03
L
17/08/2026
Al-AdalahAl-Fayha
02
W
14/08/2026
NEOMAl-Fayha
21
L
31/07/2026
Den BoschAl-Fayha
20
L
22/07/2026
KVC WesterloAl-Fayha
00
D

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC11100132:9+2330WWWWW
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1291232:12+2028WLWWW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1191128:11+1728WWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1173121:11+1024DWWLW
5NEOMNEOM1271418:10+822WWLLD
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1170428:19+921LWWWW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1254318:17+119DWLWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1243510:13-315LLWDL
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al ShababAl Shabab1135320:15+514WWDWD
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1133517:26-912LLLLL
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1133511:25-1412LWLDW
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1225516:20-411WDLLD
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1224613:24-1110LWLDW
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1213810:25-156LLLWL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon120576:20-145DLLDL
18AbhaAbha110387:19-123DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1132:930
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1232:1228
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1128:1128
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1121:1124
5NEOMNEOM1218:1022
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1128:1921
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1218:1719
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1210:1315
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al ShababAl Shabab1120:1514
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1117:2612
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1111:2512
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1216:2011
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1213:2410
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1210:256
17Al TaawonAl Taawon126:205
18AbhaAbha117:193
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh in the Pro League table

Al Riyadh and Al-Fayha are close in the Pro League table, 12th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Al-Fayha 16-20, Al Riyadh 11-25. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.